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下半年我国经济有望继续回升
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-08-12 06:20
Economic Overview - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) reported that economic policies are showing effectiveness, and the economy is expected to continue its recovery in the second half of the year [1][2] - The economic environment has become increasingly complex, with pressures from demand contraction, supply shocks, and weakened expectations, exacerbated by factors like domestic COVID-19 outbreaks and the Ukraine crisis [1][2] Industrial Performance - Summer grain production has been successful, and there has been a notable improvement in both industrial and service sectors [1] - After a brief decline in April, industrial production returned to positive growth in May, with June showing continued acceleration; national power generation increased by 4% year-on-year [1] Market Demand - Investment and exports are playing a significant role in driving demand, with a steady recovery in consumer spending [1] - In the first five months, the number of new projects started increased by 26.1% year-on-year, and planned total investment for these projects grew by 23.3% [1] - Consumer spending showed a marked recovery during the Dragon Boat Festival, with online retail growth and a significant 1.7 times increase in national box office revenue in June compared to the previous month [1] Regional Economic Performance - Economic stability is being maintained across key regions, with most provinces showing positive growth, particularly in Fujian, Shandong, Hubei, and Hunan [2] - The central and western regions are outperforming the national average, with provinces like Jiangxi, Chongqing, and Guizhou experiencing rapid growth [2] - Regions heavily impacted by the pandemic, such as Shanghai and Jilin, are seeing significant recovery, with Shanghai's key enterprises doubling their electricity consumption compared to the same period last year [2] Future Outlook - The NDRC emphasizes that the resilience and potential of the Chinese economy remain strong, with macroeconomic policies expected to further support recovery in the second half of the year [2]