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特朗普首席经济顾问:政府关门对经济影响远比预期严重,美Q4 GDP增速恐减半
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-07 20:27
Economic Impact of Government Shutdown - The government shutdown has lasted a record 38 days, with significant economic impacts that were underestimated initially [1] - The White House's economic advisor, Kevin Hassett, indicated that the GDP growth for Q4 may be halved from the original expectation of at least 3% [1] - The tourism and leisure sectors are among the hardest hit, with potential short-term recession if airline travel continues to decline [1] - The construction sector is also facing challenges, with construction projects slowing down, indicating the shutdown's effects are spreading from federal to private sectors [1] Labor Market and Economic Recovery - There is a noted degree of weakness in the labor market, attributed to the uncertainty caused by the prolonged government shutdown [2] - Hassett expressed optimism that the U.S. economy could rebound quickly once the government reopens [3] - Discontent was voiced regarding Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's suggestion of a potential pause in interest rate cuts, highlighting ongoing tensions between the Trump administration and the Fed on monetary policy [3] - Despite the negative impacts of the shutdown, Hassett did not classify any economic sector as being in recession, indicating some internal differences in economic assessments within the White House [3]