11月21日，紫金矿业盘中下跌2.00%，截至09:35，报28.39元/股，成交5.46亿元，换手率0.09%，总市值 7545.36亿元。 分红方面，紫金矿业A股上市后累计派现592.77亿元。近三年，累计派现277.72亿元。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，紫金矿业十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第三大流 通股东，持股13.54亿股，相比上期减少2.35亿股。中国证券金融股份有限公司位居第四大流通股东，持 股6.91亿股，持股数量较上期不变。华夏上证50ETF（510050）位居第五大流通股东，持股3.15亿股， 相比上期减少834.77万股。华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF（510300）位居第六大流通股东，持股2.81亿股，相比 上期减少1211.12万股。易方达沪深300ETF（510310）位居第八大流通股东，持股2.03亿股，相比上期 减少647.97万股。 紫金矿业今年以来股价涨94.19%，近5个交易日跌5.43%，近20日跌5.46%，近60日涨39.30%。 资料显示，紫金矿业集团股份有限公司位于福建省上杭县紫金大道1号,福建省厦门市思明区环岛东路 1811号中航紫金广场B塔 ...

专题报告 2025-11-21 碳酸锂：2025Q3 海外锂资源供给更新 报告要点： 澳大利亚 2025 年三季度澳大利亚主流矿山供应稳定，锂精矿产量同比增长约 1.8%，环比增长 9.1%。销 量同比略降 0.7%，环比近持平。四季度 Greenbushes 的 CGP3 项目启动调试， Pilbara 产能爬 坡，预计产销维持增势。 Greenbushes 2025 年三季度 Greenbushes 生产锂精矿 32.0 万吨，环比减少 6%，同比减少 21%。进料品位下 降、雨季干扰导致精矿产量下调。季度内锂矿销售量 30.1 万吨，环比减少 27%，同比减少 23%。产量下降和上季度库存提前消耗带来销量下滑。锂精矿平均销售价格为 730 美元/吨 （FOB），环比上涨 1%。现金生产成本环比增长 6%至 388 澳元/吨，同比上涨 40%。IGO 未修改 2026 财年采矿和加工业务生产预期，锂精矿生产指引为 150-165 万吨。Kwinana 氢氧化锂工厂 2025Q3 氢氧化锂生产量为 2775 吨，环比增长 31%，同比增长 85%。氢氧化锂销售量为 2921 吨，环比增长 68%。Green ...

每经AI快讯，南矿集团（SZ 001360，收盘价：16.53元）发布公告称，2025年11月20日下午 14:00~16:00，南矿集团接受紫金矿业投资（上海）有限公司等投资者调研，公司副董事长兼常务副总 裁龚友良等人参与接待，并回答了投资者提出的问题。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——展望"十五五" | 专访黄群慧：既要重视AI赋能千行百业，也要考量其对就业 的替代效应和带来的收入极化 （记者 曾健辉） 2025年1至6月份，南矿集团的营业收入构成为：制造业占比99.61%，其他业务占比0.39%。 ...

Core Insights - The company is focusing on transforming from an "equipment supplier" to an "operational service provider" in the precious metals mining sector, aiming for long-term high-value operational business [3] - The South American market is a key area for overseas expansion due to its rich mineral resources and compatibility with the company's technology [4] - The current order structure is dominated by black metals, with a diversified development in non-ferrous metals, particularly copper [5] Group 1: Business Strategy - The company aims to lock in long-term operational revenue by signing long-term maintenance contracts through equity participation in mining projects, with operational costs accounting for 80% of the total lifecycle cost of mining equipment [3] - The company is implementing an "investment + EPC + O" model, starting with the Brownhill gold mine project, to accumulate experience for replication in larger projects [3] Group 2: Market Expansion - The company plans to establish overseas warehouses in South America, focusing on high-value minerals such as gold, copper, and lithium, with copper being particularly prominent in the non-ferrous metal sector [4] - The overseas warehouse will typically cover an area of 10 to 20 acres and will include basic water, electricity, and logistics functions [4] Group 3: Order Structure - The order structure is characterized by a dominance of black metals, particularly iron ore, which has the highest order share due to economies of scale [5] - The company emphasizes the need to optimize the order structure to increase the proportion of high-value mineral types [5] Group 4: Competitive Advantage - The company is establishing a differentiated advantage in overseas markets through "nanny-style" services and localized technical support, which are rare among domestic companies [6] - The implementation of a smart maintenance system using 5G and IoT technology allows for predictive maintenance, enhancing equipment utilization and reducing unplanned downtime [6] Group 5: Profitability - The company's gross margin is improving due to changes in business structure, with a higher revenue share from the more profitable metal mining business compared to sand and gravel [7] - The share of after-market services, including maintenance and parts, is continuously increasing, contributing to the overall improvement in gross margin [7]

