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暴跌7%,印尼股指触发停牌,原因找到了
华尔街见闻· 2025-03-18 10:51
Core Viewpoint - Indonesia's stock market faced significant declines, with the composite index dropping over 7%, marking the largest single-day decline since September 2011, attributed to various factors including mass layoffs, weak consumer data, and macroeconomic concerns [2][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Indonesian composite index has experienced a continuous decline for four trading days, reaching a new low since September 2021, and has fallen over 20% from its historical high of 7910.56 points in September 2024, entering a technical bear market [5]. - The Indonesian rupiah depreciated against the US dollar, trading at 16,419, while bond prices also fell [6][10]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - The Indonesian Central Statistics Agency reported a 2024 economic growth rate of 5.03%, slightly above the previous forecast of 5% to 5.02%, but still below the 5.2% target set by the previous government [7]. - Weak export performance has been identified as a primary reason for the economic growth falling short of expectations, compounded by consumer weakness ahead of the Ramadan holiday [7][8]. Group 3: Investor Sentiment - Concerns over potential changes in the finance ministry leadership have negatively impacted market sentiment, with rumors suggesting a possible replacement by a family member of the president [3][9]. - Significant foreign investor sell-offs have occurred, with approximately $1.65 billion in local stocks sold year-to-date, as investors shift towards safer assets amid a pessimistic outlook for the Indonesian stock market [10][11].