有色细分
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有色指数年内新高后首度回调,北方稀土跌超2%,有色50ETF(159652)转跌,资金逢跌重手增仓9000万元!降息预期升温,有色细分或全面爆发!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 06:39
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced slight fluctuations, with the non-ferrous metal sector showing its first decline after reaching a yearly high, indicating a potential correction phase in the market [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The non-ferrous 50 ETF (159652) fell by 0.52% as of 14:17, with a net subscription of 67 million units, translating to over 89 million CNY in net subscription amount [1] - Over the past 20 days, the non-ferrous 50 ETF has seen a net subscription of 720 million CNY, with the latest scale exceeding 1.4 billion CNY, leading among index ETFs [1] - Major stocks in the non-ferrous sector, such as Northern Rare Earth and Jiangxi Copper, saw declines of over 2%, while Ganfeng Lithium rose by over 4% [1][2] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The U.S. initial jobless claims unexpectedly surged to 263,000, the highest in nearly two years, which may influence the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates [3] - The market anticipates a new round of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, with President Trump suggesting significant cuts during the upcoming meeting [2][3] Group 3: Industry Outlook - Minsheng Securities expresses optimism for the non-ferrous metal sector, citing structural improvements in demand and the potential for industrial metal prices to rise due to anticipated interest rate cuts [4] - The prices of key metals like copper, tungsten, and molybdenum have shown an upward trend, with copper prices increasing by 10% since the beginning of the year [4] - The non-ferrous sector's performance is expected to benefit from a favorable supply-demand balance, with 129 out of 141 listed companies in the sector reporting profits in the first half of 2025 [4][6] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The non-ferrous 50 ETF (159652) is highlighted as a leading investment option, covering a wide range of metals including gold and copper, with a copper content of 31% [8] - The ETF has shown a cumulative return of 140% from 2019 to August 2025, driven primarily by profit growth rather than valuation expansion [6][8]