人形机器人核心部件和模组
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 汇川技术(300124):3Q25业绩稳定增长,智能机器人业务快速拓展
 Huajing Securities· 2025-10-28 15:36
 Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for 汇川技术 (Inovance Technology) with a target price of RMB 92.60, representing an upside potential of 18% from the current price of RMB 78.27 [1][7].   Core Insights - The company reported a stable revenue growth of 21.0% year-on-year in Q3 2025, with total revenue reaching RMB 111.5 billion. The net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 4.0% year-on-year to RMB 12.9 billion [5][10]. - The report highlights the rapid expansion of the intelligent robotics business, which is a new strategic focus for the company, integrating various technologies to provide competitive solutions [6][10]. - The target price was raised by 12% from RMB 82.50 to RMB 92.60, reflecting an adjustment in valuation to 38 times the 2026 P/E ratio [1][7].   Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the revenue breakdown includes:    - General automation: RMB 43 billion (+25% YoY)   - Elevator electrical: RMB 13 billion (flat YoY)   - New energy vehicles: RMB 53 billion (+22% YoY) - The overall gross margin for Q3 2025 was 27.5%, a decrease of 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the increasing proportion of lower-margin new energy vehicle business [5][6]. - Cumulative revenue for the first nine months of 2025 reached RMB 316.6 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 24.7% and a gross margin of 29.3% [5][10].   Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 2.11, RMB 2.45, and RMB 3.03, respectively, with slight downward adjustments of 1% from previous estimates [1][11]. - The projected net profit for 2025 is RMB 5.67 billion, with subsequent years expected to reach RMB 6.59 billion in 2026 and RMB 8.17 billion in 2027 [11][12].   Market Comparison - The report compares 汇川技术's valuation with peers, indicating a P/E ratio of 37 for 2025, which is competitive within the industry [12].