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中钇富铕矿(重稀土矿)
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国泰海通|有色:“供改”落地,冶炼资产或加速重估
Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the new management measures for rare earth mining and smelting separation is expected to significantly constrain supply, leading to a revaluation of smelting assets and further catalyzing the rare earth sector's market performance [1][2]. Supply Constraints - The new management measures allow only designated enterprises by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) and the Ministry of Natural Resources to conduct smelting separation, incorporating imported ores into regulation. This change may lead to the exit of some small and medium-sized smelting enterprises, resulting in substantial supply constraints [2][3]. - The processing fee for heavy rare earth minerals has surged from 0.15 million CNY per ton to 1.35 million CNY per ton since early August 2025. The theoretical net profit for smelting separation is estimated at around 14,000 CNY per ton, an increase of nearly 20,000 CNY per ton compared to the beginning of the year. This indicates a potential for further profit expansion and asset revaluation in the smelting sector [2][3]. Price Dynamics - The demand for rare earths is expected to remain strong as the peak season for electric vehicles approaches, with both domestic and international companies actively replenishing their inventories. The new management measures are anticipated to catalyze both supply and market sentiment, sustaining upward pressure on rare earth prices [3].