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The Zacks Analyst Blog Microsoft, Anheuser-Busch CVS, and Stran & Co
ZACKS· 2026-01-26 07:50
Core Insights - The article highlights the performance and outlook of several companies, including Microsoft, Anheuser-Busch, CVS Health, and Stran & Co., emphasizing their recent stock performance and strategic initiatives. Microsoft - Microsoft's shares have outperformed the Zacks Computer - Software industry over the past year, with a gain of 2.3% compared to a decline of 3.7% for the industry [4] - The company has strong fundamentals, with Azure holding a 25% share of the cloud market and strategic integration of AI through OpenAI [4] - Microsoft generates over $100 billion in annual operating cash flows with margins exceeding 40%, supported by diversified revenue streams [5] - The company faces intense competition from AWS and Google Cloud, along with rising regulatory scrutiny and increasing capital expenditure requirements for AI infrastructure [5] - Long-term debt stands at $43.2 billion, raising concerns about financial flexibility amid rising interest rates [6] Anheuser-Busch - Anheuser-Busch's shares have outperformed the Zacks Beverages - Alcohol industry over the past year, with a gain of 44.5% compared to 14.4% for the industry [7] - The company's pricing actions and premiumization strategies have contributed to a 3% year-over-year revenue increase in Q3 2025 [7] - EBITDA margin expansion is attributed to cost efficiencies and premiumization, with a predicted 4.1% rise in EBITDA for 2025 [8] - The Beyond Beer portfolio saw a 27% revenue increase, driven by significant growth in the Cutwater brand [8] - Digital platforms like BEES and Zé Delivery have enhanced customer engagement, although the company is experiencing volume declines due to a soft consumer landscape [9] CVS Health - CVS Health's shares have outperformed the Zacks Medical Services industry over the past year, with a gain of 57.3% compared to 5.3% for the industry [10] - The company is making progress in returning Aetna to target margins, supported by strong fundamentals and recent Star Ratings success [10] - CVS is implementing a restructuring plan to close 271 stores and aims to generate $500 million in savings this year [11] - The company's retail pharmacy script share remains strong, and it is advancing its digital strategy through investments in emerging technologies [11] - Ongoing pharmacy reimbursement pressures and macroeconomic challenges are affecting CVS Health's profitability [12] Stran & Co. - Stran & Co.'s shares have outperformed the Zacks Advertising and Marketing industry over the past year, with a gain of 100% compared to a decline of 10.5% for the industry [13] - The company, with a market capitalization of $36.58 million, is experiencing rapid scale expansion and better cost control [13] - A recent acquisition has improved the company's growth outlook by adding new vertical exposure and enhancing cross-selling potential [14] - Revenue diversification across promotional products and services reduces dependence on any single market, although the company remains unprofitable [14] - Working capital demands and reliance on discretionary marketing spend introduce macro risks [15]
Can Boston Beer's Margin Surge Compensate for Soft Volume Trends?
ZACKS· 2026-01-20 18:36
Core Insights - Boston Beer Company (SAM) is experiencing an inflection point with improving operational execution despite uneven consumer demand, raising questions about the ability to offset weaker shipment and depletion trends with profitability and efficiency gains [1][3] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Boston Beer achieved a gross margin of 50.8%, an increase of 450 basis points year-over-year, marking the highest level since 2018 [1][8] - For the first nine months of 2025, the gross margin was 49.7%, and earnings per share (EPS) rose to $11.82 [1] - Volume pressures are evident, with depletions down 3% and shipments down nearly 14% in Q3 [1][8] Operational Strategy - The company has focused on margin expansion, cost discipline, and improving portfolio mix rather than solely relying on top-line growth [1] - Approximately 90% of domestic volume is now produced internally, enhancing scale efficiency and cost absorption [2] - The shift towards "Beyond Beer" products, such as Twisted Tea and Truly, supports higher margins compared to traditional craft beer [2] Market Position - Despite margin strength, sustained declines in top-line growth could limit operating leverage, prompting management to reinvest some margin gains into advertising and innovation [3] - The company's stock has gained 6.5% over the past six months, outperforming the Zacks Beverages - Alcohol industry's decline of 2.8% and the broader Consumer Staples sector's fall of 3.2% [4] Valuation - Boston Beer shares are trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 18.11X, which is a premium to the industry average of 14.89X, indicating investor confidence in the company's margin expansion and long-term growth potential despite near-term volume pressures [9]
Is Constellation Brands Poised to Gain Share Amid Category Headwinds?
