1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In Q3 2025, the overall default rate of bonds continued to decline, and the repayment rate increased significantly. There were no newly - added first - time default entities, and the default rate of private enterprise credit bonds decreased. The cumulative default repayment rate continued to rise, mainly due to debt restructuring of defaulting enterprises [1][8]. - The Zhongzhuang Construction convertible bond defaulted, and many construction - related enterprises triggered debt restructuring. The cash flow recovery efficiency of the construction industry is expected to improve, and the subsequent pressure may be alleviated [4]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 2025 Q3: Overall Default Rate Continued to Decline, Repayment Rate Increased Significantly 3.1.1 Bond Default Rate - The overall default rate of credit bonds showed a downward trend. In Q3, there were no newly - added first - time substantial default entities. The total default scale of credit bonds in Q3 was 592 million yuan. From July to September, the overall default rates of credit bonds were 0.98%, 0.97%, and 0.96% respectively [8]. - The default rate of private enterprise credit bonds continued to decline. From July to September, the default amounts of private enterprise bonds were 1.671 billion yuan, 829 million yuan, and 2.126 billion yuan respectively; the default rates were 8.94%, 8.90%, and 8.89% respectively, lower than those in Q2 [8]. 3.1.2 Default Repayment Rate - The cumulative default repayment rate in Q3 2025 continued to rise. From July to September, the cumulative default repayment rates were 14.29%, 14.40%, and 14.42% respectively. The high repayment amount in July drove the repayment rate to rise significantly compared with the previous quarter [13]. - The principal repayment scale of default bonds increased compared with the previous quarter. The debt restructuring of private real - estate enterprises accelerated the bond repurchase progress. Longfor Group, Sunac Group, and Furi Group promoted debt restructuring, and Furi Group completed the merger and restructuring [16]. - In the future, enterprises such as CIFI and Zhenro Properties will successively launch domestic debt restructuring plans, and the default repayment rate of real - estate enterprises is expected to further increase. However, the cash repayment obtained by investors after the restructuring plan is reached is limited, and the overall interests are still difficult to guarantee [17]. 3.1.3 Credit Event Statistics - In Q3 2025, a total of 31 new default bonds were added to domestic bonds, with a total balance of 3.4677 billion yuan. Among them, 26 bonds reached an extension agreement, mostly second - time extensions of bonds of troubled real - estate industry entities. Other industries included Contemporary Technology (medical), Chuying Agriculture and Animal Husbandry (agriculture), and Pengbo Telecom (telecom). There were 5 first - time extension bonds and 4 substantial default bonds [20]. 3.1.4 Urban Investment Sentiment - In Q3 2025, the number of non - standard risk events of urban investment decreased by 3 compared with the previous quarter, mainly distributed in Shandong, Yunnan, and Sichuan. In terms of administrative levels, they were mainly distributed at the district - county and prefecture - city levels, with 3 and 2 cases respectively in Q3 2025, accounting for 60% and 40% respectively. The proportion of non - standard risk events of district - county - level urban investment decreased [24]. - The number of urban investment commercial paper overdue entities remained high. In July and August 2025, the number of urban investment entities with continuous commercial paper overdue (i.e., the acceptor had more than 3 times of bill overdue within 6 months) was 59 and 55 respectively, similar to the level in Q2 2025, and still mainly distributed in Shandong, Yunnan, Henan, Guizhou and other places [27]. 3.2 Hotspot Analysis: Zhongzhuang Construction Convertible Bond Default, Many Construction - Related Enterprises Triggered Restructuring - Zhongzhuang Construction is a private construction enterprise. Due to the adjustment of the real - estate industry in recent years, the company's construction decoration business has faced pressure, and its profit has been mainly contributed by the property management service business. In Q3 2025, the company's convertible bond stopped trading and converting shares. The non - converted scale was 192.5902 million yuan, and the non - converted proportion was 16.06% [30][31]. - Many private and mixed - ownership construction enterprises have defaulted on debts and undergone bankruptcy restructuring. For construction enterprises that have not yet encountered problems, the central government has recently issued the "Accelerating and Strengthening the Clearance of Arrears Owed to Enterprises" plan, which is expected to improve the cash flow recovery efficiency of the construction industry and relieve the subsequent pressure [44][45].