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新加坡上调今年经济增长预测
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-08-21 22:08
Economic Outlook - Singapore's Ministry of Trade and Industry has revised its GDP growth forecast for 2025 from 0.0%-2.0% to 1.5%-2.5% based on stronger-than-expected performance in the first half of the year [1][2] - The economy grew by 4.4% year-on-year in Q2, slightly up from 4.1% in Q1, with a seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter growth of 1.4%, reversing a contraction of 0.5% in Q1 [1] Sector Performance - Growth was primarily driven by outward-oriented sectors such as wholesale trade, manufacturing, financial services, and transportation and warehousing, which engaged in preemptive trade activities in response to impending U.S. tariffs [1][2] - However, the local food and beverage sector experienced a contraction due to increased outbound tourism [1] Future Challenges - The report warns of potential economic slowdown in the second half of 2025, particularly for outward-oriented industries facing weakened demand [3] - The anticipated impact of U.S. tariffs on global end-market demand may lead to reduced growth in the manufacturing sector, although sectors like aerospace engineering and precision engineering may continue to see growth due to ongoing maintenance and refurbishment work [3] - The Ministry will closely monitor global and domestic economic developments and adjust growth forecasts as necessary [3]