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WDC Surges 250.9% in 6 Months: Is the Stock a Buy, Hold or Sell Now?
ZACKS· 2025-10-20 14:10
Core Insights - Western Digital Corporation's shares have surged 250.9% in the past six months, significantly outperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry and the broader market [1][9] - The company's focus on HDDs and the increasing demand driven by AI workloads are key factors contributing to its strong revenue growth [9][22] Company Performance - Western Digital has outperformed competitors like Seagate Technology, Pure Storage, and NetApp, which saw gains of 204.9%, 128.4%, and 45.8% respectively during the same period [2] - The company has a 52-week high of $137.4, raising questions about potential upside versus fundamental expectations [3] Growth Catalysts - The transition to a pure-play HDD company after spinning off its Flash/SSD business has strengthened Western Digital's margins and cash flow [4] - Rising demand for nearline storage, AI-driven data storage needs, and improving HDD average selling prices (ASPs) are expected to drive growth [4][22] - The company's ePMR and UltraSMR technologies enhance reliability and scalability, while next-generation HAMR drives are on track for qualification in 2027 [5] Financial Health - Western Digital has authorized up to $2 billion in share buybacks and initiated a quarterly dividend, reflecting strong cash flow and a healthy balance sheet [6][10] - For fiscal 2026, the company anticipates non-GAAP revenues of $2.7 billion, representing a 22% year-over-year increase, with projected non-GAAP earnings of $1.54 [11] AI and Cloud Demand - The adoption of Agentic AI is driving demand for unstructured data storage, with Western Digital leveraging this trend for product innovation [12] - The company has expanded its System Integration and Test Lab to accelerate customer success and qualification of high-capacity HDDs [13] Competitive Landscape - Western Digital faces competition from Seagate, which is advancing with HAMR technology, and other players like NetApp and Pure Storage [14][15] - Despite competition, the growing data demand presents strong prospects for both Western Digital and its competitors [15] Debt Management - As of June 27, 2025, Western Digital had cash and cash equivalents of $2.1 billion against long-term debt of $4.7 billion, indicating a leveraged balance sheet [16] - The company reduced its debt by $2.6 billion in the June quarter, improving its financial position [17] Valuation Metrics - Western Digital's shares are trading at a price/earnings ratio of 17.86, lower than the industry average of 22.44 but above its historical mean of 12.21 [21] Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue delivering higher margins, solid free cash flow, and consistent capital returns, with a strong outlook for fiscal 2026 [22]
Can Western Digital's SIT Lab Expansion Boost Its Competitive Edge?
ZACKS· 2025-10-15 14:31
Core Insights - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) has launched an expanded System Integration and Test (SIT) Lab, a 25,600-square-foot facility aimed at accelerating product qualification and enhancing customer collaboration [1][11]. Company Developments - The new SIT Lab is designed to address the increasing demand for faster, reliable, and scalable storage solutions, particularly in the context of artificial intelligence (AI) and cloud workloads [2][3]. - WDC's investment in the SIT Lab reflects its commitment to customer-first priorities, with engineers collaborating with key customers throughout the product lifecycle to ensure that high-capacity HDDs and next-generation data storage systems meet evolving needs [3][5]. - The facility in Rochester integrates with WDC's global network, supporting over 2,000 customer systems across the U.S. and Asia, which is expected to enhance cross-regional collaboration and localized customer support [4][11]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The demand for mass-capacity storage is increasing, driven by cloud investment cycles and the expansion of AI-ready data center infrastructure, positioning WDC favorably against competitors like Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) [6]. - Seagate is ramping up production of its Mozaic 3+ platform, with significant developments expected in the coming years, indicating a competitive landscape in the storage sector [6][7]. - NetApp is also experiencing growth in demand for its all-flash arrays, with a notable annualized net revenue run rate of $3.6 billion, reflecting a 6% year-over-year increase [8][9]. Financial Performance - WDC's shares have increased by 9.7% over the past month, slightly underperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry's rise of 10.1% [12]. - The forward price/earnings ratio for WDC is currently at 16.06X, which is lower than the industry's average of 22.39X, indicating potential value [14]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WDC's earnings for fiscal 2026 has been revised up by 1.85% to $6.62 over the past 60 days, reflecting positive sentiment [15].
