Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The fourth quarter revenue reached a record $790 million, reflecting a 0.1% increase compared to the prior year [11] - The operating ratio for the fourth quarter increased to 91.9%, up from 87.1% a year ago, primarily due to increased operating expenses [15][16] - Diluted earnings per share decreased to $1.77 from $2.84 in the same quarter last year [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Shipments per day decreased by 0.5% year-over-year, while tonnage per day declined by 1.5% compared to the fourth quarter of 2024 [7] - Revenue per shipment, excluding fuel surcharge, decreased by 0.5% to $297.57 [11] - The Southern California region experienced an 18% volume decline, resulting in an estimated $4 million revenue reduction for the quarter [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a 6.6% increase in contractual renewals in January 2026, indicating strong customer acceptance trends [7] - Despite a challenging demand environment, the company saw a 21% reduction in preventable accident frequency and a 10% decline in lost-time injuries, reflecting improvements in safety metrics [6][18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company has invested over $2 billion in capital over the last three years to expand its national network, which is expected to drive long-term profitable growth [5][22] - The focus remains on leveraging the national network to enhance service quality and operational efficiency, with an emphasis on technology investments [22][23] - The company aims to ensure appropriate compensation for its investments as it continues to scale its operations [24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the potential for improved performance in 2026, even if macroeconomic conditions remain soft [23] - The company is focused on core execution and believes it can continue to gain market share in a flat market by providing high-quality service [91] - Management noted that the operational challenges faced in January due to weather conditions are expected to normalize, with a positive outlook for the remainder of the quarter [83][88] Other Important Information - The company reported a cargo claims ratio of 0.47% for the fourth quarter, a record low, indicating effective risk management and operational performance [10] - Total operating expenses increased by 5.6% in the quarter, driven by rising self-insurance costs and employee-related expenses [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss monthly tonnage data and its impact on margin seasonality? - Management provided monthly shipment data, indicating fluctuations in tonnage and shipments, with expectations for improved performance in Q1 [26][27] Question: What is the tonnage backdrop for the 100-200 basis points improvement mentioned? - Management indicated that positive macro data could lead to tonnage growth, contributing to the expected operating ratio improvement [36][37] Question: How do new terminals impact profitability and operating ratio? - New terminals are currently a drag on the overall operating ratio but are expected to improve as they mature and contribute to revenue growth [44][45] Question: What is the pricing environment and how does it relate to customer recognition of investments? - Management emphasized the importance of maintaining pricing discipline and noted that the national network enhances the value proposition for customers [51][54] Question: How does the company plan to manage costs and capacity? - Management indicated that they have excess capacity to absorb additional volume and are focused on managing costs effectively [75][76]

Core Viewpoint - XPO is experiencing significant growth, with a 39% increase in stock price year-to-date, driven by strong manufacturing reports and positive industry sentiment [2][7]. Financial Performance - XPO reported a 5% increase in revenue to $2.01 billion, surpassing estimates of $1.95 billion, supported by a 5.2% rise in yield despite a 4.5% decline in tonnage per day [3]. - Adjusted earnings per share rose from $0.68 to $0.80, exceeding the consensus estimate of $0.76 [5]. Operational Metrics - The company achieved its best results in key service metrics, including damage ratio and on-time delivery rate, which allowed for price increases [4]. - The adjusted operating ratio in North America improved by 180 basis points to 84.4%, reflecting an operating margin of 15.6% [4]. Market Dynamics - XPO's business is closely linked to manufacturing activity, with approximately two-thirds of shipments related to industrial goods [8]. - The company estimates that volumes are currently down 15%-17% from healthy industrial levels, indicating potential for significant growth if demand normalizes [9]. Future Outlook - There are signs of demand improvement, with volume remaining flat in January despite adverse weather conditions [10]. - XPO has invested heavily in infrastructure, adding 25 service centers, 19,000 trailers, and 6,000 tractors since 2022, positioning the company for future growth [10]. - The company anticipates improved free cash flow as it moves past an earlier investment cycle, allowing for increased shareholder returns [12]. Valuation Considerations - XPO's stock is currently trading at a high price-to-earnings ratio of around 50, suggesting that some recovery expectations are already reflected in the stock price [11].

