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国药一致(000028):业绩预告符合预期 零售盈利大幅改善
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-15 00:31
Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 36.797 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 2.62%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.666 billion yuan, down 10.43% year-on-year, which aligns with expectations [1] Distribution Segment - The distribution segment maintained stable revenue, generating 26.783 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a decline of 1.09% year-on-year, with a net profit of 0.482 billion yuan, down 7.82% year-on-year. The profit decline was primarily due to delayed payments from downstream customers, increased long-term accounts receivable, and higher bad debt provisions [2] - The company remains a leader in the industry, continuously innovating to stabilize the distribution segment's performance. However, the performance of important joint ventures has declined due to pharmaceutical industry policies and market supply-demand factors, leading to reduced investment income from joint ventures [2] Retail Segment - The retail segment saw significant improvement in profitability, with revenue from the retail sector (Guoda Pharmacy) at 10.479 billion yuan, a decrease of 6.46% year-on-year, but net profit increased by 215.81% to 0.017 billion yuan. This was influenced by market conditions, competitive landscape, and strategic store closures [2] - Guoda Pharmacy has been optimizing its procurement system and business structure, focusing on enhancing its own brand and increasing the proportion of centralized procurement, which has improved profitability. The company has also strategically closed stores to enhance the quality of operations, resulting in reduced labor and rental costs [2][3] Strategic Developments - The company plans to strategically close over 1,200 pharmacies in 2024, with a total of 9,234 stores as of the end of the first quarter of 2025. Since the second half of 2024, Guoda Pharmacy has focused on enhancing its own brand business, achieving over 1 billion yuan in sales with a growth rate exceeding 40% and a gross profit increase of 44% [3] - The company is also working to optimize its product category structure and actively expand into non-pharmaceutical products such as health supplements and traditional Chinese medicine [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains a profit forecast of 0.9 billion yuan for 2025 and 1.0 billion yuan for 2026, representing year-on-year growth of 40.2% and 11.1%, respectively. The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.8 times for 2025 and 14.2 times for 2026 [4] - The company maintains an outperform rating for the industry with a target price of 32.13 yuan, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.9 times for 2025 and 17.9 times for 2026, indicating an upside potential of 25.6% from the current stock price [4]