Pure Storage Up 69% in 3 Months: Where Will the Stock Head From Here?
ZACKS· 2025-10-15 14:18
Core Insights - Pure Storage, Inc. (PSTG) has demonstrated strong stock performance, gaining 68.6% over the past three months, significantly outperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry, the Zacks Computer and Technology sector, and the S&P 500, which grew by 35.4%, 13.2%, and 7.6% respectively [1][8]. Performance Drivers - The stock rally is attributed to increasing investor confidence driven by AI-related demand, a subscription-based growth model, and the rising need for flash-based storage solutions [4][8]. - Strong demand from large enterprises and ongoing momentum in products like FlashBlade, particularly FlashBlade//E, along with the adoption of core software and services offerings, are key growth catalysts [5][10]. - Subscription services revenues reached $414.7 million, representing a 14.8% increase, with annual recurring revenues nearing $1.8 billion, up 18% year-over-year [5][11]. Product and Service Innovations - The introduction of the Enterprise Data Cloud (EDC) and enhancements to the Pure Storage Platform are expected to boost revenue growth by enabling businesses to leverage AI for improved workflow efficiency [6][7]. - New storage products, including FlashArray//X R5 and FlashArray//C R5, have been launched, with FlashArray//XL 190 expected to be available in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2026 [9][10]. Strategic Partnerships and Market Position - A strategic partnership with Meta Platforms has progressed to the first volume deployment, with revenues recognized in the fiscal second quarter [11]. - Management anticipates deploying 1-2 exabytes of DirectFlash technology by fiscal 2026, indicating strong confidence in future performance [11]. Financial Outlook - The company expects revenues between $3.6 billion and $3.63 billion for fiscal 2026, reflecting a 14% year-over-year growth at the midpoint, which is an increase from the previously guided 11% growth [11]. - Pure Storage reported cash and cash equivalents of $1.5 billion and free cash flow of $150.1 million in the fiscal second quarter [13]. Shareholder Returns - The company returned $42 million to shareholders through share repurchases in the fiscal second quarter, with $109 million remaining under its current authorization plan [14]. Competitive Landscape - Despite strong performance, Pure Storage faces challenges from economic pressures and intensifying competition in the flash-based storage market [15][16]. - The stock is currently trading at a premium with a forward 12-month Price/Earnings ratio of 39.34X compared to the industry average of 22.39X [18].
NetApp Launches Enterprise-Grade Data Platform to Power AI Innovation
ZACKS· 2025-10-15 13:31
Key Takeaways NetApp launched AFX, a disaggregated all-flash system built for high-performance AI workloads.The new AIDE unifies and secures data across hybrid multiclouds for efficient AI operations.NetApp added Azure integrations, including an Object REST API and enhanced global namespace features.NetApp, Inc. (NTAP) has unveiled a visionary suite of new products designed to strengthen its enterprise-grade data platform and power the next era of artificial intelligence (AI) innovation. As AI adoption move ...
Will Product Innovation Keep Western Digital's Momentum Strong?
ZACKS· 2025-10-06 14:36
Key Takeaways Western Digital shipped 190 exabytes in Q4, up 32% year over year, led by nearline drive demand.Shipments of 26TB CMR and 32TB UltraSMR drives more than doubled, topping 1.7 million units in June.WDC projects Q1 FY26 revenues of $2.7B and earnings of $1.54, backed by robust data center demand.Western Digital Corporation (WDC) is experiencing strong growth driven by the surging demand for high-capacity storage fueled by cloud computing and AI. As the company delivers cutting-edge HDD technology ...
