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石化行业共绘能源“3060”蓝图
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2025-05-06 02:53
Group 1: Energy Transition and Policy - During the 14th Five-Year Plan period, China will continue to lead the global energy transition, shifting fossil energy's role to chemical raw materials, with green technologies like renewable energy and CCUS expected to develop long-term [1] - By 2035, China's primary energy demand is projected to reach a peak of 7 billion tons of standard coal, with non-fossil energy's share expected to rise to 78% by 2060, supporting the carbon neutrality goal [1] Group 2: Renewable Energy Development - Marine oil and gas resources are becoming the main force for domestic oil reserve increases, with significant potential in marine renewable energy, such as offshore wind power, expected to exceed 350 million kilowatts in installed capacity by 2060 [2] - The energy pipeline network in China has made significant progress, with a total pipeline length expected to exceed 300,000 kilometers by around 2040, evolving from traditional transport channels to a new energy system [2] Group 3: Refining and Chemical Industry Transformation - The refining industry is transitioning from traditional fuel production to chemical raw material production, with crude oil processing expected to drop to 300 million tons by 2060, primarily for chemical products [2] - Catalytic cracking will focus on processing heavy raw materials to meet the demand for chemical raw materials [2] Group 4: CCUS Technology and Coal Chemical Industry - CCUS technology is seen as a key to achieving global carbon neutrality, with China expected to achieve a carbon storage capacity of 3 billion tons by 2060 [3] - The coal chemical industry faces structural supply-demand contradictions and challenges in green and digital transformation, necessitating a shift from "making good use of coal" to "making good use of carbon" [3]