Investor Overview Q4 2025 February 2026 Forward-looking statements This document includes forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, including statements relating to our full year 2026 expectations of gross capex, interest expense, pension income, adjusted effective tax rate, and diluted share count, and future financial targets of North American LTL revenue CAGR, adjusted EBITDA ...

Core Viewpoint - Old Dominion Freight Line reported solid financial results for the fourth quarter of 2025, demonstrating a commitment to revenue quality and cost discipline despite a challenging environment. The company achieved a 99% on-time service rate and a cargo claims ratio of 0.1%, indicating strong operational performance [4][10]. Financial Performance - Revenue for the fourth quarter totaled $1.31 billion, reflecting a 5.7% decrease from the previous year, driven by a 10.7% decrease in LTL tons per day, partially offset by a 5.6% increase in LTL revenue per hundredweight [10]. - The operating ratio increased to 76.7% for the fourth quarter, up 80 basis points from the previous year, indicating a decline in profitability metrics due to decreased revenue [12][15]. - Cash flow from operations was $310.2 million for the fourth quarter and $1.4 billion for the year, with capital expenditures of $45.7 million and $415 million, respectively [14]. Operational Efficiency - The company maintained direct operating costs as a percentage of revenue at 53% in 2025, consistent with the previous year, despite a decline in network density [7][13]. - Investments in technology and business process improvements have enhanced productivity, allowing for better management of variable operating costs [7][6]. Market Position and Strategy - Old Dominion has gained more market share than any other LTL carrier over the past decade, attributed to its superior service and disciplined yield management [5][6]. - The company is cautiously optimistic about a recovery in demand within the industry, supported by its industry-leading service standards and increased network capacity [7][8]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates revenue for the first quarter of 2026 to be between $1.25 billion and $1.3 billion, with expectations of a sequential increase in operating ratio of approximately 150 basis points [22][23]. - There is a focus on managing costs effectively while preparing for potential volume growth as the market conditions improve [39][65]. Employee and Compensation Insights - The company continues to prioritize employee compensation, with healthy raises expected to be given, reflecting its commitment to rewarding employees for their performance [46][47]. Competitive Landscape - Old Dominion remains confident in its competitive position, citing a structural difference in capacity management compared to peers, which allows for better growth potential when demand increases [78][79].

Core Viewpoint - FedEx Freight, the LTL spinoff of FedEx, will launch with a debt rating of BBB-, one notch lower than its parent company's BBB rating, indicating it is still within the investment-grade category [1][5]. Debt Ratings - S&P Global Ratings assigned a BBB- rating to FedEx Freight, while Moody's has rated FedEx at Baa2, equivalent to S&P's BBB rating. As of now, Moody's has not rated FedEx Freight's debt [1][2]. - XPO, a competitor, has lower ratings at Ba2 from Moody's and BB from S&P, both of which are non-investment grade, indicating FedEx Freight's stronger position in the market [2]. Financial Structure - FedEx Freight will have a significant debt load, including a $4.3 billion dividend payment to FedEx. It plans to issue a $600 million unsecured delayed draw term loan and has an estimated $3.7 billion in other unsecured debt for this payment [4]. - Additionally, FedEx Freight has secured a $1.2 billion revolving credit facility, which will not be utilized until the spinoff is finalized [4]. Spinoff Timeline and Outlook - The spinoff is scheduled for June 1, and the BBB- rating comes with a stable outlook, suggesting no immediate changes in rating are expected [5]. - S&P anticipates that FedEx Freight will maintain funds from operations (FFO) to debt above 20%, driven by increased average daily shipments and revenue growth [6]. Competitive Position - FedEx Freight boasts approximately 26,000 doors, the largest in the LTL industry, and covers about 98% of all U.S. zip codes, providing a competitive advantage over regional operators [7]. - In terms of revenue, FedEx Freight reported about $2.2 billion for the quarter ending November 30, significantly higher than Old Dominion's revenue of approximately $1.4 billion for the quarter ending September 30 [6].

