匯豐控股近日走勢呈現區間震盪格局，股價在關鍵技術位間徘徊，為短線交易者提供了潛在的波動機會。目前股價處於107.6元水平，正處於尋找明確方向的關鍵階 段。您認為匯豐能否在短期內突破目前的整理格局，開啟新一輪趨勢行情？ 回顧昨日專欄【港股Podcast】中有投資者問 匯豐控股 (00005.HK)是否低於100內入才是安全的？窩輪市場上，投資者持有Put。Simon：匯豐控股此前表現不 錯，股價曾達到114.8元左右的高位，但近幾日出現了小幅回調，不過目前仍未跌破100元，今日收盤價為107.6元。需要注意的是，當前匯豐控股的股價處於 保利通道中線以下，這可能會對投資者的情緒產生一定影響。如果股價能夠回升至保利通道中線以上，投資者的心理層面會更有底氣；反之，若持續在中線 以下，投資者可能會擔心股價進一步回落。有投資者詢問，若考慮佈局匯豐控股，是否在100元以下買入會更安全。從技術信號來看，目前匯豐控股沒有明 顯的方向，呈現中立信號。從支撐位分析，若股價跌破103.7元，有可能會下探99.5元，不排除跌破100元的可能。所以對於長線看好匯豐控股的投資者，如 果希望等待更低的價位吸納，確實有機會等到100元以下的價 ...

1、恆指：看多投資者搏反彈持有收回價25688的牛證，看淡投資者認為收割25100點的肥牛，持有收回價27000的熊證，也有投資者選擇沒有收回價的認購證 Simon：大家好，歡迎來到今天(20日)的港股分享，現在和大家一起看看恆指以及港股今日的情況。和往常一樣，我們先從恆指說起。今日市場走勢到最後 變化其實不算大，恆指上漲了4點，收於25835點。雖然今天稍有回升，但整體來看，恆指仍在近期的低位區間運行。此前恆指曾觸及保利通道頂部後開始回 調，至今已經有了比較明顯的回落。 恆指最新的技術信號分析。當前恆指的技術信號整體略微偏向看好，呈現買入趨勢，其中有9個買入信號，5個賣出信號。阻力位方面，當前大概在26500點 左右，如果能突破26500點，後續有望上探26800點。所以之前提到的投資者買入收回價在27000點左右的熊證，從阻力位分析來看是比較合理的選擇，相對 安全一些。支撐位方面，大概在25300點，若跌破25300點，可能會下探24700點。因此，如果投資者想要買入牛證，建議選擇行使價在25000點左右，甚至接 近24700點的產品，這樣被收回的概率會相對較低。需要提醒投資者的是，在佈局牛熊證時，一定要 ...

匯豐控股股價近期呈現弱勢整理，下跌2.41%至109.4元，顯示市場觀望氣氛濃厚。從技術走勢觀察，股價目前正在測試重要支撐區域，MA10位於111.42元 形成短期阻力，而MA30在106.96元與MA60在105.72元共同構成下方支撐網。特別值得注意的是，隨機震盪指標已進入超賣區間並發出買入信號，多個技術 指標包括動量震盪指標和MACD都顯示看好，這種技術面的矛盾狀態反映出市場對銀行股走勢的分歧。 在關鍵價位分析方面，匯豐的短期支持位分別位於105.7元及101.5元，這兩個水準將是多頭防守的重要關卡；而阻力位則在113.6元及117.7元，若能收復這些 關口，將有助於重建市場信心。考慮到5日振幅為5.1%，股價波動性相對溫和，這為偏好穩健的投資者提供了操作空間。從上升概率54%來看，市場情緒略 偏向樂觀，但投資者需要關注利率走勢與銀行業基本面變化。 | 街貨比 1 | | 9.22% 溢 | 價 | -1.99% 距收回價 | | | 9.40% 街貨比 1 | | 4.18% 溢 | 僧 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is expected to find short-term support around the 100-day moving average at approximately 25,600 points due to a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve and ongoing uncertainties in the US-China trade relations [2] - The recent meeting between the US and Chinese leaders has led to a temporary easing of tensions, but core issues remain unresolved [2] Company News - Xiaomi Group (1810) reported an adjusted profit increase of 81% in the last quarter, exceeding expectations, and its electric vehicle business recorded operational profitability [5] - Baidu Group (9888) disclosed a 36% decline in adjusted profit but reported a 50% growth in AI business revenue [5] - Pinduoduo's adjusted net profit rose by 14% in the third quarter, although management warned of ongoing financial volatility [5] - China Hongqiao (1378) saw its controlling shareholder increase their stake to 64.02% by purchasing shares worth approximately 230 million [5] - GBM Resources, an Australian mining company, plans a secondary listing in Hong Kong [5] Macroeconomic Focus - The unemployment rate in Hong Kong has decreased to 3.8%, lower than expected, with significant declines in various economic sectors [10] - Macau's GDP grew by 4.2% year-on-year in the first three quarters, with a notable increase in inbound tourists [10] - The Chinese government aims to establish around 200 high-standard digital parks by 2027, enhancing digital transformation across industries [9] - A report indicates that China is increasingly lending to high-income countries, with the US being the largest recipient of Chinese loans [9]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,572 points, down 500 points or 1.9% from the previous day, with a total turnover of HKD 232.79 billion, a decrease of 14% day-on-day[6]. - Year-to-date performance shows the Hang Seng Index has increased by 31.81%, while the Financial Index has risen by 19.00%[4]. Sector Performance - Technology stocks faced significant declines, with Baidu down 7.2%, JD Group down 6.0%, and Alibaba down 4.4%[6]. - Conversely, pharmaceutical stocks performed well, with Wangshan Wangshui up 23.9%, Gilead Sciences up 15.5%, and Laika Pharmaceuticals up 12.2%[6]. Economic Indicators - The unemployment rate is expected to decrease, although some scholars view this as overly optimistic[3]. - Foreign investment in Chinese stocks reached nearly HKD 400 billion in the first ten months of the year[3]. Company News - Financial One Account (6638.HK) announced that its privatization plan has been approved by the court, expected to take effect on November 19[6]. - Hope Education International Holdings (1765.HK) is selling its 100% stake in Xi'an Benos Education Management for RMB 10 million, with a total cash settlement of RMB 380 million[6]. Global Market Trends - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 47,147 points, down 309 points or 0.65%, while the S&P 500 fell by 0.05% to 6,734 points[6]. - The Nasdaq Composite rose by 0.13% to 22,900 points, indicating mixed performance among major U.S. indices[6]. Commodity Prices - New York crude oil prices increased by 2.39% to USD 60.09 per barrel, while Brent crude rose by 2.19% to USD 64.39 per barrel[4].

