Key Takeaways Lamb Weston leverages 'Focus to Win' to boost profitability via cost savings and core market focus.Innovation drives growth with fridge-friendly fries and premium potato bites meeting shifting demands.Opportunities arise from food delivery growth, QSR evolution and rising air fryer popularity.Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. ((LW), a specialist in frozen potatoes, holds a leading position in the global frozen foods industry. The company has built a powerhouse around frozen potato products, fries and ...

Core Insights - European Wax Center, Inc. (EWCZ) reported mixed second-quarter 2025 results, with earnings per share (EPS) of 27 cents exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 19 cents, while total revenues of $55.9 million fell short of the consensus estimate of $57 million [1][2][10] Financial Performance - Total revenues decreased by 6.6% year-over-year, primarily due to weaker same-day services and retail sales, despite a 0.3% increase in same-store sales [2][10] - System-wide sales amounted to $257.6 million, down 1% from $260.2 million in the previous year [2] - Selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A) rose by 13.2% to $14.5 million, with SG&A as a percentage of total revenues increasing by 430 basis points to 25.9% [3] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 4.7% to $21.6 million, with the adjusted EBITDA margin rising by 420 basis points to 38.7% [4][10] Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - As of July 5, 2025, EWCZ had cash and cash equivalents of $63.9 million, net long-term debt of $374 million, and total shareholders' equity of $76.5 million [5] - The company generated $27.9 million in net cash from operating activities during the quarter [5] - Inventory levels remained stable year-over-year [5] Share Repurchase - EWCZ repurchased nearly 0.2 million shares of its Class A common stock for $1.1 million, bringing total repurchases under its existing $50 million authorization to $41.2 million [6] Future Outlook - For 2025, EWCZ revised its projections for system-wide sales to $940-$950 million, down from $940-$960 million, and total revenues to $205-$209 million, down from $210-$214 million [7] - Same-store sales are now expected to be in the range of 0-1%, compared to the previous forecast of 0-2% [7] - The company anticipates opening 10-12 new centers and closing 40-60 centers, resulting in a net loss of 28-50 centers for the year [8]

Core Insights - Celsius Holdings, Inc. reported strong second-quarter 2025 results, with both revenue and earnings exceeding expectations and showing year-over-year growth [1][10] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) reached 47 cents, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 23 cents and increasing from 28 cents in the prior year [1][10] - Revenue surged 84% year-over-year to $739.3 million, exceeding the consensus estimate of $645 million, driven by significant growth in North America and international markets [3][10] - North American revenues increased 87% year-over-year to $714.5 million, while international revenues rose 27% to $24.8 million [3] Profitability Metrics - Gross profit rose 82.2% year-over-year to $380.9 million, although gross margin slightly decreased by 50 basis points to 51.5% [4] - Selling, general, and administrative expenses climbed 107% year-over-year to $237.9 million, primarily due to the addition of the Alani Nu brand and associated acquisition costs [4] Brand Performance - Retail sales for the CELH portfolio in the U.S. increased 29% year-over-year, reflecting strong consumer demand for sugar-free, functional beverages [5] - Celsius held a 17.3% dollar share in the U.S. ready-to-drink (RTD) energy category, marking a 1.8-point increase year-over-year [6] - The CELSIUS brand's retail sales rose 3% year-over-year, while Alani Nu brand retail sales surged 129% year-over-year, indicating strong market resonance [7][8] Market Position - Celsius' past 52-week RTD energy retail sales exceeded $4 billion, surpassing the combined sales of the next eight RTD energy drink brands [6] - The company ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $615.2 million, long-term debt of $862.9 million, and shareholders' equity of $1.3 billion [11]

