Core Viewpoint - Anxu Bio (688075) reported a decline in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, indicating financial challenges and increased operational costs [1] Financial Performance - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 was 230 million yuan, a decrease of 7.42% year-on-year [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 59.31 million yuan, down 48.57% compared to the previous year [1] - Gross margin was 39.11%, a decrease of 4.19% year-on-year, while net margin fell to 25.76%, down 44.64% [1] - Total expenses (selling, administrative, and financial) reached 60.04 million yuan, accounting for 26.13% of total revenue, an increase of 87.61% year-on-year [1] Cash Flow and Assets - Cash and cash equivalents decreased by 64.19% to 234 million yuan, attributed to increased investments in financial products [3] - Operating cash flow per share increased significantly by 1420.52% to 0.03 yuan, due to improved collections [11] Liabilities and Debt - Short-term borrowings decreased by 100% as the company repaid its debts [4] - Other current liabilities increased by 820.77% due to dividend distribution accruals [4] Operational Insights - Revenue decline of 7.42% was influenced by customers delaying orders due to increased tariffs from the U.S. [7] - Sales expenses rose by 19.83% as the company intensified market expansion efforts [9] - Management expenses increased by 3.1% due to normal operational fluctuations [10] Business Model and Market Position - The company has nine major technology platforms in the IVD industry, focusing on various diagnostic products including drug testing and infectious disease detection [12] - The company's return on invested capital (ROIC) was 2.98%, indicating weak capital returns, while historical data shows a median ROIC of 37.7% since its listing [11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company achieved revenue of 1.246 billion RMB in 1H25, a year-on-year decrease of 20.9%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 189 million RMB, down 46.8% year-on-year, primarily due to domestic policy changes affecting hospital demand and a weaker outbreak of respiratory infectious diseases compared to the same period in 2024 [1][3] - Despite short-term challenges, the company is expected to maintain long-term growth potential due to its expanding product portfolio and improving domestic and international sales networks [1][3] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company's gross margin in 1H25 was 62.9%, a decrease of 1.5 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to domestic policy changes impacting product pricing [2] - The sales, management, and R&D expense ratios for 1H25 were 25.6%, 7.3%, and 14.0%, respectively, with increases of 5.4, 0.5, and 1.5 percentage points year-on-year, indicating ongoing investment in commercialization and R&D [2] Business Segments - The U.S. subsidiary's revenue in 1H25 is estimated to have grown nearly 20%, supported by stable toxicology testing and new respiratory testing products [3] - The international department's revenue is expected to show steady growth due to ongoing localization efforts and the introduction of new products [3] - Domestic business revenue is projected to decline in 1H25 due to external environmental factors, but long-term growth is anticipated through strategic advancements in immunofluorescence and other key areas [3] Long-term Business Outlook - Infectious disease testing revenue was 379 million RMB, down 21.1% year-on-year, primarily due to lower outbreak intensity [4] - Chronic disease testing revenue was 563 million RMB, down 26.1% year-on-year, affected by policy changes [4] - Toxicology and prenatal testing revenues were 145 million RMB and 138 million RMB, showing growth of 4.3% and a decline of 11.7% respectively, with expectations for improvement through new product launches and e-commerce channel development [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report adjusts the profit forecast for 2025-2027, estimating net profits of 426 million RMB, 491 million RMB, and 582 million RMB, reflecting downward adjustments of 35% for 2025 and 2026, and 33% for 2027 [5][13] - The company is valued at a 34x PE for 2025, with a target price of 30.09 RMB, up from a previous estimate of 27.07 RMB [5][8]