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加密矿企接连向AI算力军火商转型 谁会是下一个CoreWeave(CRWV.US)?
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-15 09:21
Core Insights - The trend of cryptocurrency mining companies transitioning to AI and high-performance computing (HPC) services is becoming evident due to reduced mining profits from declining energy costs [1][6] - Bitcoin mining costs are projected to exceed $70,000 by Q2 2025, up approximately 9.4% from $64,000 in Q1 2025, necessitating diversification for mining companies [1][6] - The recent Bitcoin halving in April 2024 has significantly reduced mining rewards, prompting miners to seek alternative revenue streams [1][6] Transition Trends - Core Scientific has signed a $3.5 billion, 12-year GPU infrastructure hosting agreement with AI cloud provider CoreWeave, marking one of the largest AI hosting deals ever [2] - Riot has paused its Bitcoin mining expansion to focus on leasing its facilities to AI companies, indicating a shift in strategy [2] - MARA Holdings plans to acquire a 64% stake in Exaion for $168 million, aiming to expand its AI infrastructure business [2] Recent Examples - TeraWulf has entered into two ten-year agreements with Fluidstack to provide HPC clusters, with total contract revenue potentially reaching $8.7 billion [3] - Google is investing $1.8 billion in TeraWulf's project, receiving warrants for approximately 8% equity in return [3] - The profitability of AI computing is significantly higher than Bitcoin mining, with Iris Energy's AI service revenue reaching $2.2 million by June 2025, compared to a 75% profit margin in mining [3] Market Reactions - CoreWeave's transformation from a small mining company to a major AI computing provider has resulted in a valuation of $48 billion and a revenue increase of 200% year-over-year [4] - TeraWulf's stock surged nearly 60% after Google's investment, highlighting the market's positive response to strategic shifts [4][6] - Analysts from Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan are optimistic about the potential for companies like CleanSpark, Riot, and MARA to enter the HPC service market, with MARA's stock rating upgraded to "overweight" [5][6] Strategic Drivers - The primary driver for mining companies transitioning to AI/HPC services is the need for diversified profit models, as evidenced by CoreWeave's success [6] - The ability to convert existing infrastructure into sustainable profitability will be crucial for companies navigating market cycles [6]