文|小方 来源|博望财经 2025年12月12日，越牛新闻发布落款为"绍兴市帮扶祥源控股集团工作组"的"公告"，其中提及"为稳妥有序处置相关风险，维护投资者合法权益，经研究 决定，绍兴市组建帮扶祥源控股集团工作组，即日起进驻企业。" 图片来源：越牛新闻官网截图 据公开资料，祥源控股管理层披露，祥源控股当前资产总额约600亿元，负债规模约为400亿元。 业内人士认为，在文旅和地产板块持续投入的背景下，股权质押以及外部融资能力下降，共同推高了流动性压力。 01 三家上市公司集体火速信披背后 12月7日晚，"祥源系"旗下上市公司祥源文旅、交建股份与海昌海洋公园相继发布了相关公告，公开回应市场关注的祥源控股集团逾期兑付事件。其中， 祥源文旅在公告表示，"在某平台发行的涉及与祥源控股地产合作项目的金融产品存在部分逾期兑付情形，祥源控股、公司实际控制人就上述兑付义务承 担连带保证责任。祥源控股及公司实际控制人正与相关方就逾期兑付的具体情况进行沟通处理。" 图片来源：祥源文旅相关公告 其在公告中进一步提及，"本次事件涉及的金融产品与祥源文旅及其参、控股子公司均无关，祥源文旅不承担任何兑付及担保义务，公司亦未为任何金融 理财 ...

Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 864 million yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.64%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 3.14% to 147 million yuan [1] - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 241 million yuan, a significant year-on-year increase of 62.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 36 million yuan, up 83.87% [1] - The company’s gross margin for 2024 was 49.43%, a decrease of 2.53 percentage points compared to the previous year, while the sales expense ratio increased by 0.77 percentage points to 9.05% due to increased promotional efforts [1] Financial Performance - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 212 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 55.22%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 31.19 million yuan, up 158.67% [2] - The company’s non-recurring net profit for Q1 2025 was 27.5 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 112.44% [2] - The company’s revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1.385 billion, 1.589 billion, and 1.762 billion yuan, with respective growth rates of 60.3%, 14.7%, and 10.9% [2] Project Performance - In 2024, the Baolong Tianti (Baolong Green) project achieved a non-recurring net profit of 108 million yuan, while Huanglong Cave (Tourism Development) and Phoenix Ancient City (Phoenix Xiangsheng) achieved non-recurring net profits of 21.68 million yuan and 19.7 million yuan, respectively, all meeting their annual performance commitments [1] Valuation and Investment Recommendation - Based on comparable company valuations, a PE ratio of 32 for 2025 is suggested, leading to a reasonable value of 11.04 yuan per share, maintaining a "buy" rating [3]