Financial Performance & Growth - Saia's estimated total market share in 2024 was 6.8%, up from 4.0% in 2017[21] - Saia's 7-year annual revenue CAGR of 13% vs the Top 10 LTL Peers average of 9% and LTL industry average of 5.9%[17] - Q3 2025 revenue was $839.6 million, a decrease of 0.3% compared to $842.1 million in Q3 2024[41] - Adjusted operating income for Q3 2025 was $104.1 million, a decrease of 16.8% compared to $125.2 million in Q3 2024[41] - Adjusted diluted earnings per share for Q3 2025 was $2.81, a decrease of 18.8% compared to $3.46 in Q3 2024[41] Investments & Expansion - Over $2 billion has been invested in the business since 2021, largely driven by operating cash flow[12] - Approximately $550 million to $600 million is planned for investment in 2025 to better support customer needs[12] - 69 terminals have been opened since the start of 2017, including in the Great Plains region, expanding Saia's footprint to a national network[12] - Approximately 61% of zip codes are within 50 miles of a Saia facility, up from approximately 35% in 2017[34] Operational Metrics - Revenue per shipment in Q3 2025 was $349.07[40] - Pounds per shipment in Q3 2025 was 1,355[40] - Length of haul in Q3 2025 was 894 miles[40]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Old Dominion's revenue totaled $1.41 billion for Q2 2025, reflecting a 6.1% decrease from the prior year, driven by a 9.3% decrease in LTL tons per day, partially offset by a 3.4% increase in LTL revenue per hundredweight [11][12] - The operating ratio increased by 270 basis points to 74.6% for 2025, influenced by revenue decline and a 160 basis point increase in overhead costs as a percentage of revenue [13][14] - Cash flow from operations was $285.9 million for Q2 and $622.4 million for the first half of 2025, with capital expenditures of $187.2 million and $275.3 million for the same periods [15][16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - LTL tons per day decreased by 9.3%, while LTL revenue per hundredweight increased by 3.4% [11] - Monthly sequential changes in LTL tons per day showed a decrease of 3.7% in April, an increase of 0.5% in May, and a decrease of 0.6% in June [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Current month-to-date revenue per day for July is down 5.1% compared to July 2024, with an 8.5% decrease in LTL tons per day [12] - The company expects to see a slight improvement in July compared to Q2, with a cautious optimism for the latter half of the quarter [42][44] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains focused on delivering superior service and maintaining market share during economic downturns, with ongoing investments in network, technology, and employee development [6][10] - The strategy emphasizes individual account level profitability and disciplined pricing to offset cost inflation [8][9] - The company aims to be the largest market share winner over the next decade, positioning itself to respond effectively to demand improvements [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted continued softness in the domestic economy but expressed confidence in the company's ability to produce profitable revenue growth and drive shareholder value in the long term [5][10] - The management team highlighted the importance of maintaining service excellence and managing costs effectively during uncertain demand periods [9][77] - There is optimism regarding potential economic recovery, with expectations that macro factors will stabilize and create opportunities for growth [30][52] Other Important Information - The effective tax rate for 2025 was 24.8%, slightly up from 24.5% in 2024, with expectations to remain the same for Q3 [16] - The company utilized $223.5 million for share repurchase during Q2 2025 [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on operating ratio progression from Q2 to Q3 - The company expects an increase in operating ratio by 80 to 120 basis points due to flat revenue and increased costs in salary, wages, and benefits [19][20] Question: Market share commentary and competitive positioning - Management believes their market share remains consistent despite economic weakness, focusing on maintaining share and increasing yields [28][30] Question: Pressure on operating supplies and expenses - The company experienced good performance in managing repairs and maintenance costs, but anticipates pressure from fuel costs and employee benefits in Q3 [32][36] Question: Pricing outlook for Q3 - The yield ex-fuel is expected to increase by 4% to 4.5%, reflecting consistent pricing discipline in the market [48][49] Question: Competitive environment and market share - Management noted that while competition exists, their service quality and reliability remain unmatched, particularly in high-service segments [56][61] Question: Long-term outlook and incremental margins - The company expects to achieve 35% to 40% incremental margins when demand improves, with a focus on maintaining a sub-70% operating ratio in the long term [100][101]