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海洋预报
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南海海洋热浪周预报上线
Core Insights - The South China Sea Marine Heat Wave Weekly Forecast product has been officially integrated into the disaster warning system by the South China Sea Forecast and Disaster Reduction Center, marking the first forecast specifically targeting marine heat waves [3][4] - This product utilizes satellite remote sensing data to monitor marine heat wave occurrences over the past week and combines numerical forecasting with artificial intelligence techniques to predict trends, impact range, and intensity for the upcoming week [3][4] Industry Impact - The increasing frequency and intensity of extreme marine heat wave events due to global climate change pose significant threats to marine ecological safety and the blue economy, leading to coral bleaching, fishery resource decline, and potential ecological chain reactions [4] - The operationalization of this forecasting product enhances the monitoring and warning capabilities against marine heat waves, which are considered a "silent killer" in the marine environment [4] - Future efforts will focus on improving forecasting technology and expanding the precision of forecasts across different time scales, providing scientific support for marine ecological protection, fishery management, climate change response, and sustainable marine economic development [4]
精细化海洋环境预报护航第十五届全运会
Group 1 - The preparation for the 15th National Games is in a critical phase, with a focus on providing precise marine forecasting services for coastal events like sailing [1] - A special task force has been established to create a "normalization of consultation and precision of service" plan, specifically for the event area in the Red Bay of Shanwei [1] - The Shantou Marine Center will enhance on-site observation and data collection around the event area, while the South China Sea Disaster Reduction Center will analyze the data to improve forecasting accuracy [1] Group 2 - The task force is analyzing potential risks such as tropical cyclones and hazardous waves in the South China Sea, optimizing forecasting products based on historical and real-time data [2] - A multi-level product system has been developed, providing forecasts for the next 24 hours and the next three days, aiding event organizers in scheduling and risk management [2] - The 15th National Games will take place from November 9 to 21, featuring various water sports including sailing, windsurfing, and rowing, co-hosted by Guangdong, Hong Kong, and Macau [2]
“妈祖”模式在印度尼西亚落地运行
Core Viewpoint - The National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center has successfully conducted training in Indonesia for the "Mazu" series of numerical forecasting models, establishing a solid foundation for its application in Indonesia's national early warning system [1] Group 1: Training and Collaboration - The visit took place from September 15 to 20, following the signing of a cooperation memorandum in 2024 and the first technical training session for the "Mazu" model [1] - This training was requested by the Indonesian side and aimed at localizing the deployment and application of the "Mazu" model [1] - The training involved 15 technical personnel from Indonesia's Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency and its affiliated official academy [1] Group 2: Model Application and Technical Support - Chinese experts introduced three specific models: "Mazu Tsunami," "Mazu Storm Surge," and "Mazu Waves," along with recent application cases [1] - The training included discussions on modeling ideas based on specific needs presented by the Indonesian participants [1] - After nearly four days of practical training, participants were able to master the localized operational technology of the "Mazu" model and could independently conduct business modeling for specific requirements [1]
“全国海洋数值预报与智能预报技术”太原聚智
Group 1 - The third "National Marine Numerical Forecasting and Intelligent Forecasting Technology Exchange Conference" was held in Taiyuan, Shanxi Province, aimed at enhancing technical exchanges and business cooperation among marine forecasting institutions in China [3] - Over 100 representatives from more than 40 organizations, including national marine environmental forecasting centers and various universities, participated in the conference to discuss new theories, methods, technologies, and achievements in marine science [3][4] - The conference featured the launch of the "Mazu" series marine models and a new collaboration with Huawei's high-performance computing, marking a significant partnership in the field of marine numerical forecasting [4] Group 2 - The National Marine Environmental Forecasting Center shared its 60-year development journey, highlighting key milestones and contributions to marine environmental numerical forecasting in China [5] - The center has focused on innovation and responding to national needs in marine disaster warning, contributing to the development of marine economy, ecological civilization, and disaster reduction efforts [5] - The successful hosting of the conference provided a platform for experts and scholars to exchange cutting-edge technologies and showcase business work, promoting research and development in marine numerical forecasting and intelligent forecasting [5]