NetApp (NTAP) Stock Drops Despite Market Gains: Important Facts to Note
ZACKS· 2025-09-29 23:01
Group 1: Stock Performance - NetApp (NTAP) closed at $118.52, reflecting a -1.13% change from the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.26% [1] - Over the past month, NetApp shares appreciated by 6.29%, underperforming the Computer and Technology sector's gain of 7.4% but outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 2.87% [1] Group 2: Upcoming Earnings - NetApp is projected to report earnings of $1.89 per share, indicating year-over-year growth of 1.07% [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is $1.69 billion, up 1.68% from the previous year [2] Group 3: Full-Year Estimates - Full-year Zacks Consensus Estimates for NetApp are earnings of $7.77 per share and revenue of $6.76 billion, representing year-over-year changes of +7.17% and +2.85%, respectively [3] - Recent changes to analyst estimates for NetApp may reflect evolving short-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating optimism about the business outlook [3] Group 4: Valuation Metrics - NetApp has a Forward P/E ratio of 15.43, which is lower than the industry average Forward P/E of 16.36, suggesting it is trading at a discount [6] - The current PEG ratio for NetApp is 2.1, which is in line with the average PEG ratio of 2.1 for Computer-Storage Devices stocks [7] Group 5: Industry Ranking - The Computer-Storage Devices industry is part of the Computer and Technology sector, holding a Zacks Industry Rank of 207, placing it in the bottom 17% of over 250 industries [8] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]
Will SMCI's Next-Generation Products Fuel Long-Term Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-09-29 13:30
Key Takeaways SMCI is first to ship NVIDIA B300 & GB300 AI systems, launching over 30 new NVIDIA- and AMD-based solutions.New DLC-2 reduces power and water use by up to 40%, cuts costs 20%, and operates at lower noise levels.SMCI expands manufacturing in Silicon Valley, Taiwan, the Netherlands, and Mexico to meet surging AI demand.Super Micro Computer‘s (SMCI) next-generation server platforms, storage offerings, and direct liquid cooling (DLC) racks are experiencing massive traction as enterprises and hyper ...
Will Strong Cloud and AI Demand Continue Driving WDC's Revenues?
ZACKS· 2025-09-24 14:41
Core Insights - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) is experiencing strong momentum due to cloud adoption and AI reshaping global storage needs, benefiting from increased demand for high-capacity drives [1][5] Group 1: Business Performance - In the fiscal fourth quarter, Western Digital shipped 190 exabytes of storage, a 32% increase year over year, driven by demand for nearline drives and high-capacity products [2][9] - The company reported a 30% year-over-year revenue surge in Q4, with Q1 guidance projecting non-GAAP revenues of $2.7 billion, reflecting a 22% year-over-year increase [5][9] - Shipments of 26TB CMR and 32TB UltraSMR drives more than doubled from the previous quarter, exceeding 1.7 million units in June [2][9] Group 2: Product Development - Western Digital is advancing its next-generation HAMR drives, which are entering the qualification phase, with a ramp-up targeted for the first half of 2027 [3] - The company’s next-gen ePMR drives are expected to complete qualification by early 2026, facilitating a smooth transition to HAMR technology [3] - The solid-state drive (SSD) market is expanding rapidly, driven by the demand for faster and more energy-efficient drives suitable for various applications [3] Group 3: Market Trends - The rise of generative and agentic AI is creating unprecedented demand for unstructured data storage, with AI agents generating data at an accelerated rate [4] - Cloud computing and AI-driven applications are significantly influencing the demand for high-capacity storage solutions [5] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The disk drive industry remains highly competitive, with Western Digital facing competition from companies like Seagate, Pure Storage, Hitachi, Samsung, and Intel [6] - Customer concentration and a leveraged balance sheet are noted as concerns for the company [6] Group 5: Valuation and Estimates - Over the past year, Western Digital shares have increased by 67.1%, outperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry's growth of 28.8% [12] - The forward price/earnings ratio for WDC is 17.76X, lower than the industry average of 22.06X [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WDC's earnings for fiscal 2026 has been revised up by 10.1% to $6.52 over the past 60 days [14]
3 Storage Devices Stocks to Focus on Amid Industry Headwinds
ZACKS· 2025-09-19 13:30
