户储及热泵
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储能系列报告(17):英国发布重磅补贴,将对户储及热泵行业带来较大刺激
CMS· 2026-01-26 08:05
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Recommended" based on the positive outlook for the sector and expected performance exceeding the benchmark index [3]. Core Insights - The UK government has launched a £15 billion "Warm Home Plan" aimed at helping millions of households install solar panels, energy storage, heat pumps, and insulation materials, significantly stimulating the home storage and heat pump sectors [1][6]. - The plan is expected to upgrade up to 5 million homes and help 1 million households escape energy poverty by 2030, leveraging £15 billion in subsidies to attract a total investment of £38 billion [6]. - The distribution of the subsidy includes £4.4 billion for low-income home upgrades, £2.7 billion for heat pump subsidies, £1.1 billion for heating network construction, and £5.3 billion for a loan fund [7]. - The home storage market is projected to exceed £100 billion by 2030 due to the estimated scale of home upgrades [6]. - The heat pump sector has a specific subsidy of £2.7 billion, with targets to install 450,000 and 1.5 million units annually by 2030 and 2035, respectively, indicating significant growth potential [6]. Company Summaries - **Airo Energy**: A leading distributed solar storage company with a strong focus on overseas markets, expected to perform well this year due to increased R&D and product diversification [8]. - **GoodWe**: A traditional home storage company with strong channel capabilities and advanced technology, well-established in the European market [8]. - **Sungrow Power Supply**: A top global solar storage company with a robust overseas presence, generating significant revenue from storage products [8]. - **Deye Technology**: Strong competitive edge in home storage, with a well-established global sales network and advanced manufacturing capabilities [8]. - **Rujing Technology**: A core supplier of heat pump controllers, with products widely used in major brands [10]. Financial Metrics of Key Companies - Airo Energy: Market Cap £14.6 billion, 2024 EPS £1.3, 2025 EPS £0.7, PE 140, PB 3, Investment Rating: Strongly Recommended [2]. - Sungrow Power Supply: Market Cap £338 billion, 2024 EPS £5.3, 2025 EPS £6.6, PE 25, PB 8, Investment Rating: Strongly Recommended [2]. - Deye Technology: Market Cap £80.5 billion, 2024 EPS £4.6, 2025 EPS £4.0, PE 22, PB 10, Investment Rating: Increase Holding [2].