匯豐突破在即？關鍵支撐阻力位與輪證產品詳解 12月18日，匯豐控股（00005）迎來股息派發日，每股0.777722元的分紅落袋為安，為投資者注入一劑強心針。與此同時，美銀證券最新研報將其評級升 至"買入"，看好香港存款業務與亞洲財富管理業務的雙重增長潛力，甚至上調了未來兩年的每股盈利預測。在基本面與資金面的雙重支撐下，這只金融龍頭 的短線走勢備受關注。從市場回饋來看，多數短線投資者認可機構的樂觀判斷，認為在股息派發與業務增長預期的推動下，股價突破120元是大概率事件。 部分投資者表示，將重點關注113元附近的低吸機會，若股價站穩121.5元阻力位，將考慮進一步加倉。 技術面：多空信號交織，支撐阻力清晰可辨 截至12月18日，匯豐報118元，上漲0.43%，5日振幅維持在3.6%的相對平穩區間，成交額達6.05億元，資金交投保持活躍。從技術指標來看，當前呈現出"多 空信號交織"的特徵——技術指標總結信號為"賣出"，但強度僅為10，顯示空方力量並不強勢；而MACD信號、一目均衡表、牛熊力量等多個核心指標均給 出"買入"信號，RSI指標則處於67的中立位置，未進入明確超買區間。 支撐與阻力位的界限十分清晰，為短線 ...

Core Viewpoint - HSBC Holdings (00005) has shown a positive performance with a closing price of 111.7 HKD, reflecting a daily increase of 2.01% and a trading volume exceeding 1.724 billion HKD, driven by a recovery in the financial sector and optimistic market expectations regarding interest rates [1][3]. Technical Analysis - The technical support levels for HSBC are clear, with the first support at 107.8 HKD and the second at 103.6 HKD, indicating a certain level of buying interest below these prices. Resistance levels are at 115.7 HKD and 119.8 HKD, requiring further trading volume for effective breakthroughs [2]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for HSBC is currently at 51, indicating a neutral position. Although technical indicators suggest a "sell" signal, the strength of this signal is limited. Conversely, several oscillators indicate a buying signal, suggesting potential upward movement [2]. Market Overview - On December 10, the Hong Kong stock market exhibited a range-bound pattern with significant sector performance differentiation. Real estate and property management stocks were the highlights, with Vanke Enterprises (02202) surging by 13.17% due to favorable funding news. Other notable gains included China Jinmao (00817) and Sunac China (01918), which rose by 8.55% and 8.87%, respectively [3]. - In the technology sector, Meituan (03690) increased by 2.72% due to growth expectations in food delivery orders, while Tencent (00700) and Alibaba (09988) saw slight increases. Among financial stocks, Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (00388) and Ping An Insurance (02318) showed steady gains, while China Merchants Bank (03968) fell over 3% due to asset quality concerns [3]. Derivative Products Performance - Since December 8, HSBC's stock has seen a cumulative increase of 2.38%, with related warrants and bull certificates demonstrating significant leverage effects. The most notable products include: 1. UBS Bull Certificate (63092) with a two-day increase of 33%, showcasing the leverage effect as it closely follows the stock's upward trend [6]. 2. UBS Call Warrant (18901) also recorded a 33% increase over two days, benefiting from the stock's steady rise [6]. - Another two products, UBS Bull Certificate (58939) and Bank of China Call Warrant (29663), achieved increases of 22% and 12%, respectively, indicating that the stable rise of the underlying stock is the main driver for the price increase of derivatives [8]. Selected Derivative Recommendations - Two selected warrants are highlighted for their cost-effectiveness and high leverage, suitable for different risk appetites: 1. Guotai Junan Call Warrant (28491) is recommended for its low premium and implied volatility, with a strike price of 130.98 HKD, allowing for significant upside potential while minimizing time value loss [9]. 2. UBS Bull Certificate (58939) is noted for its low premium and high leverage of 12.4 times, providing a safety margin with a redemption price set at 100 HKD, making it suitable for capturing short-term market movements [9].