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泡泡玛特(09992):25Q3 国内、海外业绩高增,持续看好 IP 运营能力
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-10-25 08:52
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company has shown significant growth in both domestic and overseas markets in Q3 2025, driven by the continuous release of popular IPs [8] - The company is expected to maintain high profitability due to its strong IP operation capabilities and expanding overseas business [8] - The company is projected to achieve substantial revenue and profit growth in the coming years, with net profit expected to reach RMB 12.74 billion in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 307.57% [8] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2023 is projected at RMB 6,301 million, with a year-on-year growth rate of 36.46% [7] - Revenue is expected to increase to RMB 13,038 million in 2024, with a growth rate of 106.92%, and further to RMB 38,632 million in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 196.31% [7] - The net profit for 2023 is estimated at RMB 1,082 million, with a significant increase to RMB 3,125 million in 2024 and RMB 12,739 million in 2025, indicating growth rates of 127.55% and 307.57% respectively [7] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to rise from RMB 0.81 in 2023 to RMB 9.49 in 2025 [7] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to reach 54.4% in 2025 [7] Market Performance - The company reported a revenue growth of 245-250% year-on-year for Q3 2025, with domestic revenue increasing by 185-190% and overseas revenue by 365-370% [8] - The company launched a Halloween series of new products, which are expected to perform well in the Q4 sales season [8] - The company is also conducting a ten-year anniversary exhibition for its popular IP, which has received positive feedback and is expected to enhance brand visibility [8]