中国银河证券指出，持续重点强调关注生猪养殖行业的攻守兼备布局机会，基于能繁母猪作用值及养殖 效率的考虑，2025年猪价同比或呈下行走势，年内相对平稳运行，叠加成本下行带来的利润超预期，重 点关注成本边际变化显著、资金面良好的优质猪企。黄鸡价格与猪价有一定相关性，且考虑自身供给端 低位，后续价格存上行可能。 截至2025年8月26日 10:02，中证畜牧养殖指数(930707)上涨0.72%，成分股星湖科技(600866)上涨 2.04%，牧原股份(002714)上涨2.02%，天康生物(002100)上涨1.51%，圣农发展(002299)上涨1.51%，晓 鸣股份(300967)上涨1.29%。畜牧ETF(159867)上涨0.75%，最新价报0.67元。 消息面上，猪价在持续探底后终于显现企稳迹象，北方多地主流报价稳定，河南地区龙头企业连续小幅 走强，市场情绪悄然转变。国家将于近期开展中央冻猪肉储备收储。华储网已经发布通知，计划于8月 25日进行1万吨冻猪肉收储竞价交易。 关联产品：畜牧ETF(159867) 数据显示，截至2025年7月31日，中证畜牧养殖指数(930707)前十大权重股分别为牧原股份( ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the pig price is expected to maintain a central level above 15 yuan/kg in 2025 due to limited supply growth and cautious breeding practices [1][2] - The industry is experiencing a supply gap, with a notable increase in piglet losses due to a virus mutation, which is expected to drive up pig prices in Q3 2025 [1] - Recent government policies aim to regulate the pig industry, including measures to curb low-price competition and promote the orderly exit of outdated production capacity [1][2] Group 2 - The pig price is under significant downward pressure in H2 2025, but multiple government policies are expected to support price increases and alleviate CPI pressure [2] - The overall investment logic in the pig sector is improving due to supply contraction and macroeconomic catalysts, suggesting a positive outlook for investment [2] - The CSI Livestock Breeding Index reflects the performance of listed companies involved in livestock feed, veterinary drugs, and breeding, with the top ten weighted stocks accounting for 65.27% of the index [2]

Group 1 - The China Livestock Breeding Index (930707) decreased by 0.55% as of May 28, 2025, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [1] - Leading gainers included Juxing Agriculture (603477) up by 1.41%, while the biggest loser was Ruipubio (300119) down by 3.28% [1] - The Livestock ETF (516760) fell by 0.63%, currently priced at 0.63 yuan [2] Group 2 - Muyuan Foods announced plans for a Hong Kong listing to enhance overseas business development, leveraging experience in disease prevention and pig farming technology [2] - The launch of the world's first self-propelled water body natural exchange aquaculture vessel, "Bay Area Lingding," marks a new era in deep-sea aquaculture technology in China [2] - According to Founder Securities, short-term pig prices may remain volatile, with a balanced supply-demand situation expected in the second half of the year, leading to optimistic profit forecasts for pig farming companies [2] Group 3 - As of April 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Livestock Breeding Index accounted for 69.38% of the index, including companies like Haida Group (002311) and Muyuan Foods (002714) [3]

Core Viewpoint - The aquaculture sector is experiencing positive momentum, with the introduction of innovative technologies and a potential recovery in consumer demand, which may lead to improved pricing in the medium term [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of April 29, 2025, the China Livestock Breeding Index (930707) increased by 0.04%, with notable gains from companies such as RuiPu Bio (300119) up 4.81% and PuLaike (603566) up 3.79% [1]. - The Aquaculture ETF (516760) rose by 0.16%, with a recent price of 0.62 yuan, and has seen a cumulative increase of 2.14% over the past month, ranking first among its peers [1]. Group 2: Industry Developments - The world's first large-scale deep-sea aquaculture vessel, "Bay Area Lingding," is expected to be delivered in June 2025, with an annual production capacity of 5,000 tons, equivalent to the output of 5,000 mu of fish ponds [1]. - Huaxi Securities anticipates that while short-term consumer demand is recovering, supply remains ample. However, due to a slow recovery in production capacity in 2024, pig prices may exceed expectations in the second half of 2025 [1]. Group 3: Valuation Insights - The latest price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) for the index tracked by the Aquaculture ETF is 13.13, which is in the 1.18% percentile over the past year, indicating that the valuation is lower than 98.82% of the time in the last year, suggesting historical low valuations [1]. Group 4: Index Composition - As of March 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Livestock Breeding Index include HaiDa Group (002311), Wen's Foodstuffs (300498), and MuYuan Food (002714), collectively accounting for 69.05% of the index [3].