Workflow
移民执法
icon
Search documents
美国再度突破底线!4.7万移民被精准锁定,榨干纳税人最后价值
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-02 14:49
Core Viewpoint - The recent data-sharing agreement between ICE and IRS raises concerns about potential privacy risks and new enforcement strategies regarding undocumented immigrants [1][3][11]. Group 1: ICE and IRS Cooperation Agreement - The collaboration between ICE and IRS has intensified under the Trump administration's strict immigration policies, with ICE requesting sensitive data on undocumented immigrants to enhance deportation efforts [3][5]. - The initial request from ICE involved data on approximately 700,000 undocumented immigrants who had received deportation orders, which was eventually formalized through an agreement with IRS after extensive discussions [3][7]. Group 2: Privacy and Legal Concerns - The provision of data by IRS to ICE aims to improve the efficiency of immigration enforcement but raises significant privacy and security concerns [5][8]. - IRS officials expressed internal doubts about the appropriateness of sharing taxpayer information for immigration enforcement, highlighting a legal debate over whether such information sharing meets the standards for criminal investigations [5][11]. Group 3: Data Disclosure and Implications - IRS has provided over 1 million records to ICE, with approximately 47,000 successfully matching targeted individuals, indicating the scale of data involved [10]. - The agreement's execution necessitates inter-agency cooperation, leading to public and expert concerns about data security and the potential for misuse of sensitive information [8][11]. Group 4: Ongoing Legal and Social Challenges - Immigration rights organizations have initiated lawsuits to halt the implementation of the agreement, as the legal boundaries between immigration enforcement and tax information sharing remain unresolved [11][13]. - Legal experts emphasize the need for further judicial review to assess the potential for abuse of the data-sharing agreement, despite government assurances that it is limited to specific criminal investigations [13].
华泰证券:移民收紧或大幅压低美国“均衡”新增非农水平
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-10 23:45
Group 1 - The non-farm employment in July saw a significant decline, with the average new non-farm jobs from May to July dropping to 35,000, down from 127,000 in the previous months [1][6] - The labor participation rate has decreased by 0.4 percentage points since April, which has mitigated the rise in the unemployment rate [1][6] - The impact of immigration policies, particularly the deportation of illegal immigrants, is expected to accelerate and significantly affect labor supply and demand in the U.S. economy [1][2][6] Group 2 - The net immigration inflow to the U.S. has slowed down significantly since the Trump administration, with an expected return to near zero net inflow by 2025 [2][7] - The average new non-farm employment balance level for the second half of 2025 is projected to drop to between 40,000 and 70,000, influenced by tightening immigration policies [3][17] - The domestic demand growth rate has decreased from 1.9% in Q1 to 1.2% in Q2, which is expected to remain around 1% in the second half of the year [3][20] Group 3 - The deportation of illegal immigrants may lead to a marginal increase in wage growth but will negatively impact overall demand, limiting the upward pressure on wages and causing a gradual rise in the unemployment rate [4][24] - The reduction in illegal immigration is expected to drag down GDP growth by approximately 0.3 to 0.4 percentage points in 2025 [4][25] - Certain industries, such as agriculture, construction, and hospitality, are likely to experience labor shortages due to the high reliance on illegal immigrant labor [4][27][32]