Core Insights - The Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry faces challenges from escalating trade tensions, macroeconomic turbulence, and intense competition, but benefits from trends like digital transformation, edge computing, and AI workload proliferation [1][2][6] Industry Overview - The industry includes companies that design, develop, manufacture, and market HDDs and SSDs for various devices, with some offering software-defined all-flash solutions and high-performance memory subsystems [3] Trends Influencing Growth - AI is driving demand for high-speed, high-capacity storage solutions, necessitating a shift towards NVMe-based SSDs and object storage for unstructured data [4] - Cloud storage technologies are evolving, with a focus on virtualization and edge computing to manage increasing data complexity and scale [5] Macro Conditions - Trade tensions and inflation are significant concerns, potentially affecting global IT spending, which is projected to reach $5.43 trillion in 2025, a 7.9% increase from 2024 [6] - PC shipments increased by 4.4% year-over-year in Q2 2025, but are expected to plateau in the latter half of the year due to vendor inventory adjustments [7][8] Industry Performance - The Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry has outperformed the S&P 500 with a 22.7% increase over the past year, compared to the S&P 500's 17.8% gain, but lags behind the broader sector's 28.3% growth [11] Valuation Metrics - The industry is currently trading at a forward 12-month P/E ratio of 21.15X, below the S&P 500's 23.32X and the sector's 28.93X [14] Company Highlights - **Netlist (NLST)**: Experienced a 44% sequential revenue increase to $41.7 million, driven by DDR5 demand, and is pursuing legal actions against Samsung and Micron for patent infringements [20][21] - **Pure Storage (PSTG)**: Expanded its Flash portfolio and reported strong demand for its products, with a Zacks Rank of 3 and a 71.6% stock gain over the past year [25][27] - **NetApp (NTAP)**: Benefiting from demand for all-flash arrays and cloud storage solutions, with Keystone storage-as-a-service revenues growing 80% year-over-year [32][33]
WDC Surges 129% in 6 Months: How Should Investors Play the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-09-16 14:10
Core Viewpoint - Western Digital Corporation (WDC) has experienced a significant stock rally of 128.8% over the past six months, outperforming both the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry and the broader market, driven by increasing demand for storage solutions and AI-powered data systems [1][8]. Performance Comparison - WDC's stock performance has surpassed competitors like NetApp, Inc. (NTAP) and Sandisk Corporation (SNDK), which gained 61.9% and 33.1% respectively, while WDC has underperformed against Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX), which rose by 133.2% in the same period [2]. Stock Price and Market Position - As of September 15, 2025, WDC's stock closed at $102.39, nearing its 52-week high of $103.78, raising questions about the sustainability of its growth relative to its fundamentals [3]. Growth Drivers - The surge in AI workloads and cloud adoption is a primary growth driver for WDC, as the demand for scalable storage solutions increases due to the rise of Agentic AI across various industries [4]. - HDDs are highlighted as the most cost-effective and reliable storage option, essential for large-scale data infrastructure, particularly in the cloud market, which constitutes a significant portion of WDC's revenue [5]. Financial Performance - In the last reported quarter, WDC achieved a 30% year-over-year revenue growth to $2.61 billion, exceeding expectations, with a strong outlook for continued demand momentum [12]. - Non-GAAP gross margin improved to 41.3%, up 610 basis points year over year, driven by higher-capacity drive sales and effective cost management [13]. Future Guidance - WDC anticipates non-GAAP revenues of $2.7 billion for the upcoming quarter, representing a 22% year-over-year increase, with projected non-GAAP earnings of $1.54 [14]. Strategic Developments - WDC completed the separation of its HDD and Flash businesses into two independent companies, enhancing focus on their respective markets [15]. - The company has authorized up to $2 billion in share repurchases and initiated a quarterly dividend, reflecting a commitment to enhancing shareholder value [16]. Debt Management - WDC reduced its debt by $2.6 billion in the June quarter, improving its balance sheet and achieving a net leverage target of 1–1.5x [20]. - The company currently has a debt-cap ratio of 88.7%, significantly higher than the industry average, which poses challenges for future growth initiatives [19]. Market Outlook - Despite macroeconomic uncertainties, demand from hyperscale customers remains strong, and WDC is well-positioned to capitalize on ongoing storage innovations [21][26]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for WDC's earnings for fiscal 2026 has been revised up by 11.5% to $6.50, indicating positive market sentiment [22]. Valuation Metrics - WDC's shares are trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 15.44, which is lower than the industry average of 21.39 but above its historical mean of 8.72, suggesting a relatively attractive valuation [25].