Core Insights - Medifast, Inc. reported second-quarter 2025 results with both net sales and earnings exceeding Zacks Consensus Estimates, despite year-over-year declines in both metrics [1][11] - The company is focusing on personalized support through its OPTAVIA program to meet growing consumer demand for long-term health and wellness solutions [1] Financial Performance - Quarterly earnings were reported at 22 cents per share, benefiting from an investment in LifeMD, with adjusted earnings at 4 cents per share, surpassing break-even estimates [3][11] - Net revenues fell to $105.6 million, a decline of 37.4% year over year, attributed to a decrease in active earning OPTAVIA coaches, although it exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $95 million [4][11] - The average revenue per active earning OPTAVIA Coach decreased by 6.9% year over year to $4,630, influenced by challenges in client acquisition and the rise of GLP-1 medications for weight loss [4][11] Coach and Customer Base - The number of active earning OPTAVIA Coaches decreased by 32.7% year over year, dropping to 22,800 from 33,900 [5] - The company is prioritizing the revitalization of its coach and customer base by introducing enhanced tools, data-driven support, and new products [2] Margin and Cost Analysis - Gross profit was reported at $76.6 million, down 37.9% year over year, with a gross margin of 72.6%, reflecting a decrease of 60 basis points [6] - Selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A) fell by 40.8% year over year to $77.7 million, primarily due to a reduction in OPTAVIA coach compensation [7] Operational Loss and Financial Health - The loss from operations improved by 86.5% to $1.1 million, representing 1% of revenues compared to 4.7% in the previous year [8] - As of June 30, 2025, the company had cash, cash equivalents, and investment securities totaling $162.7 million, with no debt and total shareholders' equity of $216 million [9] Future Outlook - For the third quarter of 2025, Medifast expects revenues between $70 million and $90 million, with potential losses ranging from 60 cents to break-even [12]

Core Insights - Energizer Holdings, Inc. (ENR) reported strong third-quarter fiscal 2025 results, with both net sales and earnings exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate, and showing year-over-year growth [1][3] - The company's Project Momentum, aimed at enhancing margins and operational agility, has been effective, contributing to organic sales growth and improved gross margins [2][9] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for the third quarter were $1.13, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 61 cents, and reflecting a 43% increase from the previous year [3][9] - Net sales reached $725.3 million, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $702 million, and representing a 3.4% year-over-year increase [3][9] - Organic net sales saw a slight increase of 0.1% year over year, driven by a 1.7% growth in volume, primarily from the Battery & Lights category [4][3] Segment Performance - The Batteries & Lights segment reported a 5.1% increase in net sales to $535.1 million, with segment profit rising 22.7% to $158.8 million [5] - Conversely, the Auto Care segment experienced a 1.1% decline in net sales to $190.2 million, with segment profit decreasing by 10.1% to $24.1 million [5] Margin and Cost Analysis - Adjusted gross profit for the third quarter was $325.0 million, an 11.7% increase year over year, with adjusted gross margin expanding by 330 basis points to 44.8% [6][10] - The margin improvement was attributed to $33.9 million in production credits and approximately $12 million in cost savings from Project Momentum, despite higher product costs and operational inefficiencies [6][10] SG&A and Advertising Expenses - Adjusted Selling, General and Administrative (SG&A) expenses rose 4.4% year over year to $123.6 million, influenced by costs from the APS NV acquisition and investments in digital transformation [7][8] - Advertising and Promotion (A&P) expenses increased by $5.5 million, accounting for 6% of net sales, up from 5.4% in the previous year [10] Future Outlook - For fiscal year 2025, Energizer expects net sales growth of 1% to 3%, including $40 to $50 million from the APS NV acquisition, with organic net sales anticipated to be flat to up 2% [14][15] - The company has raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $3.55 to $3.65, compared to the previous estimate of $3.30 to $3.50 [15] - Fourth-quarter net sales growth is projected between 2% and 4%, with organic net sales expected to be flat to down 2% [16][17]

