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研报掘金丨东吴证券:维持欣旺达“买入”评级,目标价41元
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-02-10 06:44
东吴证券研报指出,欣旺达与威睿诉讼和解,港股上市推进顺利,动储业务高增长。测算25年欣旺达动 力计提费用12.5-20亿元,相关计提处理非常充分,不会影响26年及之后业绩,本次和解避免陷入长期 的价格战和诉讼战,同时消除对未来港股上市、海外扩张、新客户导入和银行合作等多方面的不确定 性,集中全部精力回归经营基本面。公司26年动力毛利率目标15%,同增2pct,储能目标10-12%,同增 2-3pct,海外客户占比提升(由30%提升至40-50%),并通过技术创新、规模效应、良率提升覆盖未传 导的成本,全年动力扭亏目标不变。由于诉讼事件影响25年盈利、但26、27年公司动储业务出货强劲, 预计25-27年归母净利润14.1/30.3/41.2亿元(原预测值为20.5/30.0/41.1亿元),同比-4%/+115%/+36%, 对应PE为32x/15x/11x,给予26年25x估值,对应目标价41元,维持"买入"评级。 ...
赣锋锂业(002460):价低迷拖累业绩,锂资源布局进入收获期
Guoxin Securities· 2025-04-01 08:13
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][17]. Core Views - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit due to falling lithium prices and losses from fair value changes of its Pilbara holdings. The revenue for 2024 was 18.906 billion yuan, down 42.66% year-on-year, and the net profit was a loss of 2.074 billion yuan, down 141.93% year-on-year. Despite the downturn in the lithium industry, the company's lithium product production increased by 24.94% year-on-year to 130,300 tons LCE [1][6][8]. - The company is expected to see revenue growth in the coming years, with projections of 23.846 billion yuan in 2025, 30.290 billion yuan in 2026, and 37.871 billion yuan in 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 26.1%, 27.0%, and 25.0% respectively [17][18]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 18.906 billion yuan, a decrease of 42.66% year-on-year. The net profit was a loss of 2.074 billion yuan, down 141.93% year-on-year. The operating cash flow was 5.161 billion yuan, an increase of 3423.52% year-on-year [1][6][9]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 1.5 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 303 million yuan [9]. Production and Sales Data - The company produced 130,300 tons of lithium products in 2024, an increase of 24.94% year-on-year, with sales of 129,700 tons, up 27.41% year-on-year. The inventory level was approximately 7,765 tons, up 7.25% year-on-year [1][8][12]. Lithium Resource Development - The company has made significant progress in lithium resource projects, including the Mt Marion project in Australia and the Cauchari salt lake project in Argentina, which is expected to reach a production of 25,400 tons LCE in 2024 [2][12][13]. - The total lithium salt production capacity has exceeded 200,000 tons LCE, with ongoing expansions in various projects [13][14]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 23.846 billion yuan in 2025, 30.290 billion yuan in 2026, and 37.871 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 1.957 billion yuan, 3.206 billion yuan, and 4.224 billion yuan respectively [17][18].