So, just a quick snapshot of what we're seeing this morning as we get up and running for trade. What's going to be a very busy week as I mentioned, we've got the jobs data, we've got the retail sales, we've got the CPI as well. Uh let's get to Alex Coffee now who joins me this morning.Very happy Monday to you, Alex. And we do have also some housing market data hitting the tape right now. What are you seeing there.>> Yeah, the housing market data comes in in line for December. Uh this is the NAHB housing mar ...

Core Viewpoint - A federal class-action lawsuit has been filed against UPS and two aerospace manufacturers, Boeing and General Electric, following a deadly cargo plane crash in Louisville that resulted in at least 13 fatalities and significant property damage [1][3][4]. Group 1: Incident Details - The UPS cargo jet crash occurred at Louisville Muhammad Ali International Airport on November 3, leading to a fiery explosion that destroyed nearby buildings and caused smoke and chemical contamination for local residents [2][4]. - The crash involved UPS Flight 2976, a McDonnell Douglas MD-11, which lost its left engine during takeoff, igniting 220,000 pounds of jet fuel and causing multiple secondary explosions [6][8]. Group 2: Lawsuit Information - The lawsuit, filed on November 7 in U.S. District Court, claims negligence and product defects against UPS, Boeing, and General Electric, alleging systemic failures in aircraft maintenance and safety [3][5][9]. - Plaintiffs, including a local resident and two businesses, are seeking unspecified compensatory and punitive damages for property destruction, chemical contamination, and personal injuries resulting from the crash [4][9]. Group 3: Investigation Insights - The National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) is investigating the crash, focusing on the aircraft's maintenance history and the performance of its GE CF6 engines, which have been linked to previous fatal incidents [7].

Group 1 - High dividend yields in blue-chip stocks do not guarantee safe income streams, as some may be value traps rather than genuine investment opportunities [1][5] - LyondellBasell has seen a 40% decline over the past year, with a double-digit dividend yield that appears risky due to missed earnings expectations and negative free cash flow [2] - Pfizer's stock is down 18% over the past year, with its attractive yield driven by significant declines in key income lines, resulting in a payout ratio of about 97% of free cash flow [3] Group 2 - Altria's large dividend payout is sustainable only while business remains stable, but faces risks from regulation, litigation, and declining cigarette volumes [4] - Companies in sectors like infrastructure, chemicals, and telecom may experience margin pressure and regulatory risks, impacting their ability to maintain high dividend payouts [4] - Evaluating high-yield stocks should include analysis of cash flow statements, dividend growth history, and the sustainability of the high yield [6] Group 3 - The top high-yield large-cap U.S. stocks include LyondellBasell (9.88%), United Parcel Service (7.75%), Pfizer (6.92%), Altria (6.39%), and Verizon (6.25%) [7]

Group 1: Alexandria Real Estate - Alexandria Real Estate is a leader in the niche of medical research office properties, which is expected to see strong long-term demand due to the importance of medical research in healthcare [4] - The company is currently facing tenant issues, with occupancy dropping to 90.8% in Q2 2025 from 94.6% at the beginning of the year, and funds from operations (FFO) decreasing by approximately 1% year over year [5] - Management is making changes to improve performance, focusing on its best assets, and the current ultra-high dividend yield stands at 6.8% [6] Group 2: General Mills - General Mills is a well-established food company known for its strong brand management and ability to adapt by buying and selling brands to meet consumer demand [7][8] - The company is currently experiencing a decline in organic sales, which fell by 2% in fiscal 2025, due to a shift in consumer focus towards health [8] - The dividend yield has increased to an attractive 4.9%, making it a potential buy for investors willing to wait for the company to realign with consumer preferences [9] Group 3: United Parcel Service (UPS) - UPS is undergoing a significant transition as it focuses on upgrading operations after a decline in stock value post-pandemic, which was driven by overly optimistic expectations about e-commerce [10][11] - Despite tough financial results, there are positive signs, such as a 5.5% year-over-year increase in revenue per package in the U.S. market during Q2 2025 [12] - The current dividend yield is 7.5%, but the dividend payout ratio exceeded 100% in Q2, indicating a potential risk of a dividend cut, although even a reduced payout would still offer an attractive yield [13] Group 4: Overall Market Perspective - Alexandria, General Mills, and UPS are all facing near-term challenges but possess strong business fundamentals that could make them attractive long-term investments [14]

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for United Parcel Service (UPS) due to lower revenues, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - UPS is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.56 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 12.9% [3]. - Revenue projections stand at $20.85 billion, which is a decline of 4.4% from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 1.47% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for UPS is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -1.00% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the likely deviation of actual earnings from consensus estimates, with positive readings being more predictive of earnings beats [9][10]. - UPS currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, complicating predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, UPS exceeded expectations with earnings of $1.49 per share against an estimate of $1.44, resulting in a surprise of +3.47% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, UPS has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Conclusion - UPS does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat based on current estimates and rankings, but other factors should also be considered when evaluating the stock ahead of the earnings release [17].

Core Viewpoint - Many stocks are presenting generational buying opportunities, with specific metrics indicating value and potential catalysts for growth [1][2]. Group 1: Chevron Corporation (CVX) - Chevron's stock has been stagnant over the past three years, trading down approximately 4% [3]. - Analysts have a consensus price target of $165.71 for Chevron, indicating a potential 21% upside from its current trading price, which is near its 52-week low [7]. - The company is expected to generate up to $8 billion in free cash flow by 2025 and is finalizing a merger with Hess Co. [6]. - Chevron has a dividend yield of 5%, with an annual payout of $6.84 per share, marking the 38th consecutive year of dividend increases [7]. Group 2: United Parcel Service (UPS) - UPS stock is currently at a 5-year low, impacted by reduced spending from low- and middle-income consumers [8][9]. - Analysts have a consensus Hold rating on UPS, with a price target of $128.74, suggesting a 31.8% upside [9]. - The company is implementing an initiative called "Efficiency Reimagined" to increase profitability amid expected revenue losses from its largest customer [9]. - UPS offers a dividend yield of 6.63%, with an annual payout of $6.56 per share [9]. Group 3: Campbell's Company (CPB) - Campbell's stock is trading at 5-year lows, with a forward P/E ratio of around 12x and a dividend yield of 4.25% [11][13]. - The company faces challenges due to potential tariffs on imported vegetables, which could impact its operations [11]. - Analysts have expressed concerns about an "anemic" growth environment, making it difficult for Campbell's to pass on price increases [12]. - Despite five Sell ratings, the stock may have already priced in much of the negative news, presenting a potential reward for investors [13].