ZACKS· 2026-01-15 18:20
Core Insights - Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) is navigating challenges in a slowing U.S. beer market but is positioned to gain market share due to brand strength and effective retail strategies [1][4] - The company's high-end beer portfolio, including Modelo, Corona, and Pacifico, is a significant driver of its resilience, with Modelo being the top beer brand by dollar sales in the U.S. [2] - STZ's strategic pricing and smaller pack sizes are helping to maintain demand and profitability despite rising input costs [3][9] Company Performance - STZ has lost 7% in share price over the past six months, underperforming the Zacks Beverages - Alcohol industry's decline of 3.1% and the broader Consumer Staples sector's fall of 3.7% [5] - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 12.74X, which is below the industry average of 14.89X, indicating it may be undervalued [10] Market Positioning - The company continues to expand its distribution and shelf space, reflecting retailer confidence in its brands, particularly among younger consumers [2][4] - STZ's focus on controllable factors, such as brand investment and capitalizing on occasion-driven demand, supports its competitive position in the market [4]
Constellation Brands Q3 Earnings Preview: Growth or Pressure?
ZACKS· 2026-01-02 17:25
Core Viewpoint - Constellation Brands, Inc. is expected to report declines in both revenue and earnings for the third quarter of fiscal 2026, with earnings estimated at $2.66 per share, reflecting an 18.2% decrease year-over-year, and revenues projected at $2.2 billion, indicating an 11.6% decline from the previous year [1][2]. Financial Performance Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is $2.66 per share, down 18.2% from the same quarter last year [2]. - Revenue expectations are set at $2.2 billion, which is an 11.6% decline compared to the prior-year quarter [2]. - In the last reported quarter, the company achieved an earnings surprise of 7.7%, with an average earnings beat of 4.2% over the last four quarters [3]. Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for Constellation Brands, as it holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) and an Earnings ESP of +3.58% [4]. Key Factors Impacting Q3 Results - The anticipated results are influenced by sluggish performance in the wine and spirits segment due to decreased shipment volumes, affected by the SVEDKA and 2025 Wine divestitures, as well as changes in distributor contractual obligations [5]. - Increased costs from packaging and raw materials due to inflation, along with higher depreciation and operating costs from brewery expansions, are expected to negatively impact operating income [6]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is progressing with capacity expansion plans in Mexico to meet demand for its high-end Mexican beer portfolio, including hard seltzers [7]. - Constellation Brands is focusing on premiumization, successfully transitioning its portfolio towards higher-end brands that align with consumer trends, with key growth drivers being its high-end Power Brands [8]. Valuation Insights - Constellation Brands is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 11.22X, which is below its five-year high of 23.57X and the industry average of 15.11X, indicating an attractive investment opportunity despite expected near-term declines [9][10]. - The stock has underperformed recently, losing 2.9% over the past three months compared to the industry’s growth of 1.9% [11].
Brown-Forman Corporation's Earnings Overview
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-12-04 23:00
Core Insights - Brown-Forman Corporation reported an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.47, slightly below the estimated $0.48, indicating a negative surprise of 2.08% [1][3] - The company's revenue for the period was approximately $1.036 billion, exceeding the estimated $1.003 billion, but down from $1.1 billion in the same quarter last year [2][4] - Despite recent earnings challenges, Brown-Forman maintains its annual forecasts, citing growing demand for its whiskeys in emerging markets [4] Financial Performance - The reported EPS of $0.47 marks a decline from $0.55 per share in the same quarter last year [3] - The company has surpassed consensus revenue estimates twice in the last four quarters, reflecting some resilience in its performance [2] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is approximately 16.23, and the price-to-sales ratio is about 3.47, indicating the market's valuation of its earnings and sales [4] Leverage and Liquidity - Brown-Forman's debt-to-equity ratio stands at approximately 0.56, suggesting a moderate level of leverage [4] - The current ratio is around 2.97, indicating a strong ability to cover short-term liabilities [4]
Brown-Forman B (BF.B) Misses Q2 Earnings Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-12-04 15:10
Core Insights - Brown-Forman B (BF.B) reported quarterly earnings of $0.47 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.48 per share, and down from $0.55 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -2.08% [1] - The company posted revenues of $1.04 billion for the quarter ended October 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.85%, but down from $1.1 billion year-over-year [2] - Brown-Forman B shares have declined approximately 20.8% year-to-date, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 16.5% [3] Earnings Outlook - The future performance of Brown-Forman B's stock will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and the company's earnings outlook [4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.48 on revenues of $1.01 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.67 on revenues of $3.84 billion [7] Industry Context - The Beverages - Alcohol industry, to which Brown-Forman B belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 17% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges ahead [8]
Is Kirin (KNBWY) Stock Outpacing Its Consumer Staples Peers This Year?
