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每周投资策略-20250609
citic securities· 2025-06-09 08:55
Group 1: Hong Kong and Mainland Market Focus - The growth rate of social financing in Mainland China is expected to peak around mid-2025, driven by government bond issuance and low base effects from last year [13][15]. - Chinese equity assets are entering an annual bull market, with a focus on the core asset pool of 50 stocks in the Hong Kong-Shanghai-Shenzhen market [16][21]. - The iShares MSCI China ETF is highlighted as a key investment vehicle for international investors looking to access large and mid-cap Chinese stocks [23]. Group 2: UK Market Focus - The UK economy is expected to slow down, with GDP growth in Q2 likely to be weaker due to various economic indicators showing a gloomy outlook [32][36]. - The labor market is cooling, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.5% and wage growth slowing, indicating potential demand weakness in the coming months [32][41]. - The iShares MSCI UK ETF is noted for tracking the performance of large and mid-cap companies in the UK, providing exposure to the UK market [42]. Group 3: Stablecoin Theme - Global regulatory efforts are accelerating, with the U.S. and Hong Kong advancing legislation on stablecoins, which could enhance their role in cross-border payments [48][51]. - Stablecoins are seen as a programmable digital currency that can bridge the gap between fiat and cryptocurrencies, enhancing market liquidity [48][51]. - The advantages of compliant stablecoin systems over traditional SWIFT systems are highlighted, particularly in terms of efficiency and transparency in cross-border transactions [51][52].
资金、政策、技术共振,重视能源IT内需高景气赛道
2025-05-18 15:48
资金、政策、技术共振,重视能源 IT 内需高景气赛道 20250518 摘要 • 国内电网和电源工程投资持续增长,2024 年分别同比增长 15.3%和 20.8%,国家电网预计 2025 年投资超 6,500 亿,同比增长 8%,南方电 网固投预计达 1,750 亿,同比增长约 5%,一季度国家电网投资增速达 27.7%,创历史新高,反映能源基建领域的强劲需求。 • 政策层面强调构建高比例新能源供给消纳体系和市场化价格体系,推动储 能、配电网、调度、车网融合等方向发展,并完善现货市场交易机制,为 能源 IT 领域发展提供政策支持。 • AI 技术在能源 IT 领域应用广泛,包括发电侧的功率预测精度提升,电网侧 的智能巡检、智能配电、智能调度,以及用电侧的智能营销和电价精准预 测,加速能源央企部署 AI 技术。 • 分布式光伏发展迅速,截至 2023 年底累计装机容量占比达 42.3%,相关 政策引导产业规范高质量发展,将带动装机稳步增长,同时增加功率预测、 电价预测需求,并推动配网系统自动化升级。 能源 IT 领域在当前阶段有哪些显著的优势? 能源 IT 领域在当前阶段具有显著的比较优势,主要体现在资金、政 ...