Key Takeaways RSG benefits from rapid urbanization in U.S., lifting waste volumes and supporting steady revenue growth.RSG is expanding Polymer Centers, RNG and energy projects, and new recycling capacity.RSG is electrifying its fleet and returning cash via dividends and buybacks.Republic Services’ (RSG) growth is fueled by North American urbanization, zero-waste adoption and industrial expansion. Investments in polymer recycling, renewable natural gas and fleet electrification strengthen its sustainability ...

Core Viewpoint - WM has announced a capital allocation program that includes a significant increase in its dividend rate and a new share repurchase authorization [1] Group 1: Dividend Increase - The Board of Directors has approved a planned 14.5% increase in the dividend rate for 2026 [1] - The planned quarterly dividend rate will be $0.945 per share in 2026, up from $0.825 per share in 2025 [1] - This marks the twenty-third consecutive year of dividend increases for the company [1] Group 2: Share Repurchase Authorization - WM has authorized a new $3 billion share repurchase program, which supersedes the previous $1.5 billion repurchase authorization announced in 2023 [1]

Core Insights - Bob Boucher, CEO of Waste Harmonics Keter, has left the company to lead Novvia Group, a packaging company based in Missouri [1] - Scott Gilbertson, chair of Waste Harmonics Keter's board and partner at TPG, is currently serving as interim CEO while the company searches for a permanent replacement [1][2] Company Background - Waste Harmonics Keter is backed by TPG Growth, which acquired Keter Environmental in 2021 and merged it with Waste Harmonics in 2023 [2] - The merged entity is expected to serve approximately 750 customers across nearly 70,000 locations, combining Keter's retail services with Waste Harmonics' industrial waste capabilities [3] Organizational Changes - The company has been methodical in its merger approach, announcing layoffs earlier this year in its New York office as part of the restructuring process [4] - The new headquarters for Waste Harmonics Keter is located in Stamford, Connecticut, where Keter was previously based [4] Leadership History - Bob Boucher has a notable history in leading companies under private equity management, having served as president and CEO of Win Waste Innovations and previously as CEO of Wheelabrator Technologies [5][6] - Boucher's experience includes leadership roles at various companies in the waste management industry, such as Transpacific, WM, Republic Services, and Synagro [6]

Company Overview - Waste Connections (WCN) is one of the largest integrated waste services companies in North America, operating in the US and Canada [1] - The company has experienced significant growth in recent years, largely due to numerous acquisitions, including a record number of deals [1] Analyst Background - The analyst has over 10 years of experience researching companies across various sectors, including commodities and technology [1] - The analyst has researched over 1000 companies and has transitioned from writing a blog to a value investing-focused YouTube channel [1] - The analyst expresses a preference for covering metals and mining stocks but is also comfortable with other industries such as consumer discretionary/staples, REITs, and utilities [1]

