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被遗忘的乌克兰
虎嗅APP· 2025-07-06 13:23
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent decision by the U.S. to pause military aid to Ukraine, highlighting the implications for both Ukraine and Russia, as well as the shifting dynamics in international relations regarding the conflict [3][4]. Summary by Sections U.S. Military Aid to Ukraine - The U.S. has decided to pause the supply of military aid to Ukraine, which includes various types of weapons such as air defense missiles and artillery shells, with quantities ranging from dozens to thousands [3]. - This decision was reportedly driven by concerns over U.S. weapon stockpiles, rather than being a top-down directive from high-level officials [3][4]. Reactions and Implications - The decision shocked U.S. lawmakers and European allies, with some Republican members criticizing the influence of Pentagon officials on this matter [3]. - The Kremlin welcomed the U.S. decision, suggesting that fewer weapons sent to Ukraine could lead to a quicker end to military operations [4]. Diplomatic Developments - French President Macron's recent conversation with Putin marked a significant diplomatic engagement, as it was the first in nearly three years, indicating a potential shift in European strategy towards Russia [4][5]. - Macron's motives for the call may include testing Russia's limits, enhancing France's negotiating position, and subtly pressuring Ukraine to consider compromises [5][6][8]. Current Military Situation - The article notes that approximately 600,000 Russian troops are currently engaged in the conflict, with a significant portion involved in frontline operations [9]. - Recent territorial gains by Russian forces include the occupation of 4,168 square kilometers in 2024 and an additional 2,500 square kilometers in the first half of 2025 [9][19]. Economic Considerations - The article highlights the unsustainable nature of Russia's economic model, which has seen increased military spending at the expense of private sector stability [18][19]. - The European Union has been providing substantial financial aid to Ukraine, with over $100 billion annually, primarily for government salaries and social support, raising questions about the sustainability of such funding [19][20]. Geopolitical Context - Ukraine has become a focal point in geopolitical tensions, with its government and societal structures adapting to the ongoing war [21][22]. - The potential for a ceasefire or reconstruction remains uncertain, as the current leadership is more familiar with wartime conditions than with peacetime governance [23].