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德业股份(605117)2025年三季报点评:汇兑及延迟确收略有影响 工商储及电池包继续发力
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-31 00:39
Core Insights - The company reported its Q3 2025 results, showing a revenue of 8.846 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.36%, and a net profit of 2.347 billion yuan, up 4.79% year-on-year. The gross margin was 38.55%, down 1.60 percentage points year-on-year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.311 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.32% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 11.51%. The net profit for the same quarter was 825 million yuan, down 17.84% year-on-year but up 1.00% quarter-on-quarter. The gross margin was 40.33%, down 4.17 percentage points year-on-year but up 2.62 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1][2] - The company’s operating cash flow for Q3 2025 was 1.146 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 15.77% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.27%. As of Q3 2025, inventory stood at 1.449 billion yuan, up 4.99% year-on-year, while contract liabilities were 325 million yuan, down 37.90% year-on-year [2] Group 2: Business Outlook - The company expects continued quarter-on-quarter growth in Q4 2025 for its inverter and battery pack businesses, driven by high demand in the Australian market [2] - The company’s inverter shipments in Q3 2025 saw a slight year-on-year decline but an increase quarter-on-quarter, while battery pack shipments experienced growth in both comparisons, particularly due to demand stimulated by Australian subsidy policies [2] Group 3: Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company has slightly lowered its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, now expecting net profits of 3.3 billion, 4.0 billion, and 4.8 billion yuan for those years, representing year-on-year growth of 12%, 21%, and 20%, respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 22, 18, and 15 times [3] - Given the company’s steady growth and the gradual ramp-up of industrial storage, a target price of 110 yuan is set for 2026, maintaining a "buy" rating [3]