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模拟芯片,触底了?
半导体行业观察· 2025-06-15 02:33
Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor market is projected to grow by 11.2% in 2025, maintaining the previous forecast, while 2026 is expected to see a growth of 8.5%, though there are concerns about potential negative growth [1][12]. Semiconductor Market Overview - The total semiconductor market is expected to reach $630.549 billion in 2025 and $700.874 billion in 2026, with a growth rate of 11.2% and 8.5% respectively [3][8]. - The actual shipment volume from January to April 2025 showed a year-on-year increase of 19.3% [1]. Discrete Devices - The discrete device market is forecasted to decline by 2.6% in 2025, a downward revision from a previous growth estimate of 5.8% [2]. - From January to April 2025, the market experienced a year-on-year decline of 6.9%, but a recovery is anticipated [2]. Optoelectronics - The optoelectronics market is expected to decline by 4.4% in 2025, revised down from a previous growth forecast of 3.8% [3]. - The market showed a 1.1% decline from January to April 2025, but there was a sudden shift to double-digit growth in April [3]. Sensors and Actuators - The sensor market is projected to grow by 4.5% in 2026, with a previous forecast of 7.0% being revised down [4]. - From January to April 2025, the market is expected to grow by 16.1%, indicating a resolution of inventory issues [4]. Integrated Circuits (IC) - The total IC market is expected to grow by 13.4% in 2025 and 9.1% in 2026, with significant contributions from various segments [8]. - The analog IC market is projected to grow by 2.6% in 2025, while the micro IC market is expected to decline by 1.0% [6][7]. Logic IC Market - The logic IC market is anticipated to grow by 23.9% in 2026, driven by strong demand for GPUs in AI applications [9]. - The market showed a year-on-year growth of 35.9% from January to April 2025, indicating robust performance [9]. Memory Market - The memory market is expected to grow by 11.7% in 2026, with a significant growth of 24.5% from January to April 2025 [10]. - Concerns exist regarding the sustainability of demand in the memory market, particularly in 2026 [11]. Overall Market Sentiment - The overall sentiment regarding the semiconductor market in 2025 is cautious, with a projected growth of 20-25% being more optimistic than the WSTS forecast [12].