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福斯特(603806):公司调研更新报告:光伏胶膜业务短期承压,电子材料业务加速布局
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6][19]. Core Views - The company is currently facing short-term performance pressure due to a downturn in the photovoltaic industry, but its electronic materials and functional film businesses are growing rapidly, creating a second growth curve with clear long-term growth momentum [2]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 22,589 million, with a year-on-year growth of 19.7%. However, a decline of 15.2% is expected in 2024, followed by a recovery with growth rates of 10.1%, 10.6%, and 12.9% in the subsequent years [4]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 1,850 million in 2023, with a decrease of 29.3% expected in 2024, before rebounding to 1,691 million in 2025, and reaching 2,890 million by 2027 [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is estimated to be 0.71 in 2023, dropping to 0.50 in 2024, and then increasing to 1.11 by 2027 [4]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to decline to 8.0% in 2024, before recovering to 14.7% by 2027 [4]. Target Price - The target price for the company is set at 17.00 yuan, based on a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 25 times the estimated EPS for 2025 [12]. Business Growth Drivers - The company has established itself as a leader in the domestic photosensitive dry film market, with significant sales growth expected in 2024, projected to reach 15,933.90 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 37.97% [12]. - The functional film materials business, including aluminum-plastic films and RO support films, is also expected to accelerate growth, driven by increasing demand in the new energy vehicle and water resource treatment markets [12].