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观天下丨当“凯尔特之虎”遭遇美国关税威胁
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-13 05:19
Economic Growth and Dependency - Ireland's GDP per capita has surpassed traditional economic powers like France and Germany, earning the title "Celtic Tiger" due to strong growth driven by globalization and export-oriented policies [1][3] - The pharmaceutical industry in Ireland has expanded significantly, with the country becoming the largest exporter of medical products in the EU, heavily reliant on exports to the US [4][6] Trade Relations and Risks - The US has imposed tariffs that threaten Ireland's economy, particularly its pharmaceutical sector, which is highly dependent on the American market [7][10] - In 2024, Ireland's total goods export is projected to reach nearly €224 billion, with medical and pharmaceutical products accounting for approximately €99.9 billion, nearly 45% of total exports [4] Impact of US Tariffs - The potential implementation of a 250% tariff on imported pharmaceuticals could severely impact Ireland's economy, with predictions of a 1.5% contraction in economic activity and the loss of 56,000 to 70,000 jobs [10][12] - In response to the looming tariffs, there was a significant surge in pharmaceutical exports to the US in early 2023, with March exports reaching €23.6 billion, a 243.3% increase year-on-year [12] Economic Volatility - Ireland's economy has shown volatility, with a GDP contraction of 1% in Q2 2023, contrasting sharply with a 7.4% growth in Q1 2023, highlighting the risks associated with its export-driven model [12]