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趋势研判!2025年中国锑冶炼‌行业产业链、市场供需、竞争格局及未来趋势分析:供需缺口持续扩大,锑价高位运行或成新常态[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-07-28 00:56
Core Viewpoint - The antimony smelting industry in China is undergoing significant structural adjustments, with a focus on resource security, high-end transformation, and green production, driven by stringent environmental regulations and resource constraints [1][20]. Group 1: Antimony Smelting Industry Overview - Antimony smelting involves extracting metallic antimony from antimony ores or products, aiming to obtain high-purity antimony (≥99%) or antimony compounds [2][4]. - The industry has established a complete supply chain from resource exploration and mining to smelting and diverse applications, with a high concentration in the midstream smelting segment [6][20]. Group 2: Industry Policies - Antimony is recognized as a strategic mineral resource by major economies, including the US, EU, and China, leading to a progressive and systematic policy framework in China [4][5]. - New export control policies will be implemented in 2024, and antimony will be included in the national security reserve system by 2025, marking a new phase in resource security [4][20]. Group 3: Current Industry Status - The antimony smelting industry is experiencing a deep structural adjustment, with an overall operating rate dropping to historical lows of 30-40% in 2024, and nearly 60% of enterprises ceasing operations [14][20]. - Antimony ingot and oxide production have been declining, with 2024 figures showing a decrease of 8.09% and 6.50% respectively compared to the previous year [14][16]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - Global antimony prices have surged dramatically, with a 234.8% increase in 2024, driven by supply-demand imbalances and increased demand from the photovoltaic sector [12][20]. - The import dependency of China's antimony industry is rising, with significant increases in imports of antimony ores and concentrates [10][20]. Group 5: Competitive Landscape - The industry is characterized by a "three strong" competitive structure, with leading companies like Hunan Gold, Huayu Mining, and Huaxi Nonferrous Metals dominating the market [18][20]. - Hunan Gold is expected to produce 1.8 million tons of antimony in 2025, accounting for 21.7% of global production [18][20]. Group 6: Future Development Trends - The industry is shifting towards resource security and high-end applications, with a focus on overseas mining rights and recycling of antimony [20][22]. - Demand from the photovoltaic sector is projected to drive significant growth, with expectations that high-end manufacturing will account for over 60% of industry demand by 2025 [22][23].