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海兴电力(603556):短期业绩承压,海外布局持续深化
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-08-18 15:21
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5]. Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 1.92 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 14.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 400 million RMB, down 25.7% year-on-year [2]. - The decline in revenue and profit is attributed to delays in domestic project execution, fluctuations in demand in certain overseas markets, and increased counter-cyclical investments leading to higher expenses [2]. - The company is a leader in the global smart meter market, with significant growth potential in smart distribution and renewable energy sectors, benefiting from the global upgrade of power grids [5]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In Q2 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 1.14 billion RMB, a decrease of 15.8% year-on-year, with a net profit of 250 million RMB, down 20.2% [2]. Operational Analysis - The company is deepening its overseas strategic layout while maintaining a solid domestic base. In overseas markets, it has launched a smart ultrasonic water meter factory in South Africa and secured transformer orders in Central Asia and Africa [3]. - Domestically, the company has won over 400 million RMB in new orders, including significant contracts for power metering products and distribution equipment [3]. New Energy Business - The company is transitioning from product sales to system integration and scenario-based solutions in the renewable energy sector, having developed key equipment and EMS systems for microgrid projects in Africa and Latin America [3]. Investment in Sales and R&D - The company has increased its sales and R&D expenses by 11.6% and 6.1% year-on-year, respectively, highlighting its commitment to market expansion and technological innovation [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.04 billion RMB, 1.16 billion RMB, and 1.38 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with growth rates of 3%, 12%, and 19% [5]. - The current stock price corresponds to a PE valuation of 13, 11, and 10 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [5].