ZACKS· 2025-11-12 15:41
Group 1 - Kirin Holdings Co. is a notable stock in the Consumer Staples sector, currently ranked 14 in the Zacks Sector Rank, which evaluates 16 different groups based on the average Zacks Rank of individual stocks [2] - The Zacks Rank model, which focuses on earnings estimates and revisions, currently assigns Kirin Holdings Co. a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a positive outlook for the stock [3] - Year-to-date, Kirin Holdings Co. has achieved a return of approximately 13.3%, significantly outperforming the average return of -0.3% for the Consumer Staples sector [4] Group 2 - Kirin Holdings Co. operates within the Beverages - Alcohol industry, which consists of 16 stocks and is currently ranked 199 in the Zacks Industry Rank, with the industry showing a loss of about 0.7% year-to-date [6] - In comparison, another stock in the Consumer Staples sector, Service Corp. (SCI), has a year-to-date return of 1.2% and is ranked 2 (Buy) as well [5] - The Funeral Services industry, where Service Corp. operates, has three stocks and is ranked 29, with a year-to-date performance of -0.2% [6]
Molson Coors Brewing (TAP) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Lag Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-11-04 13:41
分组1 - Molson Coors Brewing reported quarterly earnings of $1.67 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.72 per share, and down from $1.80 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -2.91% [1] - The company posted revenues of $2.97 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.67%, and down from $3.04 billion year-over-year [2] - Molson Coors shares have declined approximately 24.6% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 16.5% [3] 分组2 - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.18 on revenues of $2.73 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $5.45 on revenues of $11.26 billion [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank for Beverages - Alcohol is in the bottom 29% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential underperformance compared to the top 50% of ranked industries [8]
Molson Coors Q3 Earnings Preview: What's in Store for the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-10-30 17:30
Core Insights - Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) is anticipated to report declines in both revenue and earnings for Q3 2025, with revenue expected at $3.02 billion, reflecting a 0.6% decrease year-over-year, and earnings per share (EPS) projected at $1.72, indicating a 4.4% drop from the previous year [1][10] Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TAP's revenues is $3.02 billion, down 0.6% from the prior year [1] - The consensus estimate for earnings has decreased by 1.7% in the past week to $1.72 per share, representing a 4.4% decline from the year-ago figure [1] - TAP delivered an earnings surprise of 12.02% in the last reported quarter, but has a trailing four-quarter average negative earnings surprise of 0.3% [2] Earnings Prediction Model - The current Zacks Rank for TAP is 4 (Sell) with an Earnings ESP of -1.53%, indicating low odds for an earnings beat this quarter [3] Industry Trends - The U.S. beer industry is facing challenges due to tough macroeconomic conditions, leading to lower beer volumes and reduced consumer demand, particularly among lower-income and Hispanic households [4] - Brand volumes in the U.S. are down approximately 5% year-over-year, with mainstream segments experiencing contraction [5][8] - Canada is also experiencing economic softness and competitive pressures, impacting top-line growth despite premiumization efforts [6] Cost Pressures - Molson Coors is facing significant cost increases, particularly a 180% rise in Midwest Premium aluminum costs since January, which is expected to add $40-$55 million in additional costs for the year [7] - The company is more exposed to volatility in aluminum costs due to the difficulty in hedging this commodity [8] Strategic Initiatives - The company's Acceleration Plan has led to market share gains through innovation and premiumization, with strategic investments in core brands expected to cushion performance [9] - TAP has enhanced its digital capabilities and expanded brewing and packaging operations in the U.K., driven by the success of its Madri brand [11] Valuation - Molson Coors is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 7.75X, which is below its five-year high of 15.57X and the industry average of 13.98X, presenting an attractive investment opportunity [12] - Over the past three months, TAP shares have declined by 10.7%, compared to a 0.3% decline in the industry [13]
MGP (MGPI) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-10-29 13:41
Core Insights - MGP (MGPI) reported quarterly earnings of $0.85 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.62 per share, but down from $1.29 per share a year ago [1] - The earnings surprise was +37.10%, following a previous quarter where the company had a surprise of +51.56% [2] - MGP's revenues for the quarter were $130.91 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.42%, but down from $161.46 million year-over-year [3] Earnings Performance - MGP has consistently surpassed consensus EPS estimates over the last four quarters [2] - The company has also topped consensus revenue estimates four times in the last four quarters [3] Stock Performance - MGP shares have declined approximately 39.9% year-to-date, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 17.2% [4] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the market [7] Future Outlook - Current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.63 on revenues of $139.56 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.60 on revenues of $534.54 million [8] - The outlook for the Beverages - Alcohol industry is currently in the bottom 16% of Zacks industries, which may impact MGP's stock performance [9] Industry Context - Molson Coors Brewing (TAP), another company in the same industry, is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.72 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 4.4% [10] - Molson Coors Brewing's anticipated revenues are $3.02 billion, down 0.6% from the previous year [11]