轨交控制系统

Search documents
中国通号:经营稳健,海外业务增速高-20250402
Southwest Securities· 2025-04-02 09:55
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Communication Technology Co., Ltd. (688009) with a target price of 7.20 CNY over the next six months, while the current price is 5.58 CNY [1]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 326.44 billion CNY for 2024, a decrease of 11.98% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 34.95 billion CNY, reflecting a slight increase of 0.50% [7]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 showed better-than-expected performance with a revenue of 117.0 billion CNY, down 5.6% year-on-year, but a net profit of 11.4 billion CNY, up 24.7% year-on-year [7]. - The company is optimizing its business structure, leading to improved profitability, with a gross margin of 29.2% in 2024, up 3.5 percentage points year-on-year [7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for 2024 was 326.44 billion CNY, with projections of 352.37 billion CNY for 2025, 377.09 billion CNY for 2026, and 401.71 billion CNY for 2027, indicating a recovery with growth rates of 7.94%, 7.02%, and 6.53% respectively [3][8]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to grow from 34.95 billion CNY in 2024 to 38.60 billion CNY in 2025, with a compound annual growth rate of 10% over the next three years [10]. Business Segments - The rail transit control system business generated 295.5 billion CNY in revenue for 2024, with a growth of 1.0% year-on-year. The equipment manufacturing segment saw an 8.0% increase, while the system delivery service segment experienced a decline of 6.4% [7]. - The overseas business segment achieved significant growth, with revenue of 24.4 billion CNY, up 64.2% year-on-year, driven by projects in North America and Southeast Asia [7]. Market Position and Future Outlook - The company is positioned as a leader in the rail transit control system sector and is expected to benefit from the ongoing equipment replacement cycle in the railway sector, aligning with national policies for large-scale equipment updates [7]. - The company is also expanding into the low-altitude economy, leveraging its technological advantages in rail transit control to develop drone manufacturing and service operations, with successful applications already demonstrated in several cities [7].