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【窩輪透視】紫金礦業站穩MA30,短期偏多需防震盪
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-04 12:52
Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining (02899) showed strong performance on February 3, closing at 41.36 HKD with a daily increase of 4.55%, becoming one of the leading stocks in the resource sector [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Zijin Mining's trading volume reached 4.847 billion HKD, indicating sufficient market activity [1] - Other related stocks in the resource and mining category also experienced gains, with Jiangxi Copper (00358) rising by 4.47%, while China Hongqiao (01378) and China Aluminum (02600) increased by 1.26% and 1.55% respectively, showing weaker momentum [1] Group 2: Gold Price Commentary - Recent commentary highlighted that international gold prices have surged nearly 30% in just one month, raising concerns about potential risks due to rapid price increases [1] - The volatility in gold prices is significant, with silver prices dropping approximately 40% recently, indicating the need for caution in short-term trading [1] Group 3: Technical Analysis - Technical indicators for Zijin Mining suggest a "strong but concerning" trend, with the stock price above MA30 (38.97 HKD) and MA60 (35.70 HKD), but below MA10 (42.06 HKD), indicating short-term resistance [1] - The RSI indicator is at 53, indicating a neutral to strong position, suggesting there is still room for short-term gains without excessive speculation [2] - Multiple oscillation indicators are neutral, aligning with the RSI signal, while the overall technical signal is a "buy" with a strength of 8, despite several moving averages suggesting a "sell" [2] Group 4: Support and Resistance Levels - Current resistance levels are identified at 43.9 HKD (Resistance 1) and 47.1 HKD (Resistance 2), while short-term support levels are at 38.2 HKD (Support 1) and 35.6 HKD (Support 2) [2] Group 5: Derivative Products - A review of past performance of related structured products indicates that UBS bear certificates (57434) performed well, with a 71% increase over two days, while the underlying stock fell by 6.39% [4] - Two selected structured products based on Zijin Mining's performance include: 1. Call warrant (21922) with a leverage of 8.7 times and an exercise price of 48.58 HKD, suitable for investors looking for steady long-term growth [4] 2. CCB bull certificate (66030) with a leverage of 5.6 times and a redemption price of 35 HKD, ideal for short-term investors seeking higher returns [5]