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高新兴(300098):1H25经营扭亏,车载终端显著放量
HTSC· 2025-08-19 07:54
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company with a target price of 5.73 RMB [7][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 8.97 million RMB and a net profit of 0.26 million RMB for 1H25, marking a year-on-year increase of 36% and a return to profitability, primarily driven by the successful expansion of its vehicle terminal business and an increase in the proportion of high-quality B-end business, leading to a significant improvement in gross margin [1][2]. - The vehicle terminal business achieved a record revenue of 5.19 million RMB in 1H25, up 47.3% year-on-year, with automotive terminal and rail transit terminal products generating revenues of 3.23 million RMB and 1.96 million RMB, respectively [2][3]. - The company has a comprehensive C-V2X product matrix and is well-positioned to benefit from the integration of vehicle-road-cloud construction, with significant growth potential in the vehicle-road-cloud market projected to reach 417.4 billion RMB by 2030 [4][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company achieved a gross margin of 37.25%, an increase of 3.69 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to an improved product mix and a higher proportion of quality B-end business [3]. - The company’s sales expense ratio, management expense ratio, and R&D expense ratio decreased significantly, reflecting a substantial dilution of expense ratios due to revenue growth [3]. Business Segments - The vehicle terminal business revenue reached 5.19 million RMB, with automotive terminals growing by 79.1% year-on-year and rail transit terminals by 14.0% [2]. - The electronic license plate and vehicle-road-cloud business generated 0.23 million RMB, up 14.3% year-on-year, while the smart justice and video cloud business achieved 2.43 million RMB, a 19.2% increase [2]. Market Outlook - The company has been actively involved in smart connected vehicle demonstration zones and pilot projects since 2019, positioning itself favorably for future local tenders related to vehicle-road-cloud integration [4]. - The report forecasts a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 80% for the vehicle-road-cloud market from 2025 to 2030, indicating substantial growth opportunities for the company [4]. Profitability Forecast - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 0.63 million RMB, 1.38 million RMB, and 1.74 million RMB, respectively, with a projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 72x for 2026 [5][11].