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Meet the Secret Ingredient That Makes American Express and Costco Recession-Resistant Stocks to Buy Even If the S&P Sells Off in 2026.
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-27 17:44
Core Insights - American Express is successfully attracting new customers despite raising annual fees on its popular cards, indicating strong demand for its services [1][4] - The company has seen significant growth in net card fee revenue, which increased by 39.2% from 2022 to 2024, compared to a 14.5% increase in merchant fee revenue, suggesting a robust increase in card sign-ups [2] - American Express's business model relies on charging higher merchant fees to offset the costs of generous cardholder rewards, which amounted to $16.6 billion in 2024, nearly double the card fees collected [3][9] Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, card fees generated $8.45 billion, accounting for 16.8% of total revenue, while discount revenue from merchant fees made up 69.8% of total revenue [2][3] - The increase in annual fees for the Platinum Card and Gold Card reflects a strategy to cater to affluent consumers and small businesses [7] Customer Demographics - The fastest-growing demographics for American Express are millennials and Gen Z, with the company adding 13 million new proprietary cards in 2024 [4] - Customer loyalty is a significant competitive advantage for American Express, especially during economic uncertainty [10] Comparison with Competitors - Both American Express and Costco have successfully built loyal customer bases despite charging annual fees for services that have free alternatives [5][6] - American Express's stock has outperformed the S&P 500 over various time frames, indicating strong long-term investment potential [6] Financial Performance - American Express has maintained a low net write-off rate of around 2%, showcasing effective risk management [8] - The company's forward earnings valuation is more attractive at 22.3 times compared to Costco's 47 times, making it a potentially better investment choice [19] Dividend Strategy - American Express has a history of rapidly increasing its dividends, currently yielding 1%, while Costco yields 0.6% but occasionally pays special dividends [20]
Is Costco Stock an Obvious Buy Right Now?
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-18 10:30
Core Viewpoint - Costco Wholesale has demonstrated significant long-term shareholder rewards, with a total return of 216% over the past five years, outperforming the market despite current stock trading 9% below its record high from February 2023 [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance - For fiscal 2025 Q3, Costco reported net sales of $62 billion, making it the world's third-largest retailer [3]. - The company's membership model fosters strong customer loyalty and generates recurring revenue, contributing to its robust sales performance [3]. Group 2: Competitive Advantage - Costco's business model is difficult to disrupt due to its substantial cost advantages, allowing it to purchase inventory at favorable prices and pass savings onto customers, which encourages increased spending [4]. Group 3: Valuation Concerns - Despite its strong historical performance and a market capitalization of $433 billion, Costco's stock is currently trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 55.3, nearing its highest valuation in the last 25 years [5]. - The current high valuation suggests that Costco may not be an obvious buying opportunity at this time, even though it remains a strong business to monitor [6].
Beyond AI: Should You Buy This Top Stock That's Up 232% in the Past 5 Years?
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-28 08:09
Core Insights - The article highlights the significant impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on the stock market and the economy, with companies like Nvidia seeing stock increases of 809% over the past three years [1] - It emphasizes that not only tech companies but also traditional retailers like Costco have shown impressive stock performance, with Costco's stock up 232% over the past five years [2] Company Overview - Costco has established itself as the leading warehouse club operator, differentiating itself from giants like Amazon and Walmart [4] - The company operates on a membership-based model, boasting 79.6 million memberships as of May 11, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 6.8% [5] Financial Performance - In the latest fiscal quarter, Costco reported $62 billion in merchandise sales, positioning it among the largest retailers globally [6] - Costco's same-store sales increased by 5.7% in the latest fiscal quarter, following increases of 5.3% in fiscal 2024 and 3% in fiscal 2023, indicating consistent growth [9] Cost Structure and Economic Moat - The company benefits from significant buying power, allowing it to acquire merchandise at favorable costs, with selling, general, and administrative expenses at just 9% of total revenue, compared to Walmart's nearly 21% [7] - Costco's business model, primarily reliant on membership fees, enables it to maintain low merchandise prices, creating a positive feedback loop that supports its economic moat [7] Dividend Policy - Costco pays a quarterly dividend of $1.30 per share, yielding 0.5% at the current share price, and has a history of issuing special dividends, including a recent $15 per share distribution in January 2024 [10] Investor Sentiment - The company has consistently outperformed the S&P 500 index over various time frames, showcasing its strong investment appeal [11] - Despite its strong performance, Costco's price-to-earnings ratio has reached 56.8, suggesting that investors may want to wait before purchasing the stock [13]
Heavy March Headwinds Continue: Stocks Market Indexes Down
ZACKS· 2025-03-07 01:01
Market Overview - The stock market experienced a significant decline, with the Dow dropping 427 points (-0.99%), the S&P 500 down 104 points (-1.78%), and the Nasdaq falling 483 points (-2.61%) [1] - Over the past month, major indexes have seen substantial losses: Dow -4.8%, S&P 500 -5.6%, Nasdaq -8.7%, and Russell 2000 -10.4% [2] Employment Situation - The upcoming Employment Situation report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is anticipated to show an addition of 170K jobs with an unemployment rate of 4.0% for February [3] - Recent private-sector payrolls from ADP were significantly lower than expected, indicating potential challenges in job growth [3] Company Earnings Reports - **Costco (COST)** reported fiscal Q2 earnings of $4.02 per share, missing estimates by 7 cents, but revenues of $63.72 billion exceeded expectations. This marks the first earnings miss in two years, with shares down 1% post-report [4] - **Gap (GAP)** exceeded earnings expectations with 54 cents per share against a forecast of 36 cents, and revenues of $4.1 billion slightly surpassed estimates. Shares surged 15% following the announcement [5] - **Broadcom (AVGO)** reported earnings of $1.60 per share, beating estimates, with revenues of $14.92 billion. The AI segment saw remarkable growth of 77% year-over-year, leading to a 15% increase in shares after the report [6]
Lowe's Q4 Earnings & Sales Beat Estimates, Comps Rise Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-02-26 17:35
Core Insights - Lowe's Companies, Inc. reported fourth-quarter fiscal 2024 results with both net sales and earnings exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate, marking an improvement in earnings year over year despite a slight decline in net sales [1][2][3] Financial Performance - Adjusted quarterly earnings were $1.93 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.83 and improving from $1.77 in the same period last year [2] - Net sales reached $18,553 million, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $18,346 million but reflecting a 0.3% year-over-year decline [3] - Comparable sales increased by 0.2%, a recovery from the 1.1% decline in the previous quarter, driven by high-single-digit growth in Pro and online sales, strong holiday performance, and post-hurricane rebuilding efforts [4] Profitability Metrics - Gross profit rose by 1.2% year over year to $6,097 million, with gross margin expanding by 50 basis points to 32.9% [5] - Operating income increased by 8.5% to $1,830 million, and operating margin expanded by 80 basis points to 9.9% [5] Financial Health - The company ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $1,761 million and long-term debt of $32,901 million [6] - For fiscal 2024, Lowe's generated cash flow from operations of $9,625 million and executed a buyback of approximately 5.5 million shares, totaling $1.4 billion [6] Fiscal 2025 Outlook - Lowe's anticipates total sales between $83.5 billion and $84.5 billion for fiscal 2025, with comparable sales expected to be flat to up 1% [7] - Adjusted earnings per share are projected in the range of $12.15 to $12.40, with capital expenditures estimated at approximately $2.5 billion [8] Stock Performance - Lowe's shares have increased by 1.3% over the past six months, compared to the industry's growth of 3.2% [9]