国贸写字楼

Search documents
中国国贸(600007):深度报告:北京核心CBD优质资产运营,助力利润穿越周期
Minsheng Securities· 2025-08-15 08:30
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for China International Trade Center (600007.SH) [3][6] Core Views - The company operates premium assets in Beijing's core CBD, which helps profits to withstand economic cycles [3] - The company has a stable shareholder structure, with a controlling stake of 80.65% held by China International Trade Center Co., Ltd. [1][13] - The core business segments, including office buildings, shopping malls, apartments, and hotels, show stable revenue contributions [3] Summary by Sections 1. Unique Asset Location and Stable Shareholder Structure - The China International Trade Center is located between Beijing's East Second and Third Ring Roads, making it a landmark and one of the largest comprehensive business service facilities globally [1][9] - The major shareholder, China International Trade Center Co., Ltd., has a concentrated ownership structure, enhancing stability [13] 2. Stable Revenue from Core Business Operations - The company owns four Grade A office buildings, with a rental rate of 627 RMB/㎡/month as of Q1 2025, which is higher than the average in Beijing [22] - The shopping mall, a key component of the center, achieved a sales volume of 19.1 billion RMB in 2024, ranking second in Beijing [25][30] - The apartment segment reported a revenue of 187 million RMB in 2024, the highest in five years, with a stable rental rate [36] - Hotel operations generated 526 million RMB in revenue, although this was a decline of 7.59% year-on-year due to macroeconomic factors [44] 3. Gradual Growth in Net Profit and Decreasing Debt Costs - The company reported a revenue of 3.912 billion RMB in 2024, a slight decrease of 1.05%, while net profit increased by 0.25% to 1.262 billion RMB [3][47] - The company's interest-bearing debt decreased by 31.11% to 1.085 billion RMB, with all debt being bank loans [51] - The dividend payout ratio was 87.77% with a dividend yield of 6.54%, indicating a commitment to returning value to shareholders [57] 4. Earnings Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The report forecasts revenues of 3.936 billion RMB, 4.007 billion RMB, and 4.090 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [68] - The expected net profits for the same years are projected to be 1.280 billion RMB, 1.331 billion RMB, and 1.388 billion RMB [68] - The report suggests that the company will maintain a stable dividend yield of around 4.42% to 6.53% during the forecast period [3]