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贪玩(09890):跟踪点评报告:2025年年报利润预计高增长,2026年迎接产品大年
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a strong performance relative to the local market index [8]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve significant net profit growth in 2025, with a forecasted net profit of no less than 1.5 billion RMB, a substantial increase from 44 million RMB in 2024 [10]. - The successful issuance of 468 million HKD in convertible bonds will accelerate the company's AI+ gaming strategy, enhancing operational efficiency and growth potential [10]. - The company has a rich pipeline of new games for 2026, which is anticipated to drive revenue growth, including titles like "King's Legend 2" and "New Moon Continent" [10]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to decline from 6,514.59 million RMB in 2023 to 4,607.70 million RMB in 2025, before rebounding to 5,621.05 million RMB in 2026 and 6,432.11 million RMB in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 22.0% in 2026 [4]. - Net profit is expected to recover dramatically from a loss of 3.62 million RMB in 2024 to 1,571.99 million RMB in 2025, with a projected profit of 1,208.54 million RMB in 2026 and 1,495.21 million RMB in 2027 [4]. - The company’s PE ratio is forecasted to improve significantly from 98.94 in 2023 to 5.80 in 2025, indicating a more favorable valuation as earnings recover [4]. Game Product Pipeline - The company has developed a diverse product matrix, including popular IPs such as "Legend," "Miracle," and "Blood of the River," with several new titles set for release in 2026 [12]. - Key upcoming games include "King's Legend 2," "New Moon Continent," and "Douluo Dalu: The Legend of the Evil," which are expected to contribute to future revenue growth [12].