Core Insights - Altria Group Inc. reported second-quarter 2025 results with both revenue and earnings exceeding expectations and showing year-over-year growth [1][2][11] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for the second quarter were $1.44, an increase of 8.3% year over year, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.37 [2][11] - Net revenues totaled $6,102 million, a decline of 1.7% year over year, primarily due to decreased revenues in the smokeable products segment, partially offset by growth in oral tobacco products [3][11] - Revenues net of excise taxes increased by 0.2% to $5,290 million, beating the consensus estimate of $5,190 million [3] Segment Performance - **Smokeable Products**: Net revenues fell 2.5% year over year to $5,357 million, driven by reduced shipment volumes, although higher pricing provided some offset [4][5] - Domestic cigarette shipment volumes decreased by 10.2%, attributed to industry decline and retail share losses, while cigar shipment volumes increased by 3.7% [5] - Adjusted operating companies' income (OCI) in this segment rose 4.2% to $2,947 million, with adjusted OCI margins growing by 2.9 percentage points to 64.5% [6] - **Oral Tobacco Products**: Net revenues increased by 5.9% to $753 million, mainly due to higher pricing, despite a decline in domestic shipment volumes by 1% [7][8] - Adjusted OCI in this segment grew by 10.9%, with adjusted OCI margins increasing by 3.1 percentage points to 68.7% [8] Shareholder Returns and Guidance - The company repurchased 4.7 million shares for $274 million in the second quarter, with $400 million remaining under its $1 billion share repurchase program [10] - Altria paid dividends totaling $1.7 billion in the second quarter [10] - The company narrowed its full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $5.35 to $5.45, indicating a year-over-year growth of 3% to 5% [11][12]

Core Viewpoint - Lamb Weston (LW) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues, which could significantly influence its near-term stock price depending on how actual results compare to consensus estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on July 23, with a consensus estimate of $0.64 per share, reflecting an 18% decrease year-over-year. Revenues are projected at $1.59 billion, down 1.2% from the same quarter last year [3][2]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 3.33% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4][12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for Lamb Weston is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -3.27%. This suggests a challenging outlook for the company to beat the consensus EPS estimate [12][8]. - A positive Earnings ESP is generally a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a favorable Zacks Rank. However, Lamb Weston currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [10][12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Lamb Weston exceeded the consensus EPS estimate of $0.87 by delivering earnings of $1.10, resulting in a surprise of +26.44%. However, the company has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once in the last four quarters [13][14]. Conclusion - While Lamb Weston does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors that may influence stock performance ahead of the earnings release [17][15].

Core Insights - Investors are increasingly focusing on artificial intelligence (AI) as a significant opportunity for growth, similar to past successes with companies like Amazon and Nvidia [1] Group 1: Company Summaries - **The Honest Company**: Specializes in personal and baby care products with clean ingredients, reported $97 million in revenue for Q1 2025, a 13% year-over-year increase, and is positioned for profitable growth [4] - **Stride**: A technology-based learning company with an 18% year-over-year revenue increase to $613 million in Q3 fiscal 2025, and profits of $99 million, with analysts predicting a 14% rise in stock price [6] - **Revolve Group**: An online fashion retailer utilizing AI, reported a 10% year-over-year sales increase and a 5% rise in net income, with mixed analyst opinions on stock price targets [8][9] - **Nomad**: A European frozen foods company with a 6% compound annual growth rate over the past decade, despite a recent sales decrease, all analysts rate it a buy with a target price 40% higher than current levels [10] - **Driven Brands**: Offers automotive services, reported a 7% sales increase in Q1, and plans to open 200 new stores in 2025, with a 30% average price target increase anticipated [11] - **Oddity Tech**: A cosmetics and skincare company using AI, reported a 27% revenue increase in Q1, but is seen as potentially expensive in the short term [12] - **Urban Outfitters**: Experienced an 11% revenue increase in Q1 fiscal 2026, with earnings per share nearly doubling, and all analysts expect further stock price increases [13] - **Shake Shack**: Reported a 10.5% sales increase in Q1 and more than doubled net income, with a positive long-term outlook despite a recent stock price surge [14] - **Academy Sports**: A sporting goods retailer facing short-term pressure but has long-term growth potential through new store openings and digital expansion, with a 20% average price target increase [16] - **Chef's Warehouse**: A specialty foods distributor with a 9% revenue increase in Q1 and earnings per share rising from $0.05 to $0.25, all analysts predict an 8% to 20% stock price increase [17][18]

