计算机与电子设备制造

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美国制造业复兴——从数据看在岸制造的挑战
王涵论宏观· 2025-08-24 14:31
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges and slow progress of the U.S. manufacturing sector's efforts to return production to the country, despite significant investment announcements from foreign entities and government initiatives aimed at revitalizing the industry [1][6]. Investment Overview - Announced greenfield foreign direct investment (FDI) projects in the U.S. have increased by 96% from the average levels of 2017-2019, with commitments of $550 billion from Japan and $350 billion from South Korea [2][9]. - However, actual FDI inflows have only grown by 18% during the same period, indicating a significant gap between announced and realized investments [10]. Manufacturing Production - Despite a 110% increase in manufacturing construction spending since 2020, this has not translated into a corresponding increase in manufacturing production, which has only seen a 2% rise since 2019 [12][17]. - The manufacturing value added as a percentage of global totals has continued to decline, indicating a lack of competitiveness [17]. Employment Trends - Although companies have announced job creation due to manufacturing reshoring, actual employment in the sector has decreased, with a notable drop in 2024, marking the largest contraction since the 2008 financial crisis [2][22]. - The manufacturing employment share of total non-farm employment has fallen from 13% in 2000 to 8% in 2024, highlighting a significant labor shortage [31]. Sector-Specific Insights - The electronics industry has seen substantial investment growth, with construction spending in data centers and electronic equipment manufacturing increasing by 247% and 740%, respectively [25][28]. - However, the electronics sector's contribution to overall manufacturing output remains limited, accounting for only 4% of total manufacturing production [28]. Structural Challenges - The U.S. manufacturing sector faces significant constraints, including a shortage of qualified labor and inadequate infrastructure, which hinder further progress [4][31]. - The labor cost in the U.S. is significantly higher than in other countries, with manufacturing costs being 10%-50% more expensive, complicating the reshoring efforts [32]. Infrastructure Issues - The American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) has rated U.S. infrastructure as a C grade, indicating critical issues that need addressing to support manufacturing growth [35]. - Upgrading the aging electrical grid is essential, as increased power demands from new manufacturing facilities are expected to strain existing infrastructure [35].