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关税“休战”的第一个90天
第一财经· 2025-08-14 02:56
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the impact of the recent suspension of tariffs between China and the U.S. on the foreign trade industry, highlighting the uncertainty and adjustments made by businesses in response to changing trade policies [5][11]. Group 1: Tariff Suspension and Its Effects - On August 12, a 90-day suspension of a 24% tariff was announced, while a remaining 10% tariff and an additional 20% tariff on certain products remain in effect, resulting in a total of 30% tariffs on Chinese exports to the U.S. [5][11]. - The initial announcement of "reciprocal tariffs" in April caused significant disruptions in trade, with tariffs on some products exceeding 100%, leading many businesses to halt production [5][11]. Group 2: Changes in Business Operations - August is typically a busy season for foreign trade operators, but this year, many businesses are ending their busy season earlier due to the uncertainty surrounding tariffs [15][19]. - Companies have reported an increase in workload, with some factories experiencing a 20% increase in production to meet urgent orders before the tariff deadline [19][20]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Trade Behavior - Despite a brief surge in shipping demand, the overall shipping rates did not rise as expected, indicating a cautious approach from both suppliers and buyers [22][24]. - Many Chinese suppliers are opting for smaller, more frequent shipments to manage risks associated with tariffs, reflecting a shift in trade behavior [25][26]. Group 4: Consumer Demand and Product Strategy - There is a noticeable shift in consumer demand towards lower-priced products, as higher tariffs have led to increased prices for goods [26][27]. - Companies are focusing on product innovation and cost reduction strategies to remain competitive, with some exploring new markets outside the U.S. [31][32]. Group 5: Future Outlook and Strategic Adjustments - The uncertainty surrounding tariffs has led companies to adopt a wait-and-see approach, with many choosing to maintain current operations rather than aggressively pursuing new markets [30][32]. - Platforms like TikTok Shop and Temu are expanding in Europe while facing declines in the U.S., indicating a potential shift in market focus for e-commerce businesses [32].