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YANCOAL AUS(03668) - 2025 H1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-20 02:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Yancoal reported a revenue of AUD 2.68 billion, a 15% decrease compared to the previous year, primarily due to lower average realized coal prices and delayed sales volumes [29][30] - Operating EBITDA was AUD 595 million, reflecting a 40% decrease, resulting in a margin of 23% [5][30] - Profit after tax was AUD 163 million, translating to AUD 0.02 per share, with a 50% payout ratio leading to an interim dividend of AUD 82 million [6][30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Long coal production reached 32.2 million tonnes, with attributable sellable coal production at 18.9 million tonnes, indicating a strong operational performance [4][10] - Cash operating costs remained flat at AUD 93 per tonne, an 8% improvement over the previous year [11][14] - Attributable saleable coal was up 11% compared to the previous year, despite flat sales due to temporary disruptions [12][10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The realized thermal coal price was AUD 138 per tonne, down 12% from the previous year, while metallurgical coal prices fell 35% to AUD 207 per tonne [22][23] - The company noted a stable customer mix, with significant contributions from China and Japan, although global demand for metallurgical coal remains sluggish [20][21] - Supply cuts from Indonesia (12%) and Colombia (24%) were observed, which could support a recovery in international thermal coal prices [22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Yancoal aims to maintain production guidance of 35 to 39 million tonnes for the full year, with a focus on optimizing operational performance and cost management [34] - The company is committed to reinvesting in its assets to ensure productivity and cost-effectiveness, with capital expenditure guidance set between AUD 750 million and AUD 900 million [35] - Management remains open to M&A opportunities, evaluating both domestic and international prospects while being cautious in the current coal market conditions [89][91] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in recovering delayed shipments and optimizing inventory levels, targeting to catch up on first-half underperformance by the end of Q3 [19][53] - The company anticipates a potential recovery in coal prices, driven by geopolitical events and supply-demand dynamics, while acknowledging the need to navigate the current market cycle [25][113] - Management emphasized the importance of maintaining financial discipline and operational efficiency in the short term [113] Other Important Information - The company has no external debt and holds AUD 1.8 billion in cash, providing a strong financial position for future growth opportunities [6][30] - Yancoal's sustainability strategy includes initiatives for decarbonization and improving safety performance, with a commitment to reducing TRIFR [7][8] Q&A Session Summary Question: Why is the profit decline from certain mines more drastic than others? - Management attributed the decline to the drop in API five prices, which affected margins, particularly from low CV coal [39][41] Question: Is the year-over-year increase in coal royalty per sellable tonne due to the royalty rate change? - Management confirmed that the increase is due to both the royalty rate change and lower coal prices, resulting in relatively flat royalties across periods [44][47] Question: How likely is it that inventory will be digested by year-end? - Management indicated that they are on schedule to catch up on inventory by the end of August or early September [53] Question: What are the growth opportunities for coking coal outside of China? - Management highlighted significant growth opportunities in India and Southeast Asia, driven by infrastructure needs and economic growth [55] Question: Are there plans for further expansion in coal production volume? - Management stated that while there are conceptual projects under study, the current production profile is steady, focusing on optimizing existing assets [56][59] Question: Will Yancoal consider acquisitions in China? - Management noted that while they are open to M&A opportunities, competing against their majority shareholder in China may not be practical [105] Question: What is the expected sales mix for 2025? - Management indicated that while there may be a marginal difference in the thermal coal mix, it would not be substantial [84]