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教育大厂们的“王牌”,卖不动了?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-27 19:45
Core Insights - The report from 洛图科技 indicates that the Chinese learning tablet market is projected to sell 6.321 million units in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.7% compared to 2024, with a sales revenue of 19.91 billion yuan, up 4.5% year-on-year [2][4]. - Despite maintaining positive growth, the growth rate for 2025 is significantly lower than the mid-year forecast of 14.6%, with actual sales falling short of the predicted 6.79 million units [2][4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The slowdown in growth for learning tablets in 2025 is attributed to multiple factors, including policy changes, industry saturation, and product issues [4][5]. - The withdrawal of policy incentives, such as the "national subsidy" that boosted demand in late 2024, has led to a decline in sales in the latter half of 2025, with first-quarter sales up nearly 30% but dropping to 3.5% and 5.9% in the third and fourth quarters respectively [5][6]. - The industry is experiencing significant homogenization, with many products lacking differentiation in AI features and educational resources, particularly in the low to mid-range price segments [5][6]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The market is dominated by a few leading brands, with the top eight brands accounting for 88.4% of the total market share in 2025, an increase of nearly 10% from 2024 [10][12]. - 作业帮 leads the market with a 28.8% share, followed by 学而思 at 17.9%, and 科大讯飞 in the high-end segment [12]. Group 3: Product Trends - The mid-range price segment (2000-2999 yuan) has become the primary battleground, with a 45.9% share of online sales, reflecting a 30.7% increase from 2024 [13][15]. - High-end models (6000 yuan and above) saw a slight decline in sales of 5.4%, while low-end models (1000-1999 yuan) experienced a significant drop of 18.9% [18]. Group 4: Technological Advancements - The penetration of AI in learning tablets has increased from 20% in 2022-2023 to 57.8% in 2025, with expectations to exceed 70% by 2026 [19]. - AI features are evolving to become more personalized, with functionalities like AI tutoring and interactive learning becoming standard [19][20]. Group 5: Future Outlook - The competition is shifting from hardware to a combination of content and technology, with leading companies focusing on the quality of educational resources and forming partnerships to enhance their offerings [20][21]. - 洛图科技 forecasts a modest growth for the learning tablet market in 2026, predicting sales of 6.663 million units, a 5.4% increase, indicating a continued slowdown in growth [21].