Core Insights - The 2025 National Day film season has seen a total box office exceeding 1.8 billion yuan, marking a strong start for the fourth quarter film market [1] - Multiple films have performed well, with the top five films each surpassing 100 million yuan in box office revenue, creating a competitive landscape [1][6] - The film market is experiencing a robust recovery, with over 300 films released, covering diverse genres and catering to various audience preferences [6] Box Office Performance - The top five films during the National Day period are: - "The Volunteer Army: Blood and Peace" with a box office of 442.92 million yuan, accounting for 24.6% of the total [5] - "731" with a box office of 340.62 million yuan, accounting for 18.9% [5] - "Assassination Novelist 2" with a box office of 290.29 million yuan, accounting for 16.1% [5] - The average ticket price during this period was 36.7 yuan, with a total of approximately 49.1 million tickets sold across 3.65 million screenings [4] Market Outlook - The film market is expected to maintain growth momentum with several anticipated films set to release in the fourth quarter [6] - "Nezha: The Devil Child Is Coming" has already achieved a box office of 15.446 billion yuan, significantly contributing to market growth [6] - Industry experts believe that with the successful start of the National Day season and upcoming films, the total box office for 2025 could reach the target of 50 billion yuan, supporting high-quality development in the cultural industry [6]

#数据 2025年国庆档观影人次0.47亿人，同比下降9.6%；国庆档平均票价36.7元，同比下降9.1%；2025年国庆档单日票房同比下降。（艺恩数据，中金整理） https://t.co/EB5sJtAPVB外汇交易员 (@myfxtrader):#数据 国家电影局数据显示，2025年国庆档电影总票房为18.35亿元，观影人次为5007万，国产影片票房占比为98.93%，票房前5名影片分别为：《志愿军：浴血和平》《731》《刺杀小说家2》《浪浪人生》《震耳欲聋》。 ...

#数据 国家电影局数据显示，2025年国庆档电影总票房为18.35亿元，观影人次为5007万，国产影片票房占比为98.93%，票房前5名影片分别为：《志愿军：浴血和平》《731》《刺杀小说家2》《浪浪人生》《震耳欲聋》。外汇交易员 (@myfxtrader):#数据 据猫眼数据，10月1日至7日，2025年国庆档档期票房破17亿元。（按国家电影局口径，去年同期为21.04亿元，2023年为27.32亿元） ...

Core Insights - The total box office for the 2025 National Day holiday period (October 1-8) has surpassed 800 million yuan as of October 3, 14:01 [1] Group 1: Box Office Performance - The film "志愿军:浴血和" has generated a box office of 202.59 million yuan, accounting for 25.3% of the total box office during the holiday period [4] - "731" has achieved a box office of 162.49 million yuan, representing 20.3% of the total [4] - "刺杀小说家2" has earned 141.53 million yuan, contributing 17.7% to the overall box office [4] Group 2: Additional Films and Their Performance - "浪浪人生" has a box office of 83.76 million yuan, making up 10.5% of the total [5] - "震耳欲聋" has generated 60.47 million yuan, accounting for 7.6% [5] - "风林火山" has earned 39.62 million yuan, contributing 5.0% to the total box office [5]

Core Insights - The total box office for the National Day holiday period (October 1-8, 2025) has surpassed 800 million yuan as of October 3, 2025 [1] Box Office Performance - The film "志愿军:浴血和" has generated a box office of 202.59 million yuan, accounting for 25.3% of the total box office during the holiday period, with an average ticket price of 39.9 yuan and an average attendance of 10.4 [4] - "731" has achieved a box office of 162.49 million yuan, representing 20.3% of the total, with an average ticket price of 33.4 yuan and an average attendance of 13.6 [4] - "刺杀小说家2" has earned 141.53 million yuan, making up 17.7% of the total, with an average ticket price of 40.9 yuan and an average attendance of 8.7 [4] - "浪浪人生" has brought in 83.76 million yuan, contributing 10.5% to the total, with an average ticket price of 39.7 yuan and an average attendance of 8.8 [5] - "震耳欲聋" has generated 60.47 million yuan, accounting for 7.6% of the total, with an average ticket price of 33.6 yuan and an average attendance of 11.8 [5] - "风林火山" has earned 39.62 million yuan, representing 5.0% of the total, with an average ticket price of 41.8 yuan and an average attendance of 8.2 [5] - "三国的星空第一部" has achieved a box office of 36.82 million yuan, making up 4.6% of the total, with an average ticket price of 39.9 yuan and an average attendance of 6.4 [5] - "猪猪侠 ·一只老" has generated 25.76 million yuan, contributing 3.2% to the total, with an average ticket price of 33.7 yuan and an average attendance of 6.3 [5] - "毕正明的证明" has earned 17.49 million yuan, accounting for 2.2% of the total, with an average ticket price of 39.9 yuan and an average attendance of 3.6 [5] - "浪浪山小妖怪" has brought in 10.28 million yuan, representing 1.3% of the total, with an average ticket price of 35.6 yuan and an average attendance of 7.8 [5]

小娱预测，1）国庆档八日票房落点将在21亿~25亿区间；2）国庆档票房达到25亿高位需要一部15亿"爆款"电影支撑；3）如果有两部影片达到10亿上下， 国庆档八日票房可能落在22亿~24亿。 | 片名 | 原演 | 主出品公司 | 简要分析 | 最终票房预测 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 张子枫、宋佳、 | | 《志愿军》系列第三部也是最终 部,有国家情绪最大的公约数, | | | 志愿军:浴血和平 | | 中影 | | 6-8亿 | | | 朱亚文 | | 但《731》会吃掉一部分同态观 | | | | | | 文 | | | 刺杀小说家2 | 邓超、董子健 | 来源 | 上一部有10亿票房,但时隔4年 | 4-6亿 | | | | | 并未留下足够的粉丝盘 | | | | | | 类《长安三万里》的历史名篇动 | | | 三国的星空1 | 檀健次(配音) | 果麦、光线 | 画化,主打教育人群,历史同人 | 3-6亿 | | | | | 亦有贡献 | | | | 金城武、刘青云 | | 积压老港片,但质感足够,且在 | | | 风林火山 | | 银都、嘉映 | ...