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存款都往股市挪,外资也加仓!融资2.3万亿,为啥有人说稳有人慌
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 14:08
Core Viewpoint - The current market situation is characterized by a gradual upward trend, with significant capital inflow from both domestic and foreign investors, despite concerns over high margin financing levels [1][3][4]. Group 1: Market Trends - A-shares and Hong Kong stocks are steadily rising, with continuous inflow of external capital, indicating a positive market sentiment [3][4]. - The trend of household savings shifting to the stock market is beginning, as evidenced by the decline in deposit interest rates below 1% [4][5]. - The current margin financing balance has exceeded 2.3 trillion, but the ratio of margin financing to market capitalization is below 3%, significantly lower than the 4.2% peak seen ten years ago [4][5]. Group 2: Foreign Investment - Foreign capital has been consistently buying into Hong Kong stocks since last year, with over 100 billion USD flowing into A-shares in the first half of this year, and further acceleration expected [7]. - The global capital is undergoing a "rebalancing" from high-valued markets like the US to undervalued markets, positioning A-shares and Hong Kong stocks as attractive targets [7]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - The long-term upward trend in gold prices is expected to continue, with a recommendation to allocate around 20% of assets to gold for diversification [8]. - For stock selection, low-valuation, high-dividend stocks such as banks and utilities are recommended for conservative investors, while technology growth stocks should be evaluated based on their actual performance and competitive advantages [8][10].