星展集团研究部将 紫金矿业 集团A股目标价从30.00元上调至37.00元。 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The A-share market showed slight recovery on November 20, with the non-ferrous sector opening high and fluctuating, as evidenced by the significant trading volume of the Non-Ferrous 50 ETF (159652) which rose by 0.52% and reached a trading volume of over 90 million yuan [1] - The Non-Ferrous 50 ETF index components mostly surged, with Zhongkuang Resources rising over 5%, while other stocks like Northern Rare Earth and Huayou Cobalt also saw gains exceeding 1% [3] Group 2: Lithium Market Dynamics - On November 19, lithium carbonate futures prices broke through 100,000 yuan/ton, indicating a clear recovery in spot lithium carbonate prices. Ganfeng Lithium's chairman stated that if demand growth exceeds 30% to 40% next year, prices could potentially exceed 150,000 yuan/ton or even 200,000 yuan/ton due to supply constraints [2] Group 3: Supply Chain and Pricing Trends - The supply chain for non-ferrous metals is facing disruptions, with several large mines experiencing operational issues, which highlights the vulnerability of global non-ferrous resource supply [6] - The copper market is expected to see average prices reach 4.55 USD per pound by 2026 due to supply concerns stemming from accidents at major mines [5] Group 4: Investment Opportunities in Non-Ferrous Metals - The non-ferrous metals sector has outperformed other industries this year, with a year-to-date increase of 79% for the CITIC non-ferrous metals index, significantly leading other sectors [5] - The Non-Ferrous 50 ETF (159652) is highlighted for its high "gold-copper content" of 46%, making it a leading choice among similar investment products [12] Group 5: Future Outlook and Strategic Considerations - The geopolitical landscape and resource security concerns are expected to drive demand for strategic commodities, with a notable increase in green demand for copper and aluminum anticipated by 2030 [8] - The ongoing industrialization in emerging economies and the reshaping of trade patterns are likely to provide new growth opportunities for commodity demand, particularly in countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative [9]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant inflow of southbound capital into the Hong Kong stock market, driven by the increasing presence of high-quality Chinese companies and the attractiveness of valuations, which is expected to support a long-term "slow bull" market trend in Hong Kong stocks [3][10][16]. Group 1: Southbound Capital Inflow - As of November 10, southbound capital's cumulative net purchase of Hong Kong stocks exceeded 5 trillion HKD, continuing to grow [3]. - By November 19, southbound capital net inflow through the Stock Connect reached 65.91 million HKD, bringing the total net purchase for the year to over 1.34 trillion HKD, a 66% increase compared to the total inflow of 807.8 billion HKD in 2024 [5][6]. - The proportion of southbound capital in the total trading volume of the Hong Kong market has steadily increased from 15.6% at the beginning of 2024 to 23.6% in the third quarter of 2025 [6]. Group 2: Investment Trends and Sector Focus - The composition of southbound capital has shifted significantly, with technology and dividend-paying stocks becoming the primary focus, moving away from the banking sector, which previously dominated [7][8]. - The top ten holdings of southbound capital are now split between technology and high-dividend stocks, with Tencent Holdings and Alibaba being major players [8]. - Insurance funds and public funds are the main contributors to southbound capital, with insurance holdings surpassing 1 trillion RMB by the end of the third quarter [9]. Group 3: Future Growth Potential - Analysts predict that the southbound capital inflow could increase by 1.4 trillion RMB (approximately 1.54 trillion HKD) by the end of next year, with a potential growth of 10 trillion RMB (about 11 trillion HKD) over the next five years [11][13]. - The continuous inflow of long-term capital is expected to enhance market liquidity and optimize the capital market structure, supporting a sustainable "slow bull" market [13][14]. Group 4: Quality of Listed Companies - The article notes that more high-quality Chinese companies are choosing to list in Hong Kong, which enhances the market's attractiveness to both domestic and foreign investors [15][17]. - As of November 19, 2025, 88 companies have gone public in Hong Kong, raising a total of 250.5 billion HKD, a 172.44% increase from the previous year [17]. - The increasing number of globally competitive companies listed in Hong Kong is expected to attract more capital inflow, creating a positive feedback loop [18].

Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market is becoming a crucial platform for global investors to share in the growth dividends of China's core assets, with significant inflows of southbound capital [1][12] - As of November 10, southbound capital's cumulative net purchases of Hong Kong stocks exceeded 5 trillion HKD, continuing to grow [1] - The influx of long-term mainland funds, primarily from insurance and public offerings, is expected to support a "slow bull" market in Hong Kong [1][8] Southbound Capital Inflows - As of November 19, southbound capital net inflows through the Stock Connect reached 65.91 million HKD, bringing the total for the year to over 1.34 trillion HKD, a 66% increase compared to the total inflow of 807.8 billion HKD in 2024 [2] - Cumulative net inflows since the launch of the Stock Connect have surpassed 5 trillion HKD [2][3] Market Dynamics - Southbound capital has become a core driver of liquidity in the Hong Kong stock market, with its share of total market turnover rising from 15.6% at the beginning of 2024 to 23.6% by the third quarter of 2025 [3] - The total market value of southbound capital holdings exceeded 6.3 trillion HKD by the end of the third quarter, representing a year-on-year increase of over 90% [3] Sector and Stock Preferences - The allocation of southbound capital has shifted significantly, with the banking sector previously dominating but now more evenly distributed across industries, including media, pharmaceuticals, and technology [3][4] - The top ten holdings of southbound capital are now characterized by a "technology + dividend" strategy, with Tencent Holdings and Alibaba being major beneficiaries [4] Fund Composition - Insurance funds and public funds constitute the majority of southbound capital, with insurance holdings surpassing 1 trillion RMB (approximately 1.4 trillion HKD) by the end of the third quarter [7] - Public fund holdings reached 1.01 trillion RMB, accounting for about 18% of total southbound capital [7] Future Projections - Predictions indicate that southbound capital could see an additional inflow of 1.4 trillion RMB (approximately 1.54 trillion HKD) by the end of next year, with a potential total increase of 10 trillion RMB (approximately 11 trillion HKD) over the next five years [8] - The continuous inflow of long-term capital is expected to enhance market fundamentals and support a "slow bull" market [8][9] Market Valuation and Asset Supply - The Hong Kong stock market is viewed as having significant allocation value, with lower valuation levels compared to other major global markets [11] - The influx of quality companies listing in Hong Kong is creating a virtuous cycle, enhancing market liquidity and attracting more capital [12][13] Historical Context - Historical analysis indicates that periods of outperformance in the Hong Kong stock market have been driven by the scarcity of assets, with current trends reflecting similar dynamics as seen in previous advantageous periods [14]

光大证券发布研报称，美国进入降息周期叠加全球不确定性提升，黄金ETF投资需求回归增长；去美元 化大背景下，全球央行增持黄金趋势延续，继续看好金价上行。推荐紫金矿业，关注赤峰黄金、紫金黄 金国际。 黄金股早盘反弹，截至发稿，中国黄金国际(02009)涨3.37%，报134.9港元；紫金黄金国际(02259)涨 2.57%，报135.9港元；招金矿业(01818)涨2.32%，报28.28港元；山东黄金(01787)涨1.8%，报32.84港 元。 消息面上，COMEX黄金近期一度跌破4000美元/盎司。中信证券首席经济学家明明表示，两大因素共同 导致了近期国际金价表现不佳：一方面，前期避险情绪对金价的支撑有所减弱；另一方面，美国重要经 济数据尚未恢复公布，投资者对劳动力市场和美国通胀走势预期并不一致，对12月份美联储降息预期也 有所摇摆。 ...

11月19日消息，黄金股早盘反弹，截至发稿，涨超3%，、、涨超2%，涨近2%。 光大证券发布研报称，美国进入降息周期叠加全球不确定性提升，黄金ETF投资需求回归增长；去美元 化大背景下，全球央行增持黄金趋势延续，继续看好金价上行。推荐紫金矿业，关注赤峰黄金、紫金黄 金国际。 编辑/melody | 代碼 | 名稱 | 最新價 | 漲跌幅 ◆ | 成交額 | 總市值 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 02099 | 中國黃金國際 | 134.600 | +3.14% | 4489.04萬 | 533.57億 | | 02259 | 紫金黄金國際 | 135.400 | +2.19% | 1.13億 | 3623.76億 | | 01818 | 招金礦業 | 28.240 | +2.17% | 4240.62萬 | 1000.37億 | | 02899 | 紫金礦業 | 31.380 | +2.15% | 1.52億 | 8340.03億 | | 01787 | 山東黃金 | 32.840 | +1.80% | 2713.92萬 | 1513.9億 | | 033 ...