Group 1 - The report highlights the significant changes in the investment atmosphere and asset trends due to the impending end of the U.S. government shutdown, emphasizing the importance of understanding macroeconomic dynamics for effective asset allocation strategies [1] - Recent data from ADP indicates that the private sector has been cutting over 10,000 jobs weekly for four consecutive weeks, suggesting a cooling labor market, which contrasts sharply with previous optimistic expectations regarding employment recovery [1] - The weakening of the U.S. dollar, influenced by soft ADP data, has led to increased volatility in non-dollar currencies and commodity markets, while also causing a pullback in safe-haven assets like gold after a period of high fluctuations [1] Group 2 - Investors are adjusting their strategies in response to rising expectations of interest rate cuts, which have led to a decline in bond market yields, enhancing the appeal of conservative investment tools [2] - Gold remains a crucial asset for inflation protection and risk diversification despite short-term profit-taking pressures, indicating its long-term value [2] - The report suggests considering the Schroders Global Fund series, specifically the Global Equity and Bond Growth Income Fund, which aims to provide a balanced and stable investment option by actively seeking opportunities across global markets [2]

Core Viewpoint - HSBC Holdings (00005) is currently facing significant technical resistance at the 113 HKD level, with indicators suggesting potential short-term adjustment pressure, while the medium to long-term trend remains robust, presenting unique trading opportunities for derivative product investors [1][3]. Technical Analysis - HSBC is in a clear upward channel, with immediate support at 109 HKD and strong support at 105.6 HKD. Resistance levels are at 118 HKD and 122.4 HKD. The stock price is above MA10 (110.99 HKD), MA30 (106.96 HKD), and MA60 (105.38 HKD), indicating a bullish trend [1][3]. - The RSI has reached an overbought level of 70, with technical indicators suggesting a "strong sell" signal, indicating a potential short-term technical correction [1][3]. Support and Resistance Levels - The 109 HKD level is a crucial defensive barrier; if breached, the stock may drop to the stronger support at 105.6 HKD. On the upside, 118 HKD is the first significant resistance, followed by 122.4 HKD as the next target [3]. - The probability of an upward movement is estimated at 52%, with a 5-day volatility of only 4.6%, indicating relatively mild price fluctuations, although the overbought condition warrants caution [3]. Derivative Products Performance - Recent performance in the structured products market shows strong tracking performance of derivatives amid stock volatility. On November 11, when the stock rose by 1.69%, UBS call warrant 18901 gained 22%, and JPMorgan bull certificate 57888 increased by 13%, demonstrating the potential for substantial returns when market timing is correctly managed [3]. Investment Opportunities - For bullish investors, UBS call warrant 21320 (exercise price 130.98 HKD) offers a leverage of 13.5 times, with the lowest premium and implied volatility among similar products. UBS call warrant 21409 is also a viable option with a leverage of 12.4 times and relatively low premium [6]. - For bearish investors, UBS put warrant 22223 (exercise price 103.23 HKD) provides a leverage of 7.2 times, while JPMorgan put warrant 22013 (exercise price 103.33 HKD) offers a leverage of 7 times with a low premium [6]. Bull and Bear Certificates - Bullish investors can consider JPMorgan bull certificate 57888 (redemption price 100 HKD) with the highest actual leverage of 9 times, and UBS bull certificate 58939 (redemption price 100 HKD) with a leverage of 9.9 times and the lowest premium [8]. - Bearish investors may look at UBS bear certificate 56441 (redemption price 120 HKD) with a leverage of 17 times and the lowest premium, or JPMorgan bear certificate 61553 (redemption price 120 HKD) with a leverage of 15.8 times, offering competitive leverage and premium [8].

