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半导体领跑增长、智能设备支撑“新质生产力”
Datong Securities· 2026-02-03 11:09
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [3] Core Insights - The semiconductor industry is leading growth, with smart devices supporting "new quality productivity" as a clear example of China's economic transition towards high-quality development. The growth in these sectors is driven by technological innovation and improvements in total factor productivity [27][30]. - The report highlights the strong demand for high-performance memory driven by AI servers and new generation PCs, indicating that the storage chip industry is entering a new upcycle [24][29]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.44% to 4117.95 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 1.62% to 14205.89 points during the week of January 26 to February 1, 2026. The three major indices showed slight fluctuations but remained above the 10-day moving average, indicating strong short-term support [1][7]. Industry Data Tracking - Global smartphone shipments reached 336 million units in Q4 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 2.28%. However, China's smartphone shipments saw a significant decline of 29.4% year-on-year in December 2025 [18]. - Global semiconductor sales reached $75.3 billion in November 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 29.8% [21][22]. - The storage chip industry is experiencing a strong upward trend in DRAM prices since June 2025, driven by robust demand from AI servers and data centers [24]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on technology-intensive sectors like smart consumer devices and semiconductors, which are becoming core drivers of economic growth. It emphasizes the importance of domestic semiconductor companies that have made breakthroughs in design, manufacturing, and equipment [27][30]. - The report recommends paying attention to domestic equipment and materials companies that have entered the mainstream chip manufacturing supply chain, as they are crucial to China's self-sufficiency strategy in the semiconductor industry [30][29]. Industry News - Alibaba's Tsinghua Unigroup launched its high-end AI chip "Zhenwu 810E," which has been deployed in various applications, showcasing advancements in domestic chip technology [30][31]. - Two semiconductor companies announced price increases for their chips due to supply constraints and rising costs, indicating a tightening market [32][33]. - The semiconductor industry chain achieved significant profit growth, with integrated circuit manufacturing profits increasing by 172.6% in 2025 [34].