Core Insights - Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD) is facing increasing input cost pressures, particularly in protein categories such as chicken and red meat, due to heightened demand and disruptions related to Asian flu in Europe [1][7] - The company's management indicated that pricing actions are being implemented but will likely lag behind cost inflation in the near term, leading to a revised lower adjusted EBITDA growth guidance for 2025 [2][3] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Nomad Foods reported a gross margin increase of 90 basis points year-over-year to 27.8%, but adjusted EBITDA declined by 1.8%, indicating early signs of margin pressure [2][7] - The updated guidance for adjusted EBITDA growth for 2025 has been revised downward to a range of 0% to 2%, from a previous range of 2% to 4% [2] Market Position and Strategy - Nomad Foods has a history of pricing to recover cost increases, but prolonged inflation in protein inputs may challenge consumer elasticity, particularly in value-seeking markets like the UK [3] - The company must balance cost recovery with demand retention while maintaining brand strength to offset margin pressure in the upcoming quarters [3] Peer Comparison - Conagra Brands (CAG) is also facing elevated protein and input costs, resulting in a 389-basis-point adjusted gross margin decline in Q3 fiscal 2025, and is focusing on portfolio restructuring [4] - Lamb Weston reported 9% global volume growth in Q3 fiscal 2025 and is executing over 30 strategic projects, despite a 5% decline in price/mix due to strategic pricing adjustments [5] Valuation Metrics - Nomad Foods shares have decreased approximately 5.5% in the past month, compared to a 1.7% decline in the industry [6] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 7.89X, significantly lower than the industry average of 15.77X [9] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Nomad Foods' current financial-year sales and earnings per share implies year-over-year growth of 4.6% and 7.3%, respectively [11] - For Q2 2025, the consensus estimate for sales is $892.71 million, reflecting a year-over-year growth estimate of 5.54% [12]

Core Insights - Frozen foods are experiencing rapid growth due to convenience, durability, and healthier options, with Nomad Foods Limited (NOMD) leading the savory frozen food market [1][2] - The company is focused on acquiring a leadership position in the frozen food sector through product launches, market expansion, sustainability efforts, and strategic acquisitions [2][3] Company Strategy - Innovation is central to NOMD's strategy, enhancing its product offerings and market presence through acquisitions like Fortenova Group's Frozen Food Business Group, Findus Switzerland, Goodfella's, and Aunt Bessie's Limited [3][10] - The management highlighted that the frozen food category has outpaced the overall food industry by nearly one percentage point over the last decade, driven by trends in convenience, sustainability, value, and taste [4] Market Position and Competition - NOMD is strategically positioned to leverage evolving market trends and meet consumers' nutritional needs, with major competitors including Conagra Brands, Inc. and Tyson Foods, Inc. [5][6] - Conagra reported net sales of $1.1 billion in its Refrigerated & Frozen segment for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, emphasizing innovation and supply-chain modernization [7] - Tyson Foods' Prepared Foods segment generated $2.4 billion in sales in the second quarter of fiscal 2025, focusing on a broad range of frozen and refrigerated products [8] Financial Performance - NOMD's shares have increased by 5.5% year-to-date, outperforming the industry's decline of 2.2% [9] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 8.11X, significantly lower than the industry average of 15.98X [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates year-over-year EPS growth of 7.3% for 2025 and 8.7% for 2026, although estimates have been revised downward in the past 30 days [12]