截至2025年9月17日收盘，中证畜牧养殖指数(930707)下跌0.95%。成分股方面涨跌互现，兄弟科技 (002562)领涨10.02%，星湖科技(600866)上涨0.80%，瑞普生物(300119)上涨0.32%；金新农(002548)领 跌。畜牧ETF(159867)最新报价0.68元，今日净申购2900万份，连续7天获资金净流入，累计净申购3.46 亿份。 畜牧板块回调，但受反内卷影响，市场仍然看好生猪行业前景，9月16日，生猪产能调控企业座谈会在 北京召开，牧原股份、温氏股份等多家企业参会，会上提到了落实生猪出栏称重等内容。消息称，有关 部门之前已召开"生猪生产调度会"，计划将全国能繁母猪存栏量在现有基础上调减100万头左右，即降 至约3950万头。 兴业研究指出，当前生猪养殖行业正处于从规模竞争向质量效益转型的关键阶段。未来行业将面临三重 考验：供需再平衡中的价格波动风险、饲料成本反弹压力以及债务结构优化挑战。在此背景下，具备全 产业链协同能力、精细化管控体系和抗周期机制的企业将进一步巩固优势地位，而缺乏核心竞争力的小 微企业生存空间将持续收窄。行业洗牌进程较2024年明显加速，市场竞争焦点全 ...

Group 1 - The China Livestock Breeding Index (930707) increased by 0.72% as of August 26, 2025, with key stocks such as Xinghuo Technology (600866) rising by 2.04% and Muyuan Foods (002714) by 2.02% [1] - Pig prices are showing signs of stabilization after a prolonged decline, with major quotes in northern regions remaining stable and leading enterprises in Henan experiencing slight increases [1] - The government plans to conduct a central frozen pork reserve collection, with a notice issued for a bidding transaction of 10,000 tons of frozen pork on August 25 [1] Group 2 - The livestock ETF (159867) closely tracks the China Livestock Breeding Index, which includes listed companies involved in livestock feed, veterinary drugs, and livestock farming [2] - As of July 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Livestock Breeding Index accounted for 64.83% of the index, with Muyuan Foods (002714) and Wens Foodstuff Group (300498) being the largest contributors [3] Group 3 - China Galaxy Securities emphasizes the importance of a balanced investment strategy in the pig farming industry, predicting a potential year-on-year decline in pig prices by 2025, while costs are expected to decrease, leading to better-than-expected profits for quality pig farming companies [1] - The price of yellow chickens is correlated with pig prices, and given the low supply side, there is potential for price increases in the future [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the suspension of qualifications for several Thai poultry companies by the General Administration of Customs has led to a halt in poultry imports from Thailand, along with restrictions on imports from Brazil and the United States, potentially causing structural price increases in frozen products, particularly chicken feet and wings, by 20-30% due to a short-term supply gap of 5% [1] - As of August 6, 2025, the China Securities Livestock Breeding Index (930707) shows mixed performance among its constituent stocks, with Jinhe Biological leading with a 2.50% increase, while Xiongdi Technology experienced a 2.18% decline [1] - The Livestock ETF (159867) is closely tracking the China Securities Livestock Breeding Index, which includes companies involved in livestock feed, veterinary drugs, and livestock farming, reflecting the overall performance of listed companies in the livestock sector [1] Group 2 - As of July 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Livestock Breeding Index (930707) account for 64.83% of the index, with major companies including Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and Haida Group among others [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the pig price is expected to maintain a central level above 15 yuan/kg in 2025 due to limited supply growth and cautious breeding practices [1][2] - The industry is experiencing a supply gap, with a notable increase in piglet losses due to a virus mutation, which is expected to drive up pig prices in Q3 2025 [1] - Recent government policies aim to regulate the pig industry, including measures to curb low-price competition and promote the orderly exit of outdated production capacity [1][2] Group 2 - The pig price is under significant downward pressure in H2 2025, but multiple government policies are expected to support price increases and alleviate CPI pressure [2] - The overall investment logic in the pig sector is improving due to supply contraction and macroeconomic catalysts, suggesting a positive outlook for investment [2] - The CSI Livestock Breeding Index reflects the performance of listed companies involved in livestock feed, veterinary drugs, and breeding, with the top ten weighted stocks accounting for 65.27% of the index [2]

Group 1 - The China Livestock Breeding Index (930707) decreased by 0.55% as of May 28, 2025, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [1] - Leading gainers included Juxing Agriculture (603477) up by 1.41%, while the biggest loser was Ruipubio (300119) down by 3.28% [1] - The Livestock ETF (516760) fell by 0.63%, currently priced at 0.63 yuan [2] Group 2 - Muyuan Foods announced plans for a Hong Kong listing to enhance overseas business development, leveraging experience in disease prevention and pig farming technology [2] - The launch of the world's first self-propelled water body natural exchange aquaculture vessel, "Bay Area Lingding," marks a new era in deep-sea aquaculture technology in China [2] - According to Founder Securities, short-term pig prices may remain volatile, with a balanced supply-demand situation expected in the second half of the year, leading to optimistic profit forecasts for pig farming companies [2] Group 3 - As of April 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Livestock Breeding Index accounted for 69.38% of the index, including companies like Haida Group (002311) and Muyuan Foods (002714) [3]

Core Viewpoint - The aquaculture sector is experiencing positive momentum, with the introduction of innovative technologies and a potential recovery in consumer demand, which may lead to improved pricing in the medium term [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of April 29, 2025, the China Livestock Breeding Index (930707) increased by 0.04%, with notable gains from companies such as RuiPu Bio (300119) up 4.81% and PuLaike (603566) up 3.79% [1]. - The Aquaculture ETF (516760) rose by 0.16%, with a recent price of 0.62 yuan, and has seen a cumulative increase of 2.14% over the past month, ranking first among its peers [1]. Group 2: Industry Developments - The world's first large-scale deep-sea aquaculture vessel, "Bay Area Lingding," is expected to be delivered in June 2025, with an annual production capacity of 5,000 tons, equivalent to the output of 5,000 mu of fish ponds [1]. - Huaxi Securities anticipates that while short-term consumer demand is recovering, supply remains ample. However, due to a slow recovery in production capacity in 2024, pig prices may exceed expectations in the second half of 2025 [1]. Group 3: Valuation Insights - The latest price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) for the index tracked by the Aquaculture ETF is 13.13, which is in the 1.18% percentile over the past year, indicating that the valuation is lower than 98.82% of the time in the last year, suggesting historical low valuations [1]. Group 4: Index Composition - As of March 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Livestock Breeding Index include HaiDa Group (002311), Wen's Foodstuffs (300498), and MuYuan Food (002714), collectively accounting for 69.05% of the index [3].