Group 1: Market Performance - Tencent reported a quarterly profit of 70.6 billion HKD, an increase of 18% compared to the previous year, exceeding expectations[2] - The Hang Seng Index closed at 27,073 points, up 150 points or 0.56% for the day, with a year-to-date increase of 34.96%[3] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose to 4,029.50 points, reflecting a daily change of 0.73% and a year-to-date increase of 20.22%[3] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The foreign exchange fund earned 274 billion HKD in the first three quarters, marking a record high for the same period[2] - The foreign exchange fund's investment income for the last quarter was 60 billion HKD, a year-on-year decrease of 48%[2] - China's GDP grew by 4.8% year-on-year in Q3, surpassing market expectations of 4.7%[14] Group 3: Stock Recommendations - Wei Long Snacks (9985.HK) has a suggested buy price of 11.50 HKD, with a target price of 13.00 HKD, currently trading at 12.01 HKD[14] - Tencent Holdings (700.HK) has a target price of 550 HKD, with a current price of 554 HKD, reflecting a 6.18% increase from the suggested buy price[11] - BYD Company (1211.HK) has a suggested buy price of 125.22 HKD, with a target price of 141.89 HKD, currently trading at 135.6 HKD[11]

今日（12日）恆指靠住金融、地產板塊托底，低開0.2%後快速回穩，當中滙豐控股（00005）表現最搶鏡。 記得11月6日我哋【港股播報】就點評過滙豐，當日收報110元，接近110.4元高位，仲突破咗保利加通道頂部，當時技術信號以賣出為主，提醒大家留意回 調風險。而家睇返，股價不僅冇回調，仲升上113.6元，完全符合當時「沿通道頂部運行」嘅預判。 最新資料顯示，支撐位已經上移，近線最穩系108.2元，呢個位置系MA10同前期平臺嘅雙重支撐，跌穿先至要睇104.3元嘅強支撐；阻力就好清晰，先睇 114.6元，過咗呢關就有機會挑戰120.5元高位，畢竟高盛都睇到120，資金自然會睇住呢兩個點位做部署。 技術面來講，總信號依舊系賣出但強度僅9，RSI 69點接近超買區，不過牛熊力量同MACD都有買入信號，簡單講就系多空喺度拗手瓜，上升概率53%，雖 然唔算一面倒，但勝在有息差利好托底。 想瞭解更多港股窩輪及牛熊證深度分析，請立即關注「港股窩輪 Jenny」，掌握市場先機！ | 相關資產 | 名稱 | 産品 | 植桿 | 行作 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 匯豐(00005) ...

港股內銀股近期表現穩健，建設銀行（00939）在市場資金青睞下緩步上行。盤中高見8.45元，突破保利加通道頂部。過去五個交易日累計振幅4.8%，成交金額14.20 億元，呈現典型的藍籌股交易特徵。這種溫和上漲的格局能否持續，成為市場關注的焦點。 從技術角度分析，建行正處於關鍵的價位區間。下方8.03元與7.62元構成重要支撐，而上方8.4元與8.76元則形成明顯阻力。特別值得注意的是，股價已突破 所有主要移動平均線，MA10（8.04元）、MA30（7.71元）與MA60（7.69元）呈現多頭排列，技術結構相對強勢。然而，RSI指標達到77，顯示明顯超買狀 態，這個訊號是否預示短線可能出現技術性調整？ 觀察衍生產品市場，建行相關的窩輪與牛熊證在近期表現相當亮眼。回顧過往數據，瑞銀認購證（20184）在正股上漲2.46%時，兩日內錄得40%的顯著升 幅，法興認購證（17616）也有36%的漲幅，展現出衍生產品在趨勢行情中的槓桿效應。牛證方面，法興牛證（62134）和摩通牛證（60435）分別上漲12% 和20%，為投資者提供穩健回報。 對於持續看好建行的投資者，花旗認購證（18036）提供20.7倍槓桿，行使價 ...