Core Insights - Waste Management, Inc. (NYSE:WM) is recognized as one of the 15 Best Long Term Stocks to Buy according to Reddit [1] - Wells Fargo initiated coverage on Waste Management with an Overweight rating and a price target of $238, projecting approximately 20% growth in unit profitability and about 40% improvement in free cash conversion over the next two years [2] - In Q3, Waste Management reported $6.4 billion in revenue, a 15% increase year-over-year, although operating income decreased by 12% to $989 million due to noncash expenses [3] Business Strategy - The company is advancing its landfill gas-to-energy strategy, which captures methane from landfills and converts it into renewable natural gas, providing a carbon-neutral alternative to fossil fuels [4] - Acquisitions are a key growth driver, with Waste Management spending $7.2 billion to acquire Stericycle, enhancing its position in the healthcare waste sector and enabling operational efficiencies [5] - Waste Management's core operations encompass the entire waste management process, including collection, transportation, recycling, landfilling, and treatment [6]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of enabling Javascript and cookies in browsers to prevent access issues [1] Group 1 - The article suggests that users may face blocks if ad-blockers are enabled, indicating a need to disable them for proper access [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for the third quarter was $63.3 million, a 13% decrease year-over-year but a sequential increase of 6.4% compared to the second quarter [18] - Gross profit dollars totaled $11.5 million, a decline of 2% year-over-year but a sequential increase of 3.9% [20] - Gross margin was 18.1%, which was 200 basis points better than the prior year but a sequential decline of 40 basis points [20] - SG&A expenses were $9.2 million, a 10% reduction year-over-year [22] - Cash generated from operations was approximately $5.7 million, a sequential improvement of roughly 46% [23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The decline in revenue was driven by the divested mall-related business and lower revenue from industrial clients due to challenging market conditions [18] - New clients added over $24 million in incremental revenue year-over-year, contributing to the sequential revenue growth [19] - The onboarding of new clients is progressing as planned, with gross margins from these clients showing consecutive gains [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Volumes from industrial customers remain subdued, and the pace of adding new clients has been slower than anticipated [9] - The company is focusing on diversifying its customer base by expanding into non-industrial end markets such as retail and hospitality [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is pursuing operational excellence initiatives aimed at standardizing processes and improving efficiencies [8][25] - A focus on share of wallet opportunities is being emphasized, with efforts to enhance collaboration between relationship managers and sales teams [9][10] - The company aims to broaden its customer base and expand service offerings to existing clients [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The macro environment remains challenging, but management believes that industrial markets are stabilizing [31] - The company expects to continue experiencing margin pressure but anticipates offsetting this through operational improvements and growing share of wallet with existing clients [17] - Management is confident in the company's ability to execute its value proposition and implement organic initiatives as macroeconomic conditions normalize [25] Other Important Information - The company has improved its vendor relationships, leading to the lowest service disruption rates in its history [15] - A subscription-like model for data access is being envisioned as a potential new revenue stream [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: How are the industrial end markets performing? - Management indicated that while the macroeconomic environment is uncertain, industrial markets are stabilizing, though seasonality will affect Q4 [31] Question: Has the strategy for expanding wallet share changed? - Management confirmed that a more disciplined approach has been implemented, focusing on collaboration between relationship managers and sales teams to enhance wallet share [33][34] Question: What are the expectations for operational improvements in Q4 and 2026? - Management emphasized continuous improvement and the implementation of KPIs to enhance operational performance, expecting positive impacts on financial results [37][45] Question: Can you provide an update on the vendor management platform? - Management reported that the vendor management platform is progressing well, contributing to improved relationships and reduced service disruptions [55] Question: What are the goals for debt reduction moving forward? - Management stated that aggressive debt reduction is a priority, with plans to pay down more expensive debt as cash generation improves [81]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for Q3 2025 was $63.3 million, a 13% decrease year-over-year but a sequential increase of 6.4% compared to Q2 2025 [18] - Gross profit dollars totaled $11.5 million, a decline of 2% year-over-year but a sequential increase of 3.9% [20] - Gross margin was 18.1%, which was 200 basis points better than the prior year but a sequential decline of 40 basis points [20] - SG&A expenses were $9.2 million, a 10% reduction year-over-year [23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The decline in revenue was driven by the divested mall-related business and lower revenue from industrial clients due to challenging market conditions [18] - New clients added over $24 million in incremental revenue year-over-year, contributing to the sequential revenue growth [19] - Gross margins with new clients have shown consecutive gains for multiple quarters, indicating a successful land and expand strategy [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Volumes from industrial customers remain subdued, and the pace of adding new clients has slowed compared to last year [9] - The company is focusing on diversifying its customer base by expanding into non-industrial end markets such as retail and hospitality [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is committed to pursuing business efficiencies, reducing variability, generating growth, and driving business margins [5] - A focus on share of wallet opportunities is being emphasized, with efforts to broaden the number of waste streams handled for individual clients [10] - The company is enhancing vendor relationships to improve service levels and reduce service disruption rates [14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The macro environment continues to present challenges, but management believes that all markets are stabilizing [32] - The company expects to continue experiencing margin pressure but anticipates offsetting these pressures through operational improvements and growing share of wallet with existing clients [17] - Management is confident in the value of the asset-light model and the ability to deliver improved financial results [26] Other Important Information - The company generated approximately $5.7 million in cash from operations, a sequential improvement of roughly 46% [24] - As of the end of Q3, the company had $1.1 million in cash and approximately $20 million of available borrowing capacity [24] Q&A Session Summary Question: How are the industrial end markets holding up? - Management indicated that the macroeconomic environment is uncertain, but all markets, including industrial, are stabilizing. Seasonality effects are expected in Q4 [32] Question: Has the strategy for expanding wallet share changed? - Yes, the company has implemented a more disciplined approach to the sales process and is collaborating more effectively between relationship managers and sales teams [34] Question: What are the opportunities for operational improvement moving into 2026? - The company is focused on continuous improvement and has defined major processes with KPIs to ensure optimal performance [38] Question: Can you provide details on the new food win? - The new food win was a competitive win, representing about 20% of the customer's total portfolio, with higher initial margins than typical [42] Question: What is the outlook for debt reduction? - The company plans to continue paying down debt aggressively, with a preference for reducing more expensive debt after Q1 [72]

Core Insights - Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT) is set to report its third-quarter 2025 results on November 13, with a consensus estimate indicating a loss of 7 cents per share, an improvement from a loss of 14 cents in the previous quarter. Revenue expectations are pegged at $25 million, reflecting a sequential increase of over 100% [1][8]. Group 1: Revenue Drivers - The anticipated revenue growth is attributed to the company's expansion into uncrewed surface vessels, recent AS9100 certification, and strengthened partnerships. Additionally, an Army contract and favorable government initiatives, including an executive order on shipbuilding and a focus on drone dominance in defense, are expected to provide strong support for growth [2]. - The higher 2026 SRR budget and increasing industry demand position Red Cat Holdings for sustained growth momentum [2]. Group 2: Cost and Margin Pressures - Ongoing investments are likely to have increased operating expenses during the quarter. The ramp-up in production for the new Army contract and research spending related to defense programs are expected to pressure margins, leading to a wider net loss despite rising revenues [3]. Group 3: Earnings Prediction - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for RCAT, as it has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating that the odds of an earnings beat are not favorable at this time [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - UBS has increased its price target for Waste Connections, Inc. from $190 to $195, maintaining a "Neutral" rating, citing steady execution and resilient fundamentals following Q3 results [1] Financial Performance - Waste Connections reported Q3 2025 revenue of $2.46 billion, up from $2.34 billion year-over-year, indicating growth [3] - Adjusted EBITDA for the same period rose to $830.3 million, aligning with the company's 2025 guidance, reflecting consistency and disciplined cost management [3] Future Outlook - UBS has adjusted its annual adjusted EBITDA forecasts for Waste Connections to $3.12 billion, $3.36 billion, and $3.70 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, attributing the upward revision to the company's strong performance and potential M&A activity due to pressures on smaller operators [2]