硬件和半导体
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摩通:对硬件和半导体产业依然乐观 上行周期料持续至2027年
智通财经网· 2025-11-14 05:59
Group 1: AI and Semiconductor Industry Outlook - The market is discussing the AI bubble, with optimism for the hardware and semiconductor sectors, expecting an upcycle starting in 2024 and lasting until 2027, driven by AI demand [1] - Major tech companies like Google and Meta are rapidly increasing their AI application token output, with projected capital expenditure growth rates of approximately 30-35% next year and 65-70% this year [1] - Chip and component shortages are expected to persist, with no dramatic improvements anticipated next year, and the Asian supply chain's response remains relatively cautious [1] Group 2: Internet Platforms and AI Applications - Tencent and ByteDance are seeing the gradual adoption of AI applications, but their usage remains limited compared to major apps like WeChat and Douyin, with uncertainty about the emergence of killer AI applications [2] - The development of ideal AI agents requires long-term memory and structured storage of consumer behavior, which is currently challenging due to the need for platform cooperation and technical scalability [2] - The industry is still focused on developing single-purpose or industry-specific AI agents rather